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Predictions › France › Le Mans vs AS Monaco
Ligue 1Sun 8 Nov, 16:15 France time

Le Mans vs AS Monaco prediction

Stade Marie-Marvingt

Le MansHome
1.24 : 1.90
expected goals
AS MonacoAway
24%Le Mans
24%Draw
52%Monaco
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Le Mans vs AS Monaco is AS Monaco to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

Prediction
AS Monaco to win
Chance
52%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Le Mans 1.2, AS Monaco 1.9
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.21
Both teams to score
61%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
83% chanceFair price 1.212 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

AS Monaco to win and Over 2.5
36% chanceFair price 2.761 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Le Mans 24%, the draw 24% and AS Monaco 52%. The bookmakers agree and make AS Monaco the favourite at 1.74.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Le Mans took 5 points from their last 5 games and AS Monaco took 8 from 5. AS Monaco come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Le Mans won 4 of their last 9 games at home. AS Monaco won 6 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Le Mans score 1.7 goals a game and let in 1.4. AS Monaco score 1.8 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Le Mans games and 13 of AS Monaco games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Le Mansrecent form-1%
  • Monacorecent form+1%
Le Mans form D L L W DMonaco form D W L W DHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Le Mans vs AS Monaco: AS Monaco are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Le Mans host AS Monaco in the Ligue 1 on Sun 8 Nov, 16:15 at Stade Marie-Marvingt. Our prediction for Le Mans vs AS Monaco is AS Monaco to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

Le Mans form

Le Mans have 7 wins, 9 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, D, newest first.

AS Monaco form

AS Monaco have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Le Mans to score about 1.2 goals and AS Monaco about 1.9. That points to AS Monaco to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21. Our bold bet is AS Monaco to win and Over 2.5 at 2.76.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Le MansMonaco
Games played2020
Wins711
Draws95
Losses44
Goals scored3436
Goals conceded2826
Scored per game1.71.8
Conceded per game1.41.3
Home record4W 4D 1L5W 3D 1L
Away record3W 5D 3L6W 2D 3L
Clean sheets30%20%
Both teams scored65%70%
Over 2.5 goals55%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Le Mans to win24%4.214.00-5.0%
A Draw23%4.304.10-4.7%
AS Monaco to win49%2.061.74-15.4%
Over 2.5 goals54%1.841.54-16.1%
Under 2.5 goals39%2.552.30-9.7%
Le Mans +0.544%2.251.95-13.2%
AS Monaco -0.549%2.031.67-17.7%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals83%1.21
Over 2.5 goals61%1.65
Over 3.5 goals38%2.60
Both teams to score61%1.64
Le Mans or Draw48%2.10
AS Monaco or Draw76%1.32
Le Mans to win and Over 2.516%6.23
AS Monaco to win and Over 2.537%2.71
Le Mans clean sheet15%6.71
AS Monaco clean sheet29%3.44

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.8%
1-29.7%
0-27.8%
0-17.6%
2-16.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
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22 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Le Mans vs AS Monaco?

Our prediction for Le Mans vs AS Monaco is AS Monaco to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Le Mans vs AS Monaco?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-2. We expect Le Mans to score 1.2 goals and AS Monaco 1.9.

Will both teams score in Le Mans vs AS Monaco?

Both teams to score has a 61% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Le Mans last 20 games and 14 of AS Monaco last 20.

How are Le Mans playing?

Le Mans have 7 wins, 9 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, D, newest first.

How are AS Monaco playing?

AS Monaco have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Le Mans vs AS Monaco?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.21, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Le Mans against Monaco. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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