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Predictions › United States › Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings
NFLSun 4 Oct, 16:05 United States time

Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings prediction

U.S. Bank Stadium

Miami DolphinsAway
14.9 : 24.7
projected points
Minnesota VikingsHome
22%Dolphins
78%Vikings
Eagle safe pickOver 32.5 points
-275

Quick answer

Our prediction for Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings is Minnesota Vikings to win, with a 78% chance. We project Miami Dolphins 14.9 and Minnesota Vikings 24.7. Our best bet is Over 32.5 points at -275.

Prediction
Minnesota Vikings to win
Chance
78%
Projected score
Miami Dolphins 15, Minnesota Vikings 25
Projected total
39.6 points
Best bet
Over 32.5 points at -275

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 32.5 points
73% chanceFair price -2751 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Minnesota Vikings 78% and Miami Dolphins 22%. The bookmakers agree and make Minnesota Vikings the favourite at -599.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Minnesota Vikings won 3 of their last 5 and Miami Dolphins won 0 of their last 5. Minnesota Vikings come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Minnesota Vikings won 4 of their last 8 games at home. Miami Dolphins won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Minnesota Vikings score 17.8 points a game and let in 18.8. Miami Dolphins score 17.4 and let in 23.8. Their recent games average 36.5 and 41.3 points in total, and the market line is 39.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 32.5 points has a 73% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Vikingsrest between games-5%
  • Dolphinsrest between games-5%
  • Dolphinsteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings: Minnesota Vikings are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Minnesota Vikings host Miami Dolphins in the NFL on Sun 4 Oct, 16:05 at U.S. Bank Stadium. Our prediction for Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings is Minnesota Vikings to win, with a 78% chance. We project Miami Dolphins 14.9 and Minnesota Vikings 24.7. Our best bet is Over 32.5 points at -275.

Minnesota Vikings form

Minnesota Vikings have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 356 points scored and 375 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Miami Dolphins form

Miami Dolphins have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 349 points scored and 476 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Miami Dolphins to score about 14.9 points and Minnesota Vikings about 24.7. That points to Minnesota Vikings to win. Our safest bet is Over 32.5 points at -275.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

VikingsDolphins
Games played2020
Wins117
Losses913
Points scored356349
Points conceded375476
Scored per game17.817.4
Conceded per game18.823.8
Home record4W 4L5W 6L
Away record7W 5L2W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Vikings to win78%-359-599-8.7%
Dolphins to win19%+425+440+2.8%
Vikings -1046%+115-110-11.4%
Dolphins +1047%+111-110-9.7%
Over 39.5 points47%+112-108-9.1%
Under 39.5 points47%+115-112-11.9%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Vikings spreadCoversFair
Vikings -16.531%+221
Vikings -12.542%+137
Vikings -9.551%-104
Vikings -6.560%-149
Vikings -2.571%-241
Total pointsOverUnder
32.571%29%
36.559%41%
39.550%50%
42.541%59%
46.530%70%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Vikings +3.5 wins if Vikings win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NFL

De'Von Achane Leaves Game Against Chiefs With Knee Injury

Miami Dolphins running back De'Von Achane was ruled out of Sunday's game against the Kansas City Chiefs after suffering a knee injury on the opening drive.

15 hours ago
NFL

Young Dolphins Learn Hard Lessons in Blowout Loss to 49ers

The Miami Dolphins are looking to grow from their 35-13 loss to the San Francisco 49ers as they return home with two losses.

21 Sept 2026
NFL

Kyler Murray Knocked Out of Vikings Debut With Concussion

Kyler Murray's debut for the Minnesota Vikings ended early on Sunday after the quarterback suffered a concussion against the Green Bay Packers.

13 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings?

Our prediction for Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings is Minnesota Vikings to win, with a 78% chance. We project Miami Dolphins 14.9 and Minnesota Vikings 24.7. Our best bet is Over 32.5 points at -275.

What is the projected score for Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings?

We project Miami Dolphins 14.9 and Minnesota Vikings 24.7, about 39.6 points in total.

How are Minnesota Vikings playing?

Minnesota Vikings have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 356 points scored and 375 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Miami Dolphins playing?

Miami Dolphins have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 349 points scored and 476 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings?

Over 32.5 points at -275, with a 73% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Vikings against Dolphins. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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