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Predictions › United Kingdom › Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion
Premier LeagueSun 25 Oct, 14:00 United Kingdom time

Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion prediction

Anfield

LiverpoolHome
1.15 : 1.72
expected goals
Brighton & Hove AlbionAway
25%Liverpool
25%Draw
50%Brighton
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
3/10

Quick answer

Our prediction for Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion is Brighton & Hove Albion to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10.

Prediction
Brighton & Hove Albion to win
Chance
50%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Liverpool 1.1, Brighton & Hove Albion 1.7
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 3/10
Both teams to score
57%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 3/102 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Brighton & Hove Albion to win and Over 2.5
31% chanceFair price 9/41 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Liverpool 25%, the draw 25% and Brighton & Hove Albion 50%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Liverpool took 10 points from their last 5 games and Brighton & Hove Albion took 13 from 5. Brighton & Hove Albion come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Liverpool won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Brighton & Hove Albion won 6 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Liverpool score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.6. Brighton & Hove Albion score 1.9 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Liverpool games and 13 of Brighton & Hove Albion games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Liverpool won 2 and Brighton & Hove Albion won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Brighton & Hove Albion 2, Liverpool 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Liverpoolrecent form+1%
  • Brightonrecent form+6%
  • Liverpoolrest between games-5%
  • Liverpoolteam news-3%
Liverpool form D L W W DBrighton form W W W W DHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion: Brighton & Hove Albion are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Liverpool host Brighton & Hove Albion in the Premier League on Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 at Anfield. Our prediction for Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion is Brighton & Hove Albion to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10.

Liverpool form

Liverpool have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, D, newest first.

Brighton & Hove Albion form

Brighton & Hove Albion have 12 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Liverpool won 2, Brighton & Hove Albion won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Brighton & Hove Albion 2, Liverpool 1.

Our call

We expect Liverpool to score about 1.1 goals and Brighton & Hove Albion about 1.7. That points to Brighton & Hove Albion to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10. Our bold bet is Brighton & Hove Albion to win and Over 2.5 at 9/4.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

LiverpoolBrighton
Games played2020
Wins812
Draws52
Losses76
Goals scored3239
Goals conceded3322
Scored per game1.61.9
Conceded per game1.61.1
Home record4W 4D 2L6W 1D 2L
Away record4W 1D 5L6W 1D 4L
Clean sheets20%45%
Both teams scored60%35%
Over 2.5 goals60%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals79%2/7
Over 2.5 goals55%5/6
Over 3.5 goals32%85/40
Both teams to score57%8/11
Liverpool or Draw50%Evens
Brighton & Hove Albion or Draw75%1/3
Liverpool to win and Over 2.515%11/2
Brighton & Hove Albion to win and Over 2.533%2/1
Liverpool clean sheet18%9/2
Brighton & Hove Albion clean sheet32%85/40

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.9%
1-29.7%
0-19.1%
0-28.4%
2-16.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Premier League

Arrests and Police Officer Injured After Liverpool and Man City Match

Merseyside Police arrested ten people and an officer suffered a serious facial injury following Sunday match at Anfield.

12 Oct 2026
Premier League

Liverpool Look to Secure New Goalkeeper and Right Back

Liverpool are tracking Hull City keeper Konstantinos Tzolakis, while Manchester United watch Fulham teenager Josh King.

12 Oct 2026
Premier League

Man City silence Anfield hostility with 3-0 win over Liverpool

Manchester City secured a 3-0 victory at Liverpool despite facing intense hostility from home fans over financial rules.

12 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

Our prediction for Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion is Brighton & Hove Albion to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10.

What is the score prediction for Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect Liverpool to score 1.1 goals and Brighton & Hove Albion 1.7.

Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Liverpool last 20 games and 7 of Brighton & Hove Albion last 20.

How are Liverpool playing?

Liverpool have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, D, newest first.

How are Brighton & Hove Albion playing?

Brighton & Hove Albion have 12 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Liverpool and Brighton & Hove Albion last met?

It ended Brighton & Hove Albion 2, Liverpool 1. In the last 3 meetings Liverpool won 2 and Brighton & Hove Albion won 1.

What is the best bet for Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

Over 1.5 goals at 3/10, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Liverpool against Brighton. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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