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Predictions › United States › Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings
NBASun 8 Nov, 21:00 United States time

Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings prediction

Golden 1 Center

Miami HeatAway
123.6 : 115.5
projected points
Sacramento KingsHome
75%Heat
25%Kings
Eagle safe pickKings +16.5
-315

Quick answer

Our prediction for Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings is Miami Heat to win, with a 75% chance. We project Miami Heat 123.6 and Sacramento Kings 115.5. Our best bet is Kings +16.5 at -315.

Prediction
Miami Heat to win
Chance
75%
Projected score
Miami Heat 124, Sacramento Kings 115
Projected total
239.1 points
Best bet
Kings +16.5 at -315

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Kings +16.5
76% chanceFair price -3152 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sacramento Kings 25% and Miami Heat 75%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sacramento Kings won 0 of their last 5 and Miami Heat won 1 of their last 5. Miami Heat come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Sacramento Kings won 2 of their last 7 games at home. Miami Heat won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Sacramento Kings score 108.6 points a game and let in 121.6. Miami Heat score 123.5 and let in 125.1. Their recent games average 230.2 and 248.6 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Sacramento Kings won 1 and Miami Heat won 1. The last one ended Sacramento Kings 117, Miami Heat 130.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Kings +16.5 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Kingsrest between games-5%
  • Heatrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings: Miami Heat are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Sacramento Kings host Miami Heat in the NBA on Sun 8 Nov, 21:00 at Golden 1 Center. Our prediction for Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings is Miami Heat to win, with a 75% chance. We project Miami Heat 123.6 and Sacramento Kings 115.5. Our best bet is Kings +16.5 at -315.

Sacramento Kings form

Sacramento Kings have 3 wins and 17 losses in their last 20 games, with 2172 points scored and 2432 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 5 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Miami Heat form

Miami Heat have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2469 points scored and 2502 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Sacramento Kings won 1, Miami Heat won 1. Last time out it finished Sacramento Kings 117, Miami Heat 130.

Our call

We expect Miami Heat to score about 123.6 points and Sacramento Kings about 115.5. That points to Miami Heat to win. Our safest bet is Kings +16.5 at -315.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

KingsHeat
Games played2020
Wins38
Losses1712
Points scored21722469
Points conceded24322502
Scored per game108.6123.5
Conceded per game121.6125.1
Home record2W 5L5W 5L
Away record1W 12L3W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Kings spreadCoversFair
Kings +2.533%+205
Kings +5.542%+139
Kings +8.551%-105
Kings +11.561%-155
Kings +14.570%-229
Total pointsOverUnder
233.562%38%
236.556%44%
239.549%51%
242.542%58%
245.536%64%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Kings +3.5 wins if Kings win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Giannis Powers Miami Past Hawks as Adebayo Makes Heat History

Giannis Antetokounmpo and Bam Adebayo led the Miami Heat to their first victory of the season with a 129-117 win over Atlanta.

22 hours ago
NBA

Giannis Fouls Out as Heat Drop Third Straight in Loss to Hornets

Miami fell to 0-3 after a 115-110 loss to Charlotte, where Giannis Antetokounmpo scored just 14 points before fouling out.

25 Oct 2026
NBA

Giannis Scores 71 Points in First Two Games as Heat Start 0-2

Giannis Antetokounmpo has 71 points through two games, but the Miami Heat sit at 0-2 after giving up 259 points.

24 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings?

Our prediction for Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings is Miami Heat to win, with a 75% chance. We project Miami Heat 123.6 and Sacramento Kings 115.5. Our best bet is Kings +16.5 at -315.

What is the projected score for Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings?

We project Miami Heat 123.6 and Sacramento Kings 115.5, about 239.1 points in total.

How are Sacramento Kings playing?

Sacramento Kings have 3 wins and 17 losses in their last 20 games, with 2172 points scored and 2432 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 5 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Miami Heat playing?

Miami Heat have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2469 points scored and 2502 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Sacramento Kings and Miami Heat last met?

It ended Sacramento Kings 117, Miami Heat 130. In the last 2 meetings Sacramento Kings won 1 and Miami Heat won 1.

What is the best bet for Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings?

Kings +16.5 at -315, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kings against Heat. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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