Predictions › United States › Los Angeles Rams vs Las Vegas Raiders
NFLSun 25 Oct, 16:25 United States time

Los Angeles Rams vs Las Vegas Raiders prediction

Allegiant Stadium

Los Angeles RamsAway
27.2 : 20.5
projected points
Las Vegas RaidersHome
73%Rams
27%Raiders
Eagle safe pickRams to win
-310

Quick answer

Our prediction for Los Angeles Rams vs Las Vegas Raiders is Los Angeles Rams to win, with a 73% chance. We project Los Angeles Rams 27.2 and Las Vegas Raiders 20.5. Our best bet is Rams to win at -310.

Prediction
Los Angeles Rams to win
Chance
73%
Projected score
Los Angeles Rams 27, Las Vegas Raiders 21
Projected total
47.7 points
Best bet
Rams to win at -310

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Rams to win
73% chancePrice -3101 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Las Vegas Raiders 27% and Los Angeles Rams 73%. The bookmakers agree and make Los Angeles Rams the favourite at -310.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Las Vegas Raiders won 3 of their last 5 and Los Angeles Rams won 2 of their last 5. Las Vegas Raiders come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Las Vegas Raiders won 3 of their last 11 games at home. Los Angeles Rams won 7 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Las Vegas Raiders score 16.9 points a game and let in 24.4. Los Angeles Rams score 29.1 and let in 22.4. Their recent games average 41.3 and 51.5 points in total, and the market line is 48.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Rams to win has a 73% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Ramsrest between games-2%
  • Raidersteam news+1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Los Angeles Rams vs Las Vegas Raiders: Los Angeles Rams are favourites

The big picture

Las Vegas Raiders host Los Angeles Rams in the NFL on Sun 25 Oct, 16:25 at Allegiant Stadium. Our prediction for Los Angeles Rams vs Las Vegas Raiders is Los Angeles Rams to win, with a 73% chance. We project Los Angeles Rams 27.2 and Las Vegas Raiders 20.5. Our best bet is Rams to win at -310.

Las Vegas Raiders form

Las Vegas Raiders have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 338 points scored and 487 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Los Angeles Rams form

Los Angeles Rams have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 583 points scored and 448 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Los Angeles Rams to score about 27.2 points and Las Vegas Raiders about 20.5. That points to Los Angeles Rams to win. Our safest bet is Rams to win at -310.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

RaidersRams
Games played2020
Wins613
Losses147
Points scored338583
Points conceded487448
Scored per game16.929.1
Conceded per game24.422.4
Home record3W 8L6W 2L
Away record3W 6L7W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Raiders to win27%+273+250-6.1%
Rams to win73%-274-310-3.1%
Raiders +749%+103-115-7.8%
Rams -748%+108-105-6.3%
Over 48.5 points47%+113-110-10.4%
Under 48.5 points50%-101-110-3.8%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Raiders spreadCoversFair
Raiders -0.530%+236
Raiders +3.541%+146
Raiders +6.549%+102
Raiders +9.558%-140
Raiders +13.569%-226
Total pointsOverUnder
40.571%29%
44.560%40%
47.551%49%
50.541%59%
54.530%70%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Raiders +3.5 wins if Raiders win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Los Angeles Rams vs Las Vegas Raiders?

Our prediction for Los Angeles Rams vs Las Vegas Raiders is Los Angeles Rams to win, with a 73% chance. We project Los Angeles Rams 27.2 and Las Vegas Raiders 20.5. Our best bet is Rams to win at -310.

What is the projected score for Los Angeles Rams vs Las Vegas Raiders?

We project Los Angeles Rams 27.2 and Las Vegas Raiders 20.5, about 47.7 points in total.

How are Las Vegas Raiders playing?

Las Vegas Raiders have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 338 points scored and 487 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Los Angeles Rams playing?

Los Angeles Rams have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 583 points scored and 448 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Los Angeles Rams vs Las Vegas Raiders?

Rams to win at -310, with a 73% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Raiders against Rams. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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