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Predictions › United States › Memphis Grizzlies vs New Orleans Pelicans
NBAFri 13 Nov, 20:00 United States time

Memphis Grizzlies vs New Orleans Pelicans prediction

Smoothie King Center

Memphis GrizzliesAway
117.2 : 120.9
projected points
New Orleans PelicansHome
42%Grizzlies
58%Pelicans
Eagle safe pickPelicans +4.5
-307

Quick answer

Our prediction for Memphis Grizzlies vs New Orleans Pelicans is New Orleans Pelicans to win, with a 58% chance, but it is a close call. We project Memphis Grizzlies 117.2 and New Orleans Pelicans 120.9. Our best bet is Pelicans +4.5 at -307.

Prediction
New Orleans Pelicans to win
Chance
58%
Projected score
Memphis Grizzlies 117, New Orleans Pelicans 121
Projected total
238.2 points
Best bet
Pelicans +4.5 at -307

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Pelicans +4.5
75% chanceFair price -3072 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Grizzlies to win
37% chanceFair price +1701 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives New Orleans Pelicans 58% and Memphis Grizzlies 42%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    New Orleans Pelicans won 3 of their last 5 and Memphis Grizzlies won 4 of their last 5. Memphis Grizzlies come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    New Orleans Pelicans won 4 of their last 8 games at home. Memphis Grizzlies won 6 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    New Orleans Pelicans score 116.9 points a game and let in 121.2. Memphis Grizzlies score 116.9 and let in 120.8. Their recent games average 238.1 and 237.7 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, New Orleans Pelicans won 3 and Memphis Grizzlies won 2. The last one ended Memphis Grizzlies 134, New Orleans Pelicans 135.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Pelicans +4.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Pelicansrest between games-5%
  • Grizzliesrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Memphis Grizzlies vs New Orleans Pelicans: New Orleans Pelicans shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

New Orleans Pelicans host Memphis Grizzlies in the NBA on Fri 13 Nov, 20:00 at Smoothie King Center. Our prediction for Memphis Grizzlies vs New Orleans Pelicans is New Orleans Pelicans to win, with a 58% chance, but it is a close call. We project Memphis Grizzlies 117.2 and New Orleans Pelicans 120.9. Our best bet is Pelicans +4.5 at -307.

New Orleans Pelicans form

New Orleans Pelicans have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 2338 points scored and 2424 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Memphis Grizzlies form

Memphis Grizzlies have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2338 points scored and 2415 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. New Orleans Pelicans won 3, Memphis Grizzlies won 2. Last time out it finished Memphis Grizzlies 134, New Orleans Pelicans 135.

Our call

We expect Memphis Grizzlies to score about 117.2 points and New Orleans Pelicans about 120.9. That points to New Orleans Pelicans to win. Our safest bet is Pelicans +4.5 at -307. Our bold bet is Grizzlies to win at +170.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PelicansGrizzlies
Games played2020
Wins710
Losses1310
Points scored23382338
Points conceded24242415
Scored per game116.9116.9
Conceded per game121.2120.8
Home record4W 4L4W 6L
Away record3W 9L6W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Pelicans spreadCoversFair
Pelicans -9.532%+212
Pelicans -6.541%+143
Pelicans -3.551%-102
Pelicans -0.560%-150
Pelicans +2.569%-222
Total pointsOverUnder
232.562%38%
235.556%44%
238.549%51%
241.543%57%
244.536%64%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Pelicans +3.5 wins if Pelicans win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Ja Morant Suffers Hamstring Injury in Portland Loss to Grizzlies

Ja Morant suffered a left hamstring injury during the Portland Trail Blazers' 124-103 loss to his former team in Memphis.

30 Oct 2026
NBA

Grizzlies Stun Warriors With Late 17-0 Run in San Francisco

The Golden State Warriors collapsed in the final four minutes, allowing a 17-0 run as the Memphis Grizzlies snatched a 111-108 road victory.

24 Oct 2026
NBA

Yves Missi Leaves Pelicans Game in Utah With Left Knee Injury

Pelicans center Yves Missi suffered a left knee injury against Utah on Friday and will undergo evaluation on Saturday.

24 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Memphis Grizzlies vs New Orleans Pelicans?

Our prediction for Memphis Grizzlies vs New Orleans Pelicans is New Orleans Pelicans to win, with a 58% chance, but it is a close call. We project Memphis Grizzlies 117.2 and New Orleans Pelicans 120.9. Our best bet is Pelicans +4.5 at -307.

What is the projected score for Memphis Grizzlies vs New Orleans Pelicans?

We project Memphis Grizzlies 117.2 and New Orleans Pelicans 120.9, about 238.2 points in total.

How are New Orleans Pelicans playing?

New Orleans Pelicans have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 2338 points scored and 2424 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Memphis Grizzlies playing?

Memphis Grizzlies have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2338 points scored and 2415 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when New Orleans Pelicans and Memphis Grizzlies last met?

It ended Memphis Grizzlies 134, New Orleans Pelicans 135. In the last 5 meetings New Orleans Pelicans won 3 and Memphis Grizzlies won 2.

What is the best bet for Memphis Grizzlies vs New Orleans Pelicans?

Pelicans +4.5 at -307, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Pelicans against Grizzlies. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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