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Predictions › United Kingdom › Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur
Premier LeagueSat 7 Nov, 12:30 United Kingdom time

Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur prediction

Elland Road

Leeds UnitedHome
1.36 : 1.17
expected goals
Tottenham HotspurAway
40%Leeds
28%Draw
31%Spurs
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1/3

Quick answer

Our prediction for Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur is Leeds United to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/3.

Prediction
Leeds United to win
Chance
40%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Leeds United 1.4, Tottenham Hotspur 1.2
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1/3
Both teams to score
52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1/32 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Leeds United to win
40% chancePrice 6/4+0.3% value1 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Leeds United 40%, the draw 28% and Tottenham Hotspur 31%. The bookmakers agree and make Leeds United the favourite at 6/4.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Leeds United took 6 points from their last 5 games and Tottenham Hotspur took 7 from 5. Tottenham Hotspur come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Leeds United won 4 of their last 8 games at home. Tottenham Hotspur won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Leeds United score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.1. Tottenham Hotspur score 1.3 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Leeds United games and 10 of Tottenham Hotspur games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Leeds United won 0 and Tottenham Hotspur won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Tottenham Hotspur 1, Leeds United 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Leeds form D D L D WSpurs form W W D L LHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur: Leeds United shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Leeds United host Tottenham Hotspur in the Premier League on Sat 7 Nov, 12:30 at Elland Road. Our prediction for Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur is Leeds United to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/3.

Leeds United form

Leeds United have 7 wins, 9 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, D, W, newest first.

Tottenham Hotspur form

Tottenham Hotspur have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Leeds United won 0, Tottenham Hotspur won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Tottenham Hotspur 1, Leeds United 1.

Our call

We expect Leeds United to score about 1.4 goals and Tottenham Hotspur about 1.2. That points to Leeds United to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/3. Our bold bet is Leeds United to win at 6/4.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

LeedsSpurs
Games played2020
Wins77
Draws96
Losses47
Goals scored2826
Goals conceded2327
Scored per game1.41.3
Conceded per game1.11.4
Home record4W 4D 0L4W 3D 3L
Away record3W 5D 4L3W 3D 4L
Clean sheets35%25%
Both teams scored55%55%
Over 2.5 goals45%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Leeds United to win40%6/46/4+0.3%
A Draw27%13/59/4-10.1%
Tottenham Hotspur to win30%9/47/4-18.4%
Over 2.5 goals46%6/55/6-13.3%
Under 2.5 goals48%11/105/6-10.5%
Leeds United -0.539%8/511/8-9.0%
Tottenham Hotspur +0.556%4/51/2-17.8%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals73%4/11
Over 2.5 goals46%6/5
Over 3.5 goals25%3/1
Both teams to score52%10/11
Leeds United or Draw69%4/9
Tottenham Hotspur or Draw60%4/6
Leeds United to win and Over 2.523%10/3
Tottenham Hotspur to win and Over 2.517%9/2
Leeds United clean sheet31%11/5
Tottenham Hotspur clean sheet26%3/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.4%
1-010.1%
0-08.7%
2-18.6%
0-18.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Premier League

Leeds Manager Backs James Trafford as Future England Goalkeeper

Daniel Farke believes Leeds goalkeeper James Trafford has what it takes to become England's top choice in goal.

26 Oct 2026
Premier League

Tottenham Beat Ten Man Chelsea at Stamford Bridge

Tottenham Hotspur earned a rare 2-0 victory at Chelsea following an own goal and a late strike from Mathys Tel.

24 Oct 2026
Premier League

Maddison Apologises to Coventry Fans After Goal Celebration

Tottenham midfielder James Maddison has apologised to Coventry City supporters for celebrating his goal against his hometown club.

20 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur?

Our prediction for Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur is Leeds United to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/3.

What is the score prediction for Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Leeds United to score 1.4 goals and Tottenham Hotspur 1.2.

Will both teams score in Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Leeds United last 20 games and 11 of Tottenham Hotspur last 20.

How are Leeds United playing?

Leeds United have 7 wins, 9 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, D, W, newest first.

How are Tottenham Hotspur playing?

Tottenham Hotspur have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Leeds United and Tottenham Hotspur last met?

It ended Tottenham Hotspur 1, Leeds United 1. In the last 2 meetings Leeds United won 0 and Tottenham Hotspur won 1.

What is the best bet for Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur?

Under 3.5 goals at 1/3, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Leeds against Spurs. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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