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Predictions › United States › Miami Heat vs Utah Jazz
NBATue 10 Nov, 21:00 United States time

Miami Heat vs Utah Jazz prediction

Delta Center

Miami HeatAway
126.6 : 120.8
projected points
Utah JazzHome
69%Heat
31%Jazz
Eagle safe pickHeat +2.5
-312

Quick answer

Our prediction for Miami Heat vs Utah Jazz is Miami Heat to win, with a 69% chance. We project Miami Heat 126.6 and Utah Jazz 120.8. Our best bet is Heat +2.5 at -312.

Prediction
Miami Heat to win
Chance
69%
Projected score
Miami Heat 127, Utah Jazz 121
Projected total
247.3 points
Best bet
Heat +2.5 at -312

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Heat +2.5
76% chanceFair price -3122 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Jazz to win
31% chanceFair price +2211 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Utah Jazz 31% and Miami Heat 69%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Utah Jazz won 1 of their last 5 and Miami Heat won 2 of their last 5. Miami Heat come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Utah Jazz won 3 of their last 11 games at home. Miami Heat won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Utah Jazz score 114.5 points a game and let in 124.0. Miami Heat score 124.3 and let in 123.9. Their recent games average 238.6 and 248.2 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Utah Jazz won 1 and Miami Heat won 1. The last one ended Miami Heat 111, Utah Jazz 115.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Heat +2.5 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Jazzrest between games-5%
  • Heatrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Miami Heat vs Utah Jazz: Miami Heat are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Utah Jazz host Miami Heat in the NBA on Tue 10 Nov, 21:00 at Delta Center. Our prediction for Miami Heat vs Utah Jazz is Miami Heat to win, with a 69% chance. We project Miami Heat 126.6 and Utah Jazz 120.8. Our best bet is Heat +2.5 at -312.

Utah Jazz form

Utah Jazz have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 2291 points scored and 2480 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Miami Heat form

Miami Heat have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 2486 points scored and 2478 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Utah Jazz won 1, Miami Heat won 1. Last time out it finished Miami Heat 111, Utah Jazz 115.

Our call

We expect Miami Heat to score about 126.6 points and Utah Jazz about 120.8. That points to Miami Heat to win. Our safest bet is Heat +2.5 at -312. Our bold bet is Jazz to win at +221.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

JazzHeat
Games played2020
Wins59
Losses1511
Points scored22912486
Points conceded24802478
Scored per game114.5124.3
Conceded per game124.0123.9
Home record3W 8L6W 5L
Away record2W 7L3W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Jazz spreadCoversFair
Jazz -0.531%+227
Jazz +2.539%+153
Jazz +5.549%+104
Jazz +8.558%-141
Jazz +11.567%-207
Total pointsOverUnder
241.563%37%
244.556%44%
247.550%50%
250.543%57%
253.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Jazz +3.5 wins if Jazz win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Giannis Powers Miami Past Hawks as Adebayo Makes Heat History

Giannis Antetokounmpo and Bam Adebayo led the Miami Heat to their first victory of the season with a 129-117 win over Atlanta.

29 Oct 2026
NBA

Luka Doncic Drops 52 Points as Lakers Beat Jazz in Salt Lake City

Luka Doncic scored 52 points to lead the Los Angeles Lakers to a 132-123 win over the Utah Jazz on Sunday.

26 Oct 2026
NBA

Giannis Fouls Out as Heat Drop Third Straight in Loss to Hornets

Miami fell to 0-3 after a 115-110 loss to Charlotte, where Giannis Antetokounmpo scored just 14 points before fouling out.

25 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Miami Heat vs Utah Jazz?

Our prediction for Miami Heat vs Utah Jazz is Miami Heat to win, with a 69% chance. We project Miami Heat 126.6 and Utah Jazz 120.8. Our best bet is Heat +2.5 at -312.

What is the projected score for Miami Heat vs Utah Jazz?

We project Miami Heat 126.6 and Utah Jazz 120.8, about 247.3 points in total.

How are Utah Jazz playing?

Utah Jazz have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 2291 points scored and 2480 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Miami Heat playing?

Miami Heat have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 2486 points scored and 2478 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Utah Jazz and Miami Heat last met?

It ended Miami Heat 111, Utah Jazz 115. In the last 2 meetings Utah Jazz won 1 and Miami Heat won 1.

What is the best bet for Miami Heat vs Utah Jazz?

Heat +2.5 at -312, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Jazz against Heat. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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