Quick answer
Our prediction for Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Jets is Las Vegas Raiders to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Las Vegas Raiders 21.5 and New York Jets 20.5. Our best bet is Under 49.5 points at -277.
- Prediction
- Las Vegas Raiders to win
- Chance
- 53%
- Projected score
- Las Vegas Raiders 22, New York Jets 21
- Projected total
- 42.0 points
- Best bet
- Under 49.5 points at -277
Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.
The eagle's three picks
✓Eagle safe pick
Under 49.5 points
73% chanceFair price -2771 unit
Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.
Why we think this
- 1
What our numbers sayThe model gives New York Jets 47% and Las Vegas Raiders 53%. The bookmakers see it the other way and make New York Jets the favourite at -112, so take care with this one.
- 2
Recent formNew York Jets won 1 of their last 5 and Las Vegas Raiders won 2 of their last 5. Las Vegas Raiders come in with the better run.
- 3
Home and awayNew York Jets won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Las Vegas Raiders won 3 of their last 9 on the road.
- 4
ScoringNew York Jets score 16.4 points a game and let in 25.1. Las Vegas Raiders score 17.4 and let in 25.5. Their recent games average 41.5 and 42.9 points in total, and the market line is 42.5.
- 5
The safest betUnder 49.5 points has a 73% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.
Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number
Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.
Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.
Match previewLas Vegas Raiders vs New York Jets: Las Vegas Raiders shade it
By the EagleEyeOdds desk
The big picture
New York Jets host Las Vegas Raiders in the NFL on Sun 1 Nov, 13:00 at MetLife Stadium. Our prediction for Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Jets is Las Vegas Raiders to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Las Vegas Raiders 21.5 and New York Jets 20.5. Our best bet is Under 49.5 points at -277.
New York Jets form
New York Jets have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 328 points scored and 502 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.
Las Vegas Raiders form
Las Vegas Raiders have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 348 points scored and 510 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.
Our call
We expect Las Vegas Raiders to score about 21.5 points and New York Jets about 20.5. That points to Las Vegas Raiders to win. Our safest bet is Under 49.5 points at -277.
Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.
Team records
Last 20 games in all competitions.
Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.
Price check against DraftKings
Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.
Spread and total at every line
Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Jets +3.5 wins if Jets win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.
Questions people ask
Who will win Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Jets?
Our prediction for Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Jets is Las Vegas Raiders to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Las Vegas Raiders 21.5 and New York Jets 20.5. Our best bet is Under 49.5 points at -277.
What is the projected score for Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Jets?
We project Las Vegas Raiders 21.5 and New York Jets 20.5, about 42.0 points in total.
How are New York Jets playing?
New York Jets have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 328 points scored and 502 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.
How are Las Vegas Raiders playing?
Las Vegas Raiders have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 348 points scored and 510 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.
What is the best bet for Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Jets?
Under 49.5 points at -277, with a 73% chance.
Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.
Important, please read before you bet
- These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Jets against Raiders. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
- We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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