Predictions › Champions League › LASK Linz vs Liverpool

Champions LeagueWed 14 Oct, 16:45 UTC

LASK Linz vs Liverpool prediction

Raiffeisen Arena (Linz)

LASK LinzHome

1.27 : 2.22

expected goals

LiverpoolAway

21%LASK Linz

21%Draw

58%Liverpool

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for LASK Linz vs Liverpool is Liverpool to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19.

Prediction: Liverpool to win
Chance: 58%
Most likely score: 1-2
Expected goals: LASK Linz 1.3, Liverpool 2.2
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.19
Both teams to score: 65%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

84% chanceFair price 1.192 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Liverpool to win and Over 2.5

42% chanceFair price 2.371 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives LASK Linz 21%, the draw 21% and Liverpool 58%. The bookmakers agree and make Liverpool the favourite at 1.24.
2
Recent form
LASK Linz took 7 points from their last 5 games and Liverpool took 13 from 5. Liverpool come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
LASK Linz won 7 of their last 9 games at home. Liverpool won 3 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
LASK Linz score 2.4 goals a game and let in 1.1. Liverpool score 1.6 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of LASK Linz games and 11 of Liverpool games in that run.
5
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Liverpoolrecent form+6%
Liverpoolteam news-3%

LASK Linz form D L L W WLiverpool form W W D W WHome edge in this league 32% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

LASK Linz vs Liverpool: Liverpool are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

LASK Linz host Liverpool in the Champions League on Wed 14 Oct, 16:45 at Raiffeisen Arena (Linz). Our prediction for LASK Linz vs Liverpool is Liverpool to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19.

LASK Linz form

LASK Linz have 12 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 48 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Liverpool form

Liverpool have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect LASK Linz to score about 1.3 goals and Liverpool about 2.2. That points to Liverpool to win, with 1-2 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19. Our bold bet is Liverpool to win and Over 2.5 at 2.37.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	LASK Linz	Liverpool
Games played	20	20
Wins	12	8
Draws	5	6
Losses	3	6
Goals scored	48	31
Goals conceded	23	28
Scored per game	2.4	1.6
Conceded per game	1.1	1.4
Home record	7W 2D 0L	5W 5D 1L
Away record	5W 3D 3L	3W 1D 5L
Clean sheets	25%	25%
Both teams scored	70%	60%
Over 2.5 goals	75%	55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
LASK Linz to win	20%	5.03	9.50	+88.9%
A Draw	20%	4.92	6.50	+32.1%
Liverpool to win	69%	1.46	1.24	-15.2%
Over 3.5 goals	45%	2.20	1.91	-13.3%
Under 3.5 goals	49%	2.04	1.83	-10.2%
LASK Linz +1.5	44%	2.25	2.05	-9.1%
Liverpool -1.5	50%	2.00	1.63	-18.6%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	87%	1.15
Over 2.5 goals	68%	1.47
Over 3.5 goals	46%	2.16
Both teams to score	65%	1.55
LASK Linz or Draw	42%	2.41
Liverpool or Draw	79%	1.26
LASK Linz to win and Over 2.5	15%	6.78
Liverpool to win and Over 2.5	45%	2.24
LASK Linz clean sheet	11%	9.25
Liverpool clean sheet	28%	3.56

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-29.5%

1-19.1%

0-27.5%

1-37.1%

0-16.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Premier League

Klopp Refuses to Speculate on Man City Ruling Ahead of Germany Clash

Jürgen Klopp is waiting to see how Manchester City's financial rules verdict plays out as he prepares Germany to face Serbia in the Nations League.

30 Sept 2026

Premier League

Real Madrid target Virgil van Dijk as contract talks stall

Real Madrid are tracking Liverpool defender Virgil van Dijk as they look to secure the veteran on a free transfer.

30 Sept 2026

Premier League

Liverpool Face Massive Injury Anxiety Over Star Forwards Ahead Of Man City Clash

Alexander Isak and Cody Gakpo have picked up injuries on international duty, leaving Liverpool with major concerns before a busy run.

30 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win LASK Linz vs Liverpool?

Our prediction for LASK Linz vs Liverpool is Liverpool to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for LASK Linz vs Liverpool?

1-2 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-2. We expect LASK Linz to score 1.3 goals and Liverpool 2.2.

Will both teams score in LASK Linz vs Liverpool?

Both teams to score has a 65% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of LASK Linz last 20 games and 12 of Liverpool last 20.

How are LASK Linz playing?

How are Liverpool playing?

What is the best bet for LASK Linz vs Liverpool?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in LASK Linz against Liverpool. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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