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College FootballSat 7 Nov, 12:30 United States time

Maryland Terrapins vs Purdue Boilermakers prediction

Ross-Ade Stadium

Maryland TerrapinsAway
29.6 : 30.2
projected points
Purdue BoilermakersHome
52%Maryland
48%Purdue
Eagle safe pickOver 49.5 points
-299

Quick answer

Our prediction for Maryland Terrapins vs Purdue Boilermakers is Maryland Terrapins to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Maryland Terrapins 29.6 and Purdue Boilermakers 30.2. Our best bet is Over 49.5 points at -299.

Prediction
Maryland Terrapins to win
Chance
52%
Projected score
Maryland Terrapins 30, Purdue Boilermakers 30
Projected total
59.8 points
Best bet
Over 49.5 points at -299

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 49.5 points
75% chanceFair price -2991 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Purdue Boilermakers 48% and Maryland Terrapins 52%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Purdue Boilermakers won 2 of their last 5 and Maryland Terrapins won 0 of their last 5. Purdue Boilermakers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Purdue Boilermakers won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Maryland Terrapins won 2 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Purdue Boilermakers score 22.3 points a game and let in 34.8. Maryland Terrapins score 24.8 and let in 31.5. Their recent games average 57.1 and 56.2 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 49.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Maryland Terrapins vs Purdue Boilermakers: Maryland Terrapins shade it

The big picture

Purdue Boilermakers host Maryland Terrapins in the College Football on Sat 7 Nov, 12:30 at Ross-Ade Stadium. Our prediction for Maryland Terrapins vs Purdue Boilermakers is Maryland Terrapins to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Maryland Terrapins 29.6 and Purdue Boilermakers 30.2. Our best bet is Over 49.5 points at -299.

Purdue Boilermakers form

Purdue Boilermakers have 3 wins and 14 losses in their last 17 games, with 379 points scored and 591 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Maryland Terrapins form

Maryland Terrapins have 4 wins and 13 losses in their last 17 games, with 421 points scored and 535 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Maryland Terrapins to score about 29.6 points and Purdue Boilermakers about 30.2. That points to Maryland Terrapins to win. Our safest bet is Over 49.5 points at -299.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 17 games in all competitions.

PurdueMaryland
Games played1717
Wins34
Losses1413
Points scored379421
Points conceded591535
Scored per game22.324.8
Conceded per game34.831.5
Home record2W 8L2W 7L
Away record1W 6L2W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Purdue spreadCoversFair
Purdue -7.533%+200
Purdue -3.543%+133
Purdue -0.550%-101
Purdue +2.558%-137
Purdue +6.567%-205
Total pointsOverUnder
52.568%32%
56.558%42%
59.551%49%
62.543%57%
66.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Purdue +3.5 wins if Purdue win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Maryland Terrapins vs Purdue Boilermakers?

Our prediction for Maryland Terrapins vs Purdue Boilermakers is Maryland Terrapins to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Maryland Terrapins 29.6 and Purdue Boilermakers 30.2. Our best bet is Over 49.5 points at -299.

What is the projected score for Maryland Terrapins vs Purdue Boilermakers?

We project Maryland Terrapins 29.6 and Purdue Boilermakers 30.2, about 59.8 points in total.

How are Purdue Boilermakers playing?

Purdue Boilermakers have 3 wins and 14 losses in their last 17 games, with 379 points scored and 591 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Maryland Terrapins playing?

Maryland Terrapins have 4 wins and 13 losses in their last 17 games, with 421 points scored and 535 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Maryland Terrapins vs Purdue Boilermakers?

Over 49.5 points at -299, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Purdue against Maryland. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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