Predictions › United States › Kentucky Wildcats vs Missouri Tigers

College FootballSat 21 Nov, 19:30 United States time

Kentucky Wildcats vs Missouri Tigers prediction

Memorial Stadium

Kentucky WildcatsAway

21.2 : 28.1

projected points

Missouri TigersHome

35%Kentucky

65%Missouri

Eagle safe pickMissouri to win

-225

Quick answer

Our prediction for Kentucky Wildcats vs Missouri Tigers is Missouri Tigers to win, with a 65% chance. We project Kentucky Wildcats 21.2 and Missouri Tigers 28.1. Our best bet is Missouri to win at -225.

Prediction: Missouri Tigers to win
Chance: 65%
Projected score: Kentucky Wildcats 21, Missouri Tigers 28
Projected total: 49.3 points
Best bet: Missouri to win at -225

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Missouri to win

65% chancePrice -2251 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Missouri Tigers 65% and Kentucky Wildcats 35%. The bookmakers agree and make Missouri Tigers the favourite at -225.
2
Recent form
Missouri Tigers won 3 of their last 5 and Kentucky Wildcats won 4 of their last 5. Kentucky Wildcats come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Missouri Tigers won 8 of their last 12 games at home. Kentucky Wildcats won 4 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Scoring
Missouri Tigers score 28.1 points a game and let in 19.5. Kentucky Wildcats score 26.2 and let in 26.5. Their recent games average 47.6 and 52.7 points in total, and the market line is 49.5.
5
The safest bet
Missouri to win has a 65% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Kentucky Wildcats vs Missouri Tigers: Missouri Tigers are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Missouri Tigers host Kentucky Wildcats in the College Football on Sat 21 Nov, 19:30 at Memorial Stadium. Our prediction for Kentucky Wildcats vs Missouri Tigers is Missouri Tigers to win, with a 65% chance. We project Kentucky Wildcats 21.2 and Missouri Tigers 28.1. Our best bet is Missouri to win at -225.

Missouri Tigers form

Missouri Tigers have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 562 points scored and 390 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 4 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Kentucky Wildcats form

Kentucky Wildcats have 11 wins and 8 losses in their last 19 games, with 498 points scored and 503 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Kentucky Wildcats to score about 21.2 points and Missouri Tigers about 28.1. That points to Missouri Tigers to win. Our safest bet is Missouri to win at -225.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Missouri	Kentucky
Games played	20	19
Wins	12	11
Losses	8	8
Points scored	562	498
Points conceded	390	503
Scored per game	28.1	26.2
Conceded per game	19.5	26.5
Home record	8W 4L	7W 3L
Away record	4W 4L	4W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Missouri to win	65%	-189	-225	-5.6%
Kentucky to win	33%	+205	+185	-6.4%
Missouri -6.5	47%	+111	-110	-9.6%
Kentucky +6.5	46%	+119	-110	-12.8%
Over 49.5 points	46%	+116	-110	-11.8%
Under 49.5 points	47%	+114	-110	-10.6%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Missouri spread	Covers	Fair
Missouri -13.5	34%	+193
Missouri -9.5	44%	+129
Missouri -6.5	51%	-105
Missouri -3.5	59%	-141
Missouri +0.5	68%	-212

Total points	Over	Under
42.5	67%	33%
46.5	57%	43%
49.5	50%	50%
52.5	42%	58%
56.5	33%	67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Missouri +3.5 wins if Missouri win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

College Football

Missouri QB Austin Simmons Locks In 2027 Deal as NFL Buzz Grows

Austin Simmons has re-signed with Missouri for 2027 while keeping his NFL draft options open.

6 Nov 2026

College Football

Missouri Running Back Ahmad Hardy Returns Months After Shooting

Ahmad Hardy returned to action for Missouri after recovering from a leg injury suffered in a May shooting.

1 Nov 2026

College Football

Missouri RB Ahmad Hardy Returning To Practice This Week

Missouri star running back Ahmad Hardy is returning to practice for the first time since being shot in May.

25 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Kentucky Wildcats vs Missouri Tigers?

What is the projected score for Kentucky Wildcats vs Missouri Tigers?

We project Kentucky Wildcats 21.2 and Missouri Tigers 28.1, about 49.3 points in total.

How are Missouri Tigers playing?

How are Kentucky Wildcats playing?

What is the best bet for Kentucky Wildcats vs Missouri Tigers?

Missouri to win at -225, with a 65% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Missouri against Kentucky. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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