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College FootballSat 3 Oct, 19:30 United States time

Miami Hurricanes vs Clemson Tigers prediction

Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)

Miami HurricanesAway
32.8 : 16.4
projected points
Clemson TigersHome
86%Miami
14%Clemson
Eagle safe pickClemson +27.5
-308

Quick answer

Our prediction for Miami Hurricanes vs Clemson Tigers is Miami Hurricanes to win, with a 86% chance. We project Miami Hurricanes 32.8 and Clemson Tigers 16.4. Our best bet is Clemson +27.5 at -308.

Prediction
Miami Hurricanes to win
Chance
86%
Projected score
Miami Hurricanes 33, Clemson Tigers 16
Projected total
49.1 points
Best bet
Clemson +27.5 at -308

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Clemson +27.5
76% chanceFair price -3082 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Clemson Tigers 14% and Miami Hurricanes 86%. The bookmakers agree and make Miami Hurricanes the favourite at -901.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Clemson Tigers won 3 of their last 5 and Miami Hurricanes won 4 of their last 5. Miami Hurricanes come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Clemson Tigers won 4 of their last 8 games at home. Miami Hurricanes won 8 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Clemson Tigers score 26.7 points a game and let in 21.5. Miami Hurricanes score 35.0 and let in 13.7. Their recent games average 48.2 and 48.7 points in total, and the market line is 49.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Clemson +27.5 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Clemsonrest between games-2%
  • Miamirest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Miami Hurricanes vs Clemson Tigers: Miami Hurricanes are favourites

The big picture

Clemson Tigers host Miami Hurricanes in the College Football on Sat 3 Oct, 19:30 at Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC). Our prediction for Miami Hurricanes vs Clemson Tigers is Miami Hurricanes to win, with a 86% chance. We project Miami Hurricanes 32.8 and Clemson Tigers 16.4. Our best bet is Clemson +27.5 at -308.

Clemson Tigers form

Clemson Tigers have 9 wins and 6 losses in their last 15 games, with 401 points scored and 322 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Miami Hurricanes form

Miami Hurricanes have 15 wins and 3 losses in their last 18 games, with 630 points scored and 246 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Miami Hurricanes to score about 32.8 points and Clemson Tigers about 16.4. That points to Miami Hurricanes to win. Our safest bet is Clemson +27.5 at -308.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 18 games in all competitions.

ClemsonMiami
Games played1518
Wins915
Losses63
Points scored401630
Points conceded322246
Scored per game26.735.0
Conceded per game21.513.7
Home record4W 4L7W 1L
Away record5W 2L8W 2L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Clemson to win14%+598+600+0.2%
Miami to win83%-505-901-7.3%
Clemson +17.550%+102-118-8.5%
Miami -17.544%+126-102-12.5%
Over 49.5 points46%+118-118-15.2%
Under 49.5 points48%+109-102-5.3%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Clemson spreadCoversFair
Clemson +9.533%+201
Clemson +13.543%+134
Clemson +16.550%-101
Clemson +19.558%-136
Clemson +23.567%-204
Total pointsOverUnder
42.566%34%
46.557%43%
49.549%51%
52.542%58%
56.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Clemson +3.5 wins if Clemson win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Miami Hurricanes vs Clemson Tigers?

Our prediction for Miami Hurricanes vs Clemson Tigers is Miami Hurricanes to win, with a 86% chance. We project Miami Hurricanes 32.8 and Clemson Tigers 16.4. Our best bet is Clemson +27.5 at -308.

What is the projected score for Miami Hurricanes vs Clemson Tigers?

We project Miami Hurricanes 32.8 and Clemson Tigers 16.4, about 49.1 points in total.

How are Clemson Tigers playing?

Clemson Tigers have 9 wins and 6 losses in their last 15 games, with 401 points scored and 322 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Miami Hurricanes playing?

Miami Hurricanes have 15 wins and 3 losses in their last 18 games, with 630 points scored and 246 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Miami Hurricanes vs Clemson Tigers?

Clemson +27.5 at -308, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Clemson against Miami. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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