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Predictions › United Kingdom › Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur
Premier LeagueSat 10 Oct, 17:30 United Kingdom time

Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur prediction

Old Trafford

Manchester UnitedHome
1.97 : 1.15
expected goals
Tottenham HotspurAway
56%Man United
23%Draw
21%Spurs
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1/4

Quick answer

Our prediction for Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur is Manchester United to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

Prediction
Manchester United to win
Chance
56%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Manchester United 2.0, Tottenham Hotspur 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1/4
Both teams to score
59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
80% chanceFair price 1/42 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Manchester United to win and Over 2.5
37% chanceFair price 7/41 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Manchester United 56%, the draw 23% and Tottenham Hotspur 21%. The bookmakers agree and make Manchester United the favourite at 4/6.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Manchester United took 5 points from their last 5 games and Tottenham Hotspur took 2 from 5. Manchester United come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Manchester United won 7 of their last 10 games at home. Tottenham Hotspur won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Manchester United score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.3. Tottenham Hotspur score 1.2 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Manchester United games and 12 of Tottenham Hotspur games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Manchester United won 1 and Tottenham Hotspur won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Manchester United 2, Tottenham Hotspur 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Man Unitedrecent form-1%
  • Spursrecent form-4%
Man United form D L L W DSpurs form L L D D LHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur: Manchester United are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Manchester United host Tottenham Hotspur in the Premier League on Sat 10 Oct, 17:30 at Old Trafford. Our prediction for Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur is Manchester United to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

Manchester United form

Manchester United have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, D, newest first.

Tottenham Hotspur form

Tottenham Hotspur have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Manchester United won 1, Tottenham Hotspur won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Manchester United 2, Tottenham Hotspur 0.

Our call

We expect Manchester United to score about 2.0 goals and Tottenham Hotspur about 1.1. That points to Manchester United to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4. Our bold bet is Manchester United to win and Over 2.5 at 7/4.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Man UnitedSpurs
Games played2020
Wins105
Draws55
Losses510
Goals scored3724
Goals conceded2535
Scored per game1.91.2
Conceded per game1.31.8
Home record7W 0D 3L3W 3D 4L
Away record3W 5D 2L2W 2D 6L
Clean sheets25%20%
Both teams scored65%60%
Over 2.5 goals65%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Manchester United to win53%10/114/6-11.2%
A Draw22%7/23/1-8.0%
Tottenham Hotspur to win21%4/110/3-10.4%
Over 3.5 goals38%13/86/5-15.9%
Under 3.5 goals56%4/58/13-9.8%
Manchester United -0.553%10/118/13-15.3%
Tottenham Hotspur +0.541%7/521/20-15.9%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals82%2/9
Over 2.5 goals60%4/6
Over 3.5 goals38%13/8
Both teams to score59%4/6
Manchester United or Draw79%2/7
Tottenham Hotspur or Draw44%5/4
Manchester United to win and Over 2.539%8/5
Tottenham Hotspur to win and Over 2.514%6/1
Manchester United clean sheet32%85/40
Tottenham Hotspur clean sheet14%6/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.6%
2-19.9%
2-08.6%
1-08.1%
3-16.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Premier League

Fulham Boss Álvaro Arbeloa Charged By FA After Manchester United Draw

Fulham manager Álvaro Arbeloa faces an FA misconduct charge for claiming officials would not let Manchester United lose.

4 hours ago
Premier League

Former Man United Boss Apologizes to Fan Who Refuses to Cut His Hair

Former Manchester United manager Ruben Amorim apologized to viral fan Frank Ilett, who refuses to cut his hair until the team wins five games in a row.

25 Sept 2026
Premier League

United Chief Preaches Financial Discipline After Losses Rise

Manchester United CEO Omar Berrada says the club is focusing on financial sustainability after reporting an overall loss of £43 million.

23 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur?

Our prediction for Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur is Manchester United to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

What is the score prediction for Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Manchester United to score 2.0 goals and Tottenham Hotspur 1.1.

Will both teams score in Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Manchester United last 20 games and 12 of Tottenham Hotspur last 20.

How are Manchester United playing?

Manchester United have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, D, newest first.

How are Tottenham Hotspur playing?

Tottenham Hotspur have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Manchester United and Tottenham Hotspur last met?

It ended Manchester United 2, Tottenham Hotspur 0. In the last 2 meetings Manchester United won 1 and Tottenham Hotspur won 0.

What is the best bet for Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/4, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Man United against Spurs. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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