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Predictions › United States › Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves
NBASat 21 Nov, 20:00 United States time

Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves prediction

Target Center

Memphis GrizzliesAway
111.2 : 117.7
projected points
Minnesota TimberwolvesHome
28%Grizzlies
72%Timberwolves
Eagle safe pickGrizzlies +14.5
-299

Quick answer

Our prediction for Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves is Minnesota Timberwolves to win, with a 72% chance. We project Memphis Grizzlies 111.2 and Minnesota Timberwolves 117.7. Our best bet is Grizzlies +14.5 at -299.

Prediction
Minnesota Timberwolves to win
Chance
72%
Projected score
Memphis Grizzlies 111, Minnesota Timberwolves 118
Projected total
228.8 points
Best bet
Grizzlies +14.5 at -299

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Grizzlies +14.5
75% chanceFair price -2991 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Grizzlies to win
29% chanceFair price +2421 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Minnesota Timberwolves 72% and Memphis Grizzlies 28%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Minnesota Timberwolves won 4 of their last 5 and Memphis Grizzlies won 2 of their last 5. Minnesota Timberwolves come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Minnesota Timberwolves won 5 of their last 8 games at home. Memphis Grizzlies won 7 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Minnesota Timberwolves score 115.8 points a game and let in 113.0. Memphis Grizzlies score 115.3 and let in 118.3. Their recent games average 228.8 and 233.7 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Minnesota Timberwolves won 2 and Memphis Grizzlies won 2. The last one ended Minnesota Timberwolves 117, Memphis Grizzlies 110.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Grizzlies +14.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Grizzliesrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves: Minnesota Timberwolves are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Minnesota Timberwolves host Memphis Grizzlies in the NBA on Sat 21 Nov, 20:00 at Target Center. Our prediction for Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves is Minnesota Timberwolves to win, with a 72% chance. We project Memphis Grizzlies 111.2 and Minnesota Timberwolves 117.7. Our best bet is Grizzlies +14.5 at -299.

Minnesota Timberwolves form

Minnesota Timberwolves have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 2316 points scored and 2260 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Memphis Grizzlies form

Memphis Grizzlies have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2307 points scored and 2367 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Minnesota Timberwolves won 2, Memphis Grizzlies won 2. Last time out it finished Minnesota Timberwolves 117, Memphis Grizzlies 110.

Our call

We expect Memphis Grizzlies to score about 111.2 points and Minnesota Timberwolves about 117.7. That points to Minnesota Timberwolves to win. Our safest bet is Grizzlies +14.5 at -299. Our bold bet is Grizzlies to win at +242.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

TimberwolvesGrizzlies
Games played2020
Wins1210
Losses810
Points scored23162307
Points conceded22602367
Scored per game115.8115.3
Conceded per game113.0118.3
Home record5W 3L3W 6L
Away record7W 5L7W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Timberwolves spreadCoversFair
Timberwolves -12.532%+217
Timberwolves -9.540%+147
Timberwolves -6.550%+100
Timberwolves -3.559%-146
Timberwolves -0.568%-216
Total pointsOverUnder
222.564%36%
225.557%43%
228.551%49%
231.544%56%
234.538%62%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Timberwolves +3.5 wins if Timberwolves win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Ja Morant Suffers Hamstring Injury in Portland Loss to Grizzlies

Ja Morant suffered a left hamstring injury during the Portland Trail Blazers' 124-103 loss to his former team in Memphis.

30 Oct 2026
NBA

NBA Head Coaches Demand Fixes to Flopping Rules

Chris Finch and Steve Kerr want the NBA to adjust how flopping technicals are called, targeting offensive foul baiting instead of defense.

29 Oct 2026
NBA

Anthony Edwards Set for Knee Surgery, Out Up to Two Months

Minnesota Timberwolves star Anthony Edwards will miss up to two months due to right knee surgery.

27 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves?

Our prediction for Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves is Minnesota Timberwolves to win, with a 72% chance. We project Memphis Grizzlies 111.2 and Minnesota Timberwolves 117.7. Our best bet is Grizzlies +14.5 at -299.

What is the projected score for Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves?

We project Memphis Grizzlies 111.2 and Minnesota Timberwolves 117.7, about 228.8 points in total.

How are Minnesota Timberwolves playing?

Minnesota Timberwolves have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 2316 points scored and 2260 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Memphis Grizzlies playing?

Memphis Grizzlies have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2307 points scored and 2367 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Minnesota Timberwolves and Memphis Grizzlies last met?

It ended Minnesota Timberwolves 117, Memphis Grizzlies 110. In the last 4 meetings Minnesota Timberwolves won 2 and Memphis Grizzlies won 2.

What is the best bet for Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves?

Grizzlies +14.5 at -299, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Timberwolves against Grizzlies. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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