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Predictions › United Kingdom › Manchester United vs AFC Bournemouth
Premier LeagueSun 25 Oct, 14:00 United Kingdom time

Manchester United vs AFC Bournemouth prediction

Old Trafford

Manchester UnitedHome
2.19 : 1.34
expected goals
AFC BournemouthAway
56%Man United
21%Draw
22%Bournemouth
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1/6

Quick answer

Our prediction for Manchester United vs AFC Bournemouth is Manchester United to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/6.

Prediction
Manchester United to win
Chance
56%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
Manchester United 2.2, AFC Bournemouth 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1/6
Both teams to score
66%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
86% chanceFair price 1/62 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Manchester United to win and Over 2.5
44% chanceFair price 5/41 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Manchester United 56%, the draw 21% and AFC Bournemouth 22%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Manchester United took 2 points from their last 5 games and AFC Bournemouth took 7 from 5. AFC Bournemouth come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Manchester United won 7 of their last 11 games at home. AFC Bournemouth won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Manchester United score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.4. AFC Bournemouth score 1.6 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Manchester United games and 12 of AFC Bournemouth games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Manchester United won 0 and AFC Bournemouth won 0 with 2 draws. The last one ended AFC Bournemouth 2, Manchester United 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 86% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Man Unitedrecent form-3%
  • Bournemouthrecent form-1%
  • Man Unitedrest between games-2%
  • Bournemouthrest between games-5%
Man United form D D D L LBournemouth form D L L W DHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Manchester United vs AFC Bournemouth: Manchester United are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Manchester United host AFC Bournemouth in the Premier League on Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 at Old Trafford. Our prediction for Manchester United vs AFC Bournemouth is Manchester United to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/6.

Manchester United form

Manchester United have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, L, newest first.

AFC Bournemouth form

AFC Bournemouth have 7 wins, 10 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Manchester United won 0, AFC Bournemouth won 0 and 2 games ended level. Last time out it finished AFC Bournemouth 2, Manchester United 2.

Our call

We expect Manchester United to score about 2.2 goals and AFC Bournemouth about 1.3. That points to Manchester United to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/6. Our bold bet is Manchester United to win and Over 2.5 at 5/4.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Man UnitedBournemouth
Games played2020
Wins97
Draws510
Losses63
Goals scored3631
Goals conceded2723
Scored per game1.81.6
Conceded per game1.41.1
Home record7W 1D 3L3W 7D 1L
Away record2W 4D 3L4W 3D 2L
Clean sheets20%30%
Both teams scored65%65%
Over 2.5 goals65%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals87%1/7
Over 2.5 goals68%4/9
Over 3.5 goals47%11/10
Both teams to score66%1/2
Manchester United or Draw78%2/7
AFC Bournemouth or Draw44%5/4
Manchester United to win and Over 2.543%5/4
AFC Bournemouth to win and Over 2.516%5/1
Manchester United clean sheet26%11/4
AFC Bournemouth clean sheet11%8/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-19.4%
1-19.1%
2-07.1%
3-16.9%
2-26.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Premier League

Carrick Shrugs Off Squad Rift Rumours Before Leeds Trip

Michael Carrick insists Manchester United are united following Lisandro Martinez's public apology for his comments this week.

2 hours ago
Champions League

Viking Stuns Bayern as PSG Hits Top Gear

Viking FK earned a dramatic draw against Bayern Munich, while Paris Saint-Germain continued their strong turnaround with five straight wins.

15 Oct 2026
Premier League

Spurs Fight Back at Old Trafford as De Zerbi Sees Fresh Hope

Tottenham grabbed a late draw at Manchester United, giving manager Roberto De Zerbi something to build on during their trip to Spain.

11 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Manchester United vs AFC Bournemouth?

Our prediction for Manchester United vs AFC Bournemouth is Manchester United to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/6.

What is the score prediction for Manchester United vs AFC Bournemouth?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 2-0. We expect Manchester United to score 2.2 goals and AFC Bournemouth 1.3.

Will both teams score in Manchester United vs AFC Bournemouth?

Both teams to score has a 66% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Manchester United last 20 games and 13 of AFC Bournemouth last 20.

How are Manchester United playing?

Manchester United have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, L, newest first.

How are AFC Bournemouth playing?

AFC Bournemouth have 7 wins, 10 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Manchester United and AFC Bournemouth last met?

It ended AFC Bournemouth 2, Manchester United 2. In the last 2 meetings Manchester United won 0 and AFC Bournemouth won 0.

What is the best bet for Manchester United vs AFC Bournemouth?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/6, with a 86% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Man United against Bournemouth. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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