Predictions › United States › Las Vegas Raiders vs San Francisco 49ers
NFLSun 8 Nov, 16:25 United States time

Las Vegas Raiders vs San Francisco 49ers prediction

Levi's Stadium

Las Vegas RaidersAway
19.3 : 28.6
projected points
San Francisco 49ersHome
21%Raiders
79%49ers
Eagle safe pick49ers to win
-535

Quick answer

Our prediction for Las Vegas Raiders vs San Francisco 49ers is San Francisco 49ers to win, with a 79% chance. We project Las Vegas Raiders 19.3 and San Francisco 49ers 28.6. Our best bet is 49ers to win at -535.

Prediction
San Francisco 49ers to win
Chance
79%
Projected score
Las Vegas Raiders 19, San Francisco 49ers 29
Projected total
47.9 points
Best bet
49ers to win at -535

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

49ers to win
79% chancePrice -5351 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives San Francisco 49ers 79% and Las Vegas Raiders 21%. The bookmakers agree and make San Francisco 49ers the favourite at -535.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    San Francisco 49ers won 4 of their last 5 and Las Vegas Raiders won 1 of their last 5. San Francisco 49ers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    San Francisco 49ers won 7 of their last 10 games at home. Las Vegas Raiders won 3 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    San Francisco 49ers score 27.1 points a game and let in 21.5. Las Vegas Raiders score 18.4 and let in 25.7. Their recent games average 48.5 and 44.1 points in total, and the market line is 48.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, San Francisco 49ers won 1 and Las Vegas Raiders won 0. The last one ended Las Vegas Raiders 12, San Francisco 49ers 18.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    49ers to win has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Las Vegas Raiders vs San Francisco 49ers: San Francisco 49ers are favourites

The big picture

San Francisco 49ers host Las Vegas Raiders in the NFL on Sun 8 Nov, 16:25 at Levi's Stadium. Our prediction for Las Vegas Raiders vs San Francisco 49ers is San Francisco 49ers to win, with a 79% chance. We project Las Vegas Raiders 19.3 and San Francisco 49ers 28.6. Our best bet is 49ers to win at -535.

San Francisco 49ers form

San Francisco 49ers have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 541 points scored and 430 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Las Vegas Raiders form

Las Vegas Raiders have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 369 points scored and 514 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. San Francisco 49ers won 1, Las Vegas Raiders won 0. Last time out it finished Las Vegas Raiders 12, San Francisco 49ers 18.

Our call

We expect Las Vegas Raiders to score about 19.3 points and San Francisco 49ers about 28.6. That points to San Francisco 49ers to win. Our safest bet is 49ers to win at -535.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

49ersRaiders
Games played2020
Wins155
Losses515
Points scored541369
Points conceded430514
Scored per game27.118.4
Conceded per game21.525.7
Home record7W 3L2W 10L
Away record8W 2L3W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
49ers to win79%-386-535-5.7%
Raiders to win21%+384+400+3.3%
49ers -9.546%+116-110-11.5%
Raiders +9.547%+111-110-9.3%
Over 48.5 points46%+119-110-12.9%
Under 48.5 points48%+107-110-8.0%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

49ers spreadCoversFair
49ers -16.529%+239
49ers -12.540%+147
49ers -9.549%+103
49ers -6.558%-138
49ers -2.569%-223
Total pointsOverUnder
40.572%28%
44.560%40%
47.551%49%
50.542%58%
54.531%69%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. 49ers +3.5 wins if 49ers win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Las Vegas Raiders vs San Francisco 49ers?

Our prediction for Las Vegas Raiders vs San Francisco 49ers is San Francisco 49ers to win, with a 79% chance. We project Las Vegas Raiders 19.3 and San Francisco 49ers 28.6. Our best bet is 49ers to win at -535.

What is the projected score for Las Vegas Raiders vs San Francisco 49ers?

We project Las Vegas Raiders 19.3 and San Francisco 49ers 28.6, about 47.9 points in total.

How are San Francisco 49ers playing?

San Francisco 49ers have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 541 points scored and 430 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Las Vegas Raiders playing?

Las Vegas Raiders have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 369 points scored and 514 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when San Francisco 49ers and Las Vegas Raiders last met?

It ended Las Vegas Raiders 12, San Francisco 49ers 18. In the last 1 meeting San Francisco 49ers won 1 and Las Vegas Raiders won 0.

What is the best bet for Las Vegas Raiders vs San Francisco 49ers?

49ers to win at -535, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in 49ers against Raiders. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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