Predictions › United States › Miami Heat vs Los Angeles Lakers
NBAMon 2 Nov, 22:00 United States time

Miami Heat vs Los Angeles Lakers prediction

crypto.com Arena

Miami HeatAway
116.5 : 118.0
projected points
Los Angeles LakersHome
49%Heat
51%Lakers
Eagle safe pickHeat +9.5
-301

Quick answer

Our prediction for Miami Heat vs Los Angeles Lakers is Los Angeles Lakers to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Miami Heat 116.5 and Los Angeles Lakers 118.0. Our best bet is Heat +9.5 at -301.

Prediction
Los Angeles Lakers to win
Chance
51%
Projected score
Miami Heat 116, Los Angeles Lakers 118
Projected total
234.5 points
Best bet
Heat +9.5 at -301

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Heat +9.5
75% chanceFair price -3012 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Heat to win
44% chanceFair price +1271 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Los Angeles Lakers 51% and Miami Heat 49%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Los Angeles Lakers won 3 of their last 5 and Miami Heat won 1 of their last 5. Los Angeles Lakers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Los Angeles Lakers won 7 of their last 12 games at home. Miami Heat won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Los Angeles Lakers score 108.0 points a game and let in 106.8. Miami Heat score 123.7 and let in 126.0. Their recent games average 214.7 and 249.7 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Los Angeles Lakers won 2 and Miami Heat won 0. The last one ended Miami Heat 126, Los Angeles Lakers 134.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Heat +9.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Lakersrest between games-5%
  • Heatrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Miami Heat vs Los Angeles Lakers: Los Angeles Lakers shade it

The big picture

Los Angeles Lakers host Miami Heat in the NBA on Mon 2 Nov, 22:00 at crypto.com Arena. Our prediction for Miami Heat vs Los Angeles Lakers is Los Angeles Lakers to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Miami Heat 116.5 and Los Angeles Lakers 118.0. Our best bet is Heat +9.5 at -301.

Los Angeles Lakers form

Los Angeles Lakers have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2159 points scored and 2135 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Miami Heat form

Miami Heat have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2474 points scored and 2519 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Los Angeles Lakers won 2, Miami Heat won 0. Last time out it finished Miami Heat 126, Los Angeles Lakers 134.

Our call

We expect Miami Heat to score about 116.5 points and Los Angeles Lakers about 118.0. That points to Los Angeles Lakers to win. Our safest bet is Heat +9.5 at -301. Our bold bet is Heat to win at +127.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

LakersHeat
Games played2020
Wins118
Losses912
Points scored21592474
Points conceded21352519
Scored per game108.0123.7
Conceded per game106.8126.0
Home record7W 5L5W 5L
Away record4W 4L3W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Lakers spreadCoversFair
Lakers -7.532%+217
Lakers -4.541%+147
Lakers -1.550%+100
Lakers +1.559%-147
Lakers +4.568%-217
Total pointsOverUnder
228.563%37%
231.557%43%
234.550%50%
237.543%57%
240.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Lakers +3.5 wins if Lakers win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Miami Heat vs Los Angeles Lakers?

Our prediction for Miami Heat vs Los Angeles Lakers is Los Angeles Lakers to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Miami Heat 116.5 and Los Angeles Lakers 118.0. Our best bet is Heat +9.5 at -301.

What is the projected score for Miami Heat vs Los Angeles Lakers?

We project Miami Heat 116.5 and Los Angeles Lakers 118.0, about 234.5 points in total.

How are Los Angeles Lakers playing?

Los Angeles Lakers have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2159 points scored and 2135 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Miami Heat playing?

Miami Heat have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2474 points scored and 2519 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Los Angeles Lakers and Miami Heat last met?

It ended Miami Heat 126, Los Angeles Lakers 134. In the last 2 meetings Los Angeles Lakers won 2 and Miami Heat won 0.

What is the best bet for Miami Heat vs Los Angeles Lakers?

Heat +9.5 at -301, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Lakers against Heat. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.