PredictionsUnited StatesLos Angeles Dodgers vs San Francisco Giants
MLBFri 25 Sept, 22:15 United States time

Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Francisco Giants prediction

Oracle Park

Los Angeles DodgersAway
5.5 : 3.8
projected runs
San Francisco GiantsHome
69%Dodgers
31%Giants
Eagle safe pickDodgers +0.5
-249

Quick answer

Our prediction for Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Francisco Giants is Los Angeles Dodgers to win, with a 69% chance. We project Los Angeles Dodgers 5.5 and San Francisco Giants 3.8. Our best bet is Dodgers +0.5 at -249.

Prediction
Los Angeles Dodgers to win
Chance
69%
Projected score
Los Angeles Dodgers 6, San Francisco Giants 4
Projected total
9.3 runs
Best bet
Dodgers +0.5 at -249

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Dodgers +0.5
71% chanceFair price -2491 unit

Eagle bold pick

Giants to win
31% chanceFair price +2261 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives San Francisco Giants 31% and Los Angeles Dodgers 69%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    San Francisco Giants won 1 of their last 5 and Los Angeles Dodgers won 3 of their last 5. Los Angeles Dodgers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    San Francisco Giants won 6 of their last 12 games at home. Los Angeles Dodgers won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    San Francisco Giants score 5.3 runs a game and let in 5.4. Los Angeles Dodgers score 4.8 and let in 3.5. Their recent games average 10.7 and 8.3 runs in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, San Francisco Giants won 2 and Los Angeles Dodgers won 3. The last one ended Los Angeles Dodgers 5, San Francisco Giants 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Dodgers +0.5 has a 71% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Giantsrest between games-5%
  • Dodgersrest between games-5%
  • Giantsteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Francisco Giants: Los Angeles Dodgers are favourites

The big picture

San Francisco Giants host Los Angeles Dodgers in the MLB on Fri 25 Sept, 22:15 at Oracle Park. Our prediction for Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Francisco Giants is Los Angeles Dodgers to win, with a 69% chance. We project Los Angeles Dodgers 5.5 and San Francisco Giants 3.8. Our best bet is Dodgers +0.5 at -249.

San Francisco Giants form

San Francisco Giants have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 105 runs scored and 108 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 6 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Los Angeles Dodgers form

Los Angeles Dodgers have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 96 runs scored and 70 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. San Francisco Giants won 2, Los Angeles Dodgers won 3. Last time out it finished Los Angeles Dodgers 5, San Francisco Giants 2.

Our call

We expect Los Angeles Dodgers to score about 5.5 runs and San Francisco Giants about 3.8. That points to Los Angeles Dodgers to win. Our safest bet is Dodgers +0.5 at -249. Our bold bet is Giants to win at +226.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

GiantsDodgers
Games played2020
Wins912
Losses118
Runs scored10596
Runs conceded10870
Scored per game5.34.8
Conceded per game5.43.5
Home record6W 6L8W 2L
Away record3W 5L4W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Giants spreadCoversFair
Giants -0.530%+231
Giants +0.539%+156
Giants +1.548%+107
Giants +2.558%-137
Giants +3.567%-201
Total runsOverUnder
7.566%34%
8.558%42%
9.549%51%
10.540%60%
11.531%69%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Giants +3.5 wins if Giants win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Francisco Giants?

Our prediction for Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Francisco Giants is Los Angeles Dodgers to win, with a 69% chance. We project Los Angeles Dodgers 5.5 and San Francisco Giants 3.8. Our best bet is Dodgers +0.5 at -249.

What is the projected score for Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Francisco Giants?

We project Los Angeles Dodgers 5.5 and San Francisco Giants 3.8, about 9.3 runs in total.

How are San Francisco Giants playing?

San Francisco Giants have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 105 runs scored and 108 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 6 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Los Angeles Dodgers playing?

Los Angeles Dodgers have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 96 runs scored and 70 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when San Francisco Giants and Los Angeles Dodgers last met?

It ended Los Angeles Dodgers 5, San Francisco Giants 2. In the last 5 meetings San Francisco Giants won 2 and Los Angeles Dodgers won 3.

What is the best bet for Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Francisco Giants?

Dodgers +0.5 at -249, with a 71% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Giants against Dodgers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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