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Predictions › United States › Las Vegas Aces vs Indiana Fever
WNBATue 29 Sept, 18:30 United States time

Las Vegas Aces vs Indiana Fever prediction

Gainbridge Fieldhouse

Las Vegas AcesAway
91.8 : 93.2
projected points
Indiana FeverHome
50%Aces
50%Fever
Eagle safe pickAces +8.5
-298

Quick answer

Our prediction for Las Vegas Aces vs Indiana Fever is Las Vegas Aces to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project Las Vegas Aces 91.8 and Indiana Fever 93.2. Our best bet is Aces +8.5 at -298.

Prediction
Las Vegas Aces to win
Chance
50%
Projected score
Las Vegas Aces 92, Indiana Fever 93
Projected total
185.0 points
Best bet
Aces +8.5 at -298

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Aces +8.5
75% chanceFair price -2981 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Indiana Fever 50% and Las Vegas Aces 50%. The bookmakers see it the other way and make Indiana Fever the favourite at -118, so take care with this one.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Indiana Fever won 2 of their last 5 and Las Vegas Aces won 5 of their last 5. Las Vegas Aces come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Indiana Fever won 6 of their last 8 games at home. Las Vegas Aces won 5 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Indiana Fever score 98.0 points a game and let in 91.9. Las Vegas Aces score 93.0 and let in 85.8. Their recent games average 189.9 and 178.8 points in total, and the market line is 183.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Indiana Fever won 2 and Las Vegas Aces won 3. The last one ended Las Vegas Aces 102, Indiana Fever 85.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Aces +8.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Feverrest between games-5%
  • Acesrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Las Vegas Aces vs Indiana Fever: Las Vegas Aces shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Indiana Fever host Las Vegas Aces in the WNBA on Tue 29 Sept, 18:30 at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Our prediction for Las Vegas Aces vs Indiana Fever is Las Vegas Aces to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project Las Vegas Aces 91.8 and Indiana Fever 93.2. Our best bet is Aces +8.5 at -298.

Indiana Fever form

Indiana Fever have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 1960 points scored and 1838 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Las Vegas Aces form

Las Vegas Aces have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 1860 points scored and 1716 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Indiana Fever won 2, Las Vegas Aces won 3. Last time out it finished Las Vegas Aces 102, Indiana Fever 85.

Our call

We expect Las Vegas Aces to score about 91.8 points and Indiana Fever about 93.2. That points to Las Vegas Aces to win. Our safest bet is Aces +8.5 at -298.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

FeverAces
Games played2020
Wins1314
Losses76
Points scored19601860
Points conceded18381716
Scored per game98.093.0
Conceded per game91.985.8
Home record6W 2L9W 2L
Away record7W 5L5W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Fever to win50%+101-118-8.3%
Aces to win44%+127-102-12.7%
Fever -1.546%+115-105-9.4%
Aces +1.547%+111-115-11.5%
Over 183.5 points51%-103-110-2.9%
Under 183.5 points43%+133-110-18.1%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Fever spreadCoversFair
Fever -7.529%+246
Fever -4.539%+158
Fever -1.550%+102
Fever +1.560%-152
Fever +4.570%-237
Total pointsOverUnder
178.567%33%
181.559%41%
184.551%49%
187.543%57%
190.536%64%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Fever +3.5 wins if Fever win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
WNBA

Stephanie White Fights to Keep Indiana Fever United for Playoff Run

Indiana Fever coach Stephanie White faces intense pressure and off court drama as her team prepares for the WNBA playoffs.

25 Sept 2026
WNBA

Fever Shift Focus to Playoffs After Tough Loss to Lynx

The Indiana Fever fell to the No. 6 seed after an 86-66 loss to Minnesota, setting up a first-round playoff matchup against the Las Vegas Aces.

25 Sept 2026
WNBA

Kelsey Mitchell Breaks WNBA Scoring Record in Fever Victory

Kelsey Mitchell scored 33 points to break the WNBA single-season scoring record during Indiana's win over Toronto.

19 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Las Vegas Aces vs Indiana Fever?

Our prediction for Las Vegas Aces vs Indiana Fever is Las Vegas Aces to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project Las Vegas Aces 91.8 and Indiana Fever 93.2. Our best bet is Aces +8.5 at -298.

What is the projected score for Las Vegas Aces vs Indiana Fever?

We project Las Vegas Aces 91.8 and Indiana Fever 93.2, about 185.0 points in total.

How are Indiana Fever playing?

Indiana Fever have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 1960 points scored and 1838 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Las Vegas Aces playing?

Las Vegas Aces have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 1860 points scored and 1716 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Indiana Fever and Las Vegas Aces last met?

It ended Las Vegas Aces 102, Indiana Fever 85. In the last 5 meetings Indiana Fever won 2 and Las Vegas Aces won 3.

What is the best bet for Las Vegas Aces vs Indiana Fever?

Aces +8.5 at -298, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Fever against Aces. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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