Predictions › United States › Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Jets
NFLSun 1 Nov, 13:00 United States time

Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Jets prediction

MetLife Stadium

Las Vegas RaidersAway
21.5 : 20.5
projected points
New York JetsHome
53%Raiders
47%Jets
Eagle safe pickUnder 49.5 points
-277

Quick answer

Our prediction for Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Jets is Las Vegas Raiders to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Las Vegas Raiders 21.5 and New York Jets 20.5. Our best bet is Under 49.5 points at -277.

Prediction
Las Vegas Raiders to win
Chance
53%
Projected score
Las Vegas Raiders 22, New York Jets 21
Projected total
42.0 points
Best bet
Under 49.5 points at -277

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 49.5 points
73% chanceFair price -2771 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives New York Jets 47% and Las Vegas Raiders 53%. The bookmakers see it the other way and make New York Jets the favourite at -112, so take care with this one.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    New York Jets won 1 of their last 5 and Las Vegas Raiders won 2 of their last 5. Las Vegas Raiders come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    New York Jets won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Las Vegas Raiders won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    New York Jets score 16.4 points a game and let in 25.1. Las Vegas Raiders score 17.4 and let in 25.5. Their recent games average 41.5 and 42.9 points in total, and the market line is 42.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 49.5 points has a 73% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Jets: Las Vegas Raiders shade it

The big picture

New York Jets host Las Vegas Raiders in the NFL on Sun 1 Nov, 13:00 at MetLife Stadium. Our prediction for Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Jets is Las Vegas Raiders to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Las Vegas Raiders 21.5 and New York Jets 20.5. Our best bet is Under 49.5 points at -277.

New York Jets form

New York Jets have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 328 points scored and 502 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Las Vegas Raiders form

Las Vegas Raiders have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 348 points scored and 510 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Las Vegas Raiders to score about 21.5 points and New York Jets about 20.5. That points to Las Vegas Raiders to win. Our safest bet is Under 49.5 points at -277.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

JetsRaiders
Games played2020
Wins65
Losses1415
Points scored328348
Points conceded502510
Scored per game16.417.4
Conceded per game25.125.5
Home record3W 6L2W 9L
Away record3W 8L3W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Jets to win47%+113-112-11.0%
Raiders to win48%+109-108-7.8%
Jets +1.548%+106-125-12.8%
Raiders -1.546%+115+105-4.7%
Over 42.5 points46%+115-110-11.3%
Under 42.5 points48%+106-110-7.4%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Jets spreadCoversFair
Jets -5.531%+218
Jets -1.543%+135
Jets +1.551%-106
Jets +4.560%-151
Jets +8.571%-245
Total pointsOverUnder
35.569%31%
39.558%42%
42.549%51%
45.539%61%
49.528%72%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Jets +3.5 wins if Jets win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Jets?

Our prediction for Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Jets is Las Vegas Raiders to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Las Vegas Raiders 21.5 and New York Jets 20.5. Our best bet is Under 49.5 points at -277.

What is the projected score for Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Jets?

We project Las Vegas Raiders 21.5 and New York Jets 20.5, about 42.0 points in total.

How are New York Jets playing?

New York Jets have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 328 points scored and 502 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Las Vegas Raiders playing?

Las Vegas Raiders have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 348 points scored and 510 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Jets?

Under 49.5 points at -277, with a 73% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Jets against Raiders. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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