Predictions › Champions League › Lens vs Como

Champions LeagueWed 4 Nov, 20:00 UTC

Lens vs Como prediction

Stade Bollaert-Delelis

LensHome

1.48 : 1.71

expected goals

ComoAway

33%Lens

25%Draw

43%Como

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for Lens vs Como is Como to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

Prediction: Como to win
Chance: 43%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Lens 1.5, Como 1.7
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.20
Both teams to score: 64%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

84% chanceFair price 1.202 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Como to win and Over 2.5

29% chanceFair price 3.471 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Lens 33%, the draw 25% and Como 43%. The bookmakers agree and make Como the favourite at 2.15.
2
Recent form
Lens took 9 points from their last 5 games and Como took 10 from 5. Como come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Lens won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Como won 6 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Lens score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.6. Como score 2.0 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Lens games and 11 of Como games in that run.
5
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Comorecent form+1%
Lensrest between games-5%
Comorest between games-5%

Lens form D L W L WComo form D W W L DHome edge in this league 33% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Lens vs Como: Como shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Lens host Como in the Champions League on Wed 4 Nov, 20:00 at Stade Bollaert-Delelis. Our prediction for Lens vs Como is Como to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

Lens form

Lens have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Como form

Como have 12 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 41 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Lens to score about 1.5 goals and Como about 1.7. That points to Como to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20. Our bold bet is Como to win and Over 2.5 at 3.47.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Lens	Como
Games played	20	20
Wins	9	12
Draws	3	4
Losses	8	4
Goals scored	37	41
Goals conceded	33	19
Scored per game	1.9	2.0
Conceded per game	1.6	0.9
Home record	6W 0D 3L	6W 2D 1L
Away record	3W 3D 5L	6W 2D 3L
Clean sheets	10%	40%
Both teams scored	65%	55%
Over 2.5 goals	75%	55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Lens to win	31%	3.18	2.85	-10.4%
A Draw	24%	4.22	3.90	-7.6%
Como to win	42%	2.38	2.15	-9.7%
Over 3.5 goals	41%	2.47	2.25	-8.9%
Under 3.5 goals	53%	1.87	1.59	-15.2%
Lens +0.5	51%	1.96	1.65	-16.2%
Como -0.5	43%	2.32	2.00	-13.6%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	83%	1.20
Over 2.5 goals	62%	1.62
Over 3.5 goals	40%	2.53
Both teams to score	64%	1.56
Lens or Draw	57%	1.75
Como or Draw	67%	1.49
Lens to win and Over 2.5	23%	4.39
Como to win and Over 2.5	30%	3.30
Lens clean sheet	18%	5.54
Como clean sheet	23%	4.39

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.0%

1-28.9%

2-17.7%

2-26.6%

0-16.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Champions League

Fabregas Regrets Telling Como to Ease Off in Man United Win

Cesc Fabregas expressed regret for telling his Como players to slow down near the end of their 4-1 win over Manchester United.

22 Oct 2026

Champions League

Tielemans Speaks Out After Manchester United Slump Against Como

Youri Tielemans called Manchester United's 4-1 loss to Como very poor as the team went seven straight games without a win.

22 Oct 2026

Premier League

Michael Carrick Demands Wins As Manchester United Pressure Mounts

Michael Carrick insists he has the support of Manchester United board members, but accepts he must turn around a six match winless run.

20 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Lens vs Como?

Our prediction for Lens vs Como is Como to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Lens vs Como?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Lens to score 1.5 goals and Como 1.7.

Will both teams score in Lens vs Como?

Both teams to score has a 64% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Lens last 20 games and 11 of Como last 20.

How are Lens playing?

How are Como playing?

What is the best bet for Lens vs Como?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.20, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Lens against Como. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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