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NBAMon 9 Nov, 19:30 United States time

Memphis Grizzlies vs Toronto Raptors prediction

Scotiabank Arena

Memphis GrizzliesAway
110.6 : 120.4
projected points
Toronto RaptorsHome
21%Grizzlies
79%Raptors
Eagle safe pickRaptors to win
-377

Quick answer

Our prediction for Memphis Grizzlies vs Toronto Raptors is Toronto Raptors to win, with a 79% chance. We project Memphis Grizzlies 110.6 and Toronto Raptors 120.4. Our best bet is Raptors to win at -377.

Prediction
Toronto Raptors to win
Chance
79%
Projected score
Memphis Grizzlies 111, Toronto Raptors 120
Projected total
230.9 points
Best bet
Raptors to win at -377

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Raptors to win
79% chanceFair price -3772 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Toronto Raptors 79% and Memphis Grizzlies 21%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Toronto Raptors won 3 of their last 5 and Memphis Grizzlies won 5 of their last 5. Memphis Grizzlies come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Toronto Raptors won 9 of their last 11 games at home. Memphis Grizzlies won 6 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Toronto Raptors score 116.3 points a game and let in 111.3. Memphis Grizzlies score 113.8 and let in 120.8. Their recent games average 227.6 and 234.6 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Toronto Raptors won 2 and Memphis Grizzlies won 0. The last one ended Memphis Grizzlies 96, Toronto Raptors 128.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Raptors to win has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Raptorsrest between games-5%
  • Grizzliesrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Memphis Grizzlies vs Toronto Raptors: Toronto Raptors are favourites

The big picture

Toronto Raptors host Memphis Grizzlies in the NBA on Mon 9 Nov, 19:30 at Scotiabank Arena. Our prediction for Memphis Grizzlies vs Toronto Raptors is Toronto Raptors to win, with a 79% chance. We project Memphis Grizzlies 110.6 and Toronto Raptors 120.4. Our best bet is Raptors to win at -377.

Toronto Raptors form

Toronto Raptors have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2326 points scored and 2225 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Memphis Grizzlies form

Memphis Grizzlies have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 2275 points scored and 2417 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Toronto Raptors won 2, Memphis Grizzlies won 0. Last time out it finished Memphis Grizzlies 96, Toronto Raptors 128.

Our call

We expect Memphis Grizzlies to score about 110.6 points and Toronto Raptors about 120.4. That points to Toronto Raptors to win. Our safest bet is Raptors to win at -377.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

RaptorsGrizzlies
Games played2020
Wins109
Losses1011
Points scored23262275
Points conceded22252417
Scored per game116.3113.8
Conceded per game111.3120.8
Home record9W 2L3W 7L
Away record1W 8L6W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Raptors spreadCoversFair
Raptors -15.533%+208
Raptors -12.542%+141
Raptors -9.551%-104
Raptors -6.561%-153
Raptors -3.569%-226
Total pointsOverUnder
224.564%36%
227.558%42%
230.551%49%
233.544%56%
236.538%62%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Raptors +3.5 wins if Raptors win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Memphis Grizzlies vs Toronto Raptors?

Our prediction for Memphis Grizzlies vs Toronto Raptors is Toronto Raptors to win, with a 79% chance. We project Memphis Grizzlies 110.6 and Toronto Raptors 120.4. Our best bet is Raptors to win at -377.

What is the projected score for Memphis Grizzlies vs Toronto Raptors?

We project Memphis Grizzlies 110.6 and Toronto Raptors 120.4, about 230.9 points in total.

How are Toronto Raptors playing?

Toronto Raptors have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2326 points scored and 2225 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Memphis Grizzlies playing?

Memphis Grizzlies have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 2275 points scored and 2417 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Toronto Raptors and Memphis Grizzlies last met?

It ended Memphis Grizzlies 96, Toronto Raptors 128. In the last 2 meetings Toronto Raptors won 2 and Memphis Grizzlies won 0.

What is the best bet for Memphis Grizzlies vs Toronto Raptors?

Raptors to win at -377, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Raptors against Grizzlies. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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