Predictions › United States › Kentucky Wildcats vs Tennessee Volunteers
College FootballSat 7 Nov, 18:15 United States time

Kentucky Wildcats vs Tennessee Volunteers prediction

Neyland Stadium

Kentucky WildcatsAway
21.7 : 28.4
projected points
Tennessee VolunteersHome
37%Kentucky
63%Tennessee
Eagle safe pickTennessee +4
-323

Quick answer

Our prediction for Kentucky Wildcats vs Tennessee Volunteers is Tennessee Volunteers to win, with a 63% chance. We project Kentucky Wildcats 21.7 and Tennessee Volunteers 28.4. Our best bet is Tennessee +4 at -323.

Prediction
Tennessee Volunteers to win
Chance
63%
Projected score
Kentucky Wildcats 22, Tennessee Volunteers 28
Projected total
50.1 points
Best bet
Tennessee +4 at -323

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Tennessee +4
76% chanceFair price -3232 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Tennessee Volunteers 63% and Kentucky Wildcats 37%. The bookmakers agree and make Tennessee Volunteers the favourite at -205.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Tennessee Volunteers won 3 of their last 5 and Kentucky Wildcats won 5 of their last 5. Kentucky Wildcats come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Tennessee Volunteers won 7 of their last 11 games at home. Kentucky Wildcats won 4 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Tennessee Volunteers score 34.6 points a game and let in 24.3. Kentucky Wildcats score 27.3 and let in 26.1. Their recent games average 58.9 and 53.4 points in total, and the market line is 50.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Tennessee Volunteers won 1 and Kentucky Wildcats won 0. The last one ended Kentucky Wildcats 34, Tennessee Volunteers 56.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Tennessee +4 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Kentuckyteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Kentucky Wildcats vs Tennessee Volunteers: Tennessee Volunteers are favourites

The big picture

Tennessee Volunteers host Kentucky Wildcats in the College Football on Sat 7 Nov, 18:15 at Neyland Stadium. Our prediction for Kentucky Wildcats vs Tennessee Volunteers is Tennessee Volunteers to win, with a 63% chance. We project Kentucky Wildcats 21.7 and Tennessee Volunteers 28.4. Our best bet is Tennessee +4 at -323.

Tennessee Volunteers form

Tennessee Volunteers have 12 wins and 7 losses in their last 19 games, with 658 points scored and 462 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Kentucky Wildcats form

Kentucky Wildcats have 11 wins and 7 losses in their last 18 games, with 492 points scored and 469 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Tennessee Volunteers won 1, Kentucky Wildcats won 0. Last time out it finished Kentucky Wildcats 34, Tennessee Volunteers 56.

Our call

We expect Kentucky Wildcats to score about 21.7 points and Tennessee Volunteers about 28.4. That points to Tennessee Volunteers to win. Our safest bet is Tennessee +4 at -323.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 19 games in all competitions.

TennesseeKentucky
Games played1918
Wins1211
Losses77
Points scored658492
Points conceded462469
Scored per game34.627.3
Conceded per game24.326.1
Home record7W 4L7W 3L
Away record5W 3L4W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Tennessee to win63%-169-205-6.4%
Kentucky to win34%+193+170-7.8%
Tennessee -648%+107-110-7.7%
Kentucky +646%+119-110-12.9%
Over 50.5 points46%+116-110-11.6%
Under 50.5 points48%+110-110-8.9%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Tennessee spreadCoversFair
Tennessee -13.534%+197
Tennessee -9.543%+131
Tennessee -6.551%-103
Tennessee -3.558%-139
Tennessee +0.568%-208
Total pointsOverUnder
43.566%34%
47.556%44%
50.549%51%
53.542%58%
57.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Tennessee +3.5 wins if Tennessee win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Kentucky Wildcats vs Tennessee Volunteers?

Our prediction for Kentucky Wildcats vs Tennessee Volunteers is Tennessee Volunteers to win, with a 63% chance. We project Kentucky Wildcats 21.7 and Tennessee Volunteers 28.4. Our best bet is Tennessee +4 at -323.

What is the projected score for Kentucky Wildcats vs Tennessee Volunteers?

We project Kentucky Wildcats 21.7 and Tennessee Volunteers 28.4, about 50.1 points in total.

How are Tennessee Volunteers playing?

Tennessee Volunteers have 12 wins and 7 losses in their last 19 games, with 658 points scored and 462 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Kentucky Wildcats playing?

Kentucky Wildcats have 11 wins and 7 losses in their last 18 games, with 492 points scored and 469 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Tennessee Volunteers and Kentucky Wildcats last met?

It ended Kentucky Wildcats 34, Tennessee Volunteers 56. In the last 1 meeting Tennessee Volunteers won 1 and Kentucky Wildcats won 0.

What is the best bet for Kentucky Wildcats vs Tennessee Volunteers?

Tennessee +4 at -323, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Tennessee against Kentucky. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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