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Predictions › Champions League › Manchester United vs AS Roma
Champions LeagueTue 3 Nov, 20:00 UTC

Manchester United vs AS Roma prediction

Old Trafford

Manchester UnitedHome
1.71 : 1.50
expected goals
AS RomaAway
42%Man United
24%Draw
33%AS Roma
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for Manchester United vs AS Roma is Manchester United to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

Prediction
Manchester United to win
Chance
42%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Manchester United 1.7, AS Roma 1.5
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.20
Both teams to score
64%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
83% chanceFair price 1.202 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

AS Roma to win
32% chancePrice 3.10+0.0% value1 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Manchester United 42%, the draw 24% and AS Roma 33%. The bookmakers agree and make Manchester United the favourite at 2.05.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Manchester United took 3 points from their last 5 games and AS Roma took 8 from 5. AS Roma come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Manchester United won 6 of their last 10 games at home. AS Roma won 5 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Manchester United score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.4. AS Roma score 2.4 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Manchester United games and 11 of AS Roma games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Man Unitedrecent form-1%
  • AS Romarecent form+1%
  • AS Romarest between games-5%
  • Man Unitedteam news-1%
Man United form D D L D DAS Roma form D W W L DHome edge in this league 33% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Manchester United vs AS Roma: Manchester United shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Manchester United host AS Roma in the Champions League on Tue 3 Nov, 20:00 at Old Trafford. Our prediction for Manchester United vs AS Roma is Manchester United to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

Manchester United form

Manchester United have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, D, D, newest first.

AS Roma form

AS Roma have 13 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 47 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, L, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Manchester United to score about 1.7 goals and AS Roma about 1.5. That points to Manchester United to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20. Our bold bet is AS Roma to win at 3.10.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Man UnitedAS Roma
Games played2020
Wins813
Draws65
Losses62
Goals scored3547
Goals conceded2919
Scored per game1.82.4
Conceded per game1.40.9
Home record6W 1D 3L8W 2D 1L
Away record2W 5D 3L5W 3D 1L
Clean sheets20%60%
Both teams scored65%40%
Over 2.5 goals60%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Manchester United to win42%2.412.05-14.8%
A Draw24%4.223.80-9.9%
AS Roma to win32%3.103.10+0.0%
Over 3.5 goals40%2.472.25-9.0%
Under 3.5 goals53%1.871.57-16.0%
Manchester United -0.544%2.291.95-14.8%
AS Roma +0.550%1.981.69-14.7%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals84%1.19
Over 2.5 goals62%1.60
Over 3.5 goals40%2.49
Both teams to score64%1.55
Manchester United or Draw67%1.50
AS Roma or Draw58%1.73
Manchester United to win and Over 2.530%3.33
AS Roma to win and Over 2.523%4.27
Manchester United clean sheet22%4.50
AS Roma clean sheet18%5.54

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.0%
2-18.8%
1-27.8%
2-26.6%
1-06.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Premier League

Michael Carrick Demands Focus as Manchester United Face Bournemouth

Michael Carrick demands a strong mental response from Manchester United as they aim to snap a seven game winless streak against Bournemouth.

10 hours ago
Premier League

Antonio Conte Denies Advanced Talks Amid Links to Manchester United

Antonio Conte says he is not in advanced negotiations with any club despite reports linking him to Manchester United.

23 Oct 2026
Champions League

Fabregas Regrets Telling Como to Ease Off in Man United Win

Cesc Fabregas expressed regret for telling his Como players to slow down near the end of their 4-1 win over Manchester United.

22 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Manchester United vs AS Roma?

Our prediction for Manchester United vs AS Roma is Manchester United to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Manchester United vs AS Roma?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Manchester United to score 1.7 goals and AS Roma 1.5.

Will both teams score in Manchester United vs AS Roma?

Both teams to score has a 64% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Manchester United last 20 games and 8 of AS Roma last 20.

How are Manchester United playing?

Manchester United have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, D, D, newest first.

How are AS Roma playing?

AS Roma have 13 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 47 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, L, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Manchester United vs AS Roma?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.20, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Man United against AS Roma. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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