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Predictions › United States › Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors
NBAFri 30 Oct, 22:00 United States time

Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors prediction

Chase Center

Los Angeles LakersAway
117.4 : 117.0
projected points
Golden State WarriorsHome
53%Lakers
47%Warriors
Eagle safe pickWarriors +9.5
-330

Quick answer

Our prediction for Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors is Los Angeles Lakers to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Los Angeles Lakers 117.4 and Golden State Warriors 117.0. Our best bet is Warriors +9.5 at -330.

Prediction
Los Angeles Lakers to win
Chance
53%
Projected score
Los Angeles Lakers 117, Golden State Warriors 117
Projected total
234.4 points
Best bet
Warriors +9.5 at -330

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Warriors +9.5
77% chanceFair price -3302 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Golden State Warriors 47% and Los Angeles Lakers 53%. The bookmakers agree and make Los Angeles Lakers the favourite at -115.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Golden State Warriors won 4 of their last 5 and Los Angeles Lakers won 2 of their last 5. Golden State Warriors come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Golden State Warriors won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Los Angeles Lakers won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Golden State Warriors score 113.3 points a game and let in 115.0. Los Angeles Lakers score 106.1 and let in 108.5. Their recent games average 228.3 and 214.6 points in total, and the market line is 236.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Golden State Warriors won 2 and Los Angeles Lakers won 3. The last one ended Los Angeles Lakers 89, Golden State Warriors 101.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Warriors +9.5 has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Lakersteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors: Los Angeles Lakers shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Golden State Warriors host Los Angeles Lakers in the NBA on Fri 30 Oct, 22:00 at Chase Center. Our prediction for Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors is Los Angeles Lakers to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Los Angeles Lakers 117.4 and Golden State Warriors 117.0. Our best bet is Warriors +9.5 at -330.

Golden State Warriors form

Golden State Warriors have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 2266 points scored and 2300 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Los Angeles Lakers form

Los Angeles Lakers have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 2122 points scored and 2170 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Golden State Warriors won 2, Los Angeles Lakers won 3. Last time out it finished Los Angeles Lakers 89, Golden State Warriors 101.

Our call

We expect Los Angeles Lakers to score about 117.4 points and Golden State Warriors about 117.0. That points to Los Angeles Lakers to win. Our safest bet is Warriors +9.5 at -330.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

WarriorsLakers
Games played2020
Wins99
Losses1111
Points scored22662122
Points conceded23002170
Scored per game113.3106.1
Conceded per game115.0108.5
Home record6W 4L5W 6L
Away record3W 7L4W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Warriors to win47%+111-105-7.6%
Lakers to win49%+105-115-8.8%
Warriors +1.550%-101-115-6.1%
Lakers -1.546%+118-105-10.5%
Over 236.5 points45%+122-110-13.9%
Under 236.5 points51%-104-110-2.7%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Warriors spreadCoversFair
Warriors -5.532%+214
Warriors -2.541%+145
Warriors +0.550%-101
Warriors +3.560%-148
Warriors +6.569%-219
Total pointsOverUnder
228.563%37%
231.556%44%
234.550%50%
237.543%57%
240.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Warriors +3.5 wins if Warriors win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Steph Curry Expected to Play in Opener After Ankle Scare

Stephen Curry is expected to play against the Lakers after practicing fully following an ankle tweak during Sunday's scrimmage.

19 Oct 2026
NBA

Lakers Center Walker Kessler Returns to Full Practice After Finger Injury

Walker Kessler joined full practice on Sunday as he targets his Lakers debut following a left pinkie injury.

11 Oct 2026
NBA

Brandin Podziemski Agrees to Long Term Golden State Warriors Extension

Brandin Podziemski and the Golden State Warriors have agreed to a five year contract extension worth 110 million dollars.

10 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors?

Our prediction for Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors is Los Angeles Lakers to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Los Angeles Lakers 117.4 and Golden State Warriors 117.0. Our best bet is Warriors +9.5 at -330.

What is the projected score for Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors?

We project Los Angeles Lakers 117.4 and Golden State Warriors 117.0, about 234.4 points in total.

How are Golden State Warriors playing?

Golden State Warriors have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 2266 points scored and 2300 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Los Angeles Lakers playing?

Los Angeles Lakers have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 2122 points scored and 2170 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Golden State Warriors and Los Angeles Lakers last met?

It ended Los Angeles Lakers 89, Golden State Warriors 101. In the last 5 meetings Golden State Warriors won 2 and Los Angeles Lakers won 3.

What is the best bet for Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors?

Warriors +9.5 at -330, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Warriors against Lakers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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