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Predictions › United States › Michigan State Spartans vs Michigan Wolverines
College FootballSat 7 Nov, 00:00 United States time

Michigan State Spartans vs Michigan Wolverines prediction

Michigan Stadium

Michigan State SpartansAway
13.3 : 23.6
projected points
Michigan WolverinesHome
25%Michigan St
75%Michigan
Eagle safe pickMichigan to win
-307

Quick answer

Our prediction for Michigan State Spartans vs Michigan Wolverines is Michigan Wolverines to win, with a 75% chance. We project Michigan State Spartans 13.3 and Michigan Wolverines 23.6. Our best bet is Michigan to win at -307.

Prediction
Michigan Wolverines to win
Chance
75%
Projected score
Michigan State Spartans 13, Michigan Wolverines 24
Projected total
36.9 points
Best bet
Michigan to win at -307

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Michigan to win
75% chanceFair price -3072 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Michigan Wolverines 75% and Michigan State Spartans 25%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Michigan Wolverines won 2 of their last 5 and Michigan State Spartans won 0 of their last 5. Michigan Wolverines come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Michigan Wolverines won 8 of their last 11 games at home. Michigan State Spartans won 0 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Michigan Wolverines score 25.2 points a game and let in 18.6. Michigan State Spartans score 21.6 and let in 28.8. Their recent games average 43.7 and 50.4 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Michigan Wolverines won 1 and Michigan State Spartans won 0. The last one ended Michigan State Spartans 20, Michigan Wolverines 31.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Michigan to win has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Michigan State Spartans vs Michigan Wolverines: Michigan Wolverines are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Michigan Wolverines host Michigan State Spartans in the College Football on Sat 7 Nov, 00:00 at Michigan Stadium. Our prediction for Michigan State Spartans vs Michigan Wolverines is Michigan Wolverines to win, with a 75% chance. We project Michigan State Spartans 13.3 and Michigan Wolverines 23.6. Our best bet is Michigan to win at -307.

Michigan Wolverines form

Michigan Wolverines have 12 wins and 6 losses in their last 18 games, with 453 points scored and 334 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Michigan State Spartans form

Michigan State Spartans have 4 wins and 14 losses in their last 18 games, with 389 points scored and 519 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins and 8 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Michigan Wolverines won 1, Michigan State Spartans won 0. Last time out it finished Michigan State Spartans 20, Michigan Wolverines 31.

Our call

We expect Michigan State Spartans to score about 13.3 points and Michigan Wolverines about 23.6. That points to Michigan Wolverines to win. Our safest bet is Michigan to win at -307.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 18 games in all competitions.

MichiganMichigan St
Games played1818
Wins124
Losses614
Points scored453389
Points conceded334519
Scored per game25.221.6
Conceded per game18.628.8
Home record8W 3L4W 6L
Away record4W 3L0W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Michigan spreadCoversFair
Michigan -17.533%+206
Michigan -13.542%+137
Michigan -10.550%+102
Michigan -7.557%-133
Michigan -3.567%-199
Total pointsOverUnder
29.568%32%
33.558%42%
36.551%49%
39.544%56%
43.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Michigan +3.5 wins if Michigan win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
College Football

Michigan Keeps Bryce Underwood and Jason Beck in Charge

Michigan coach Kyle Whittingham confirmed Bryce Underwood and Jason Beck will keep their roles ahead of the Penn State game.

12 Oct 2026
College Football

Whittingham Seeks Better Focus From Young Michigan Squad

Michigan coach Kyle Whittingham wants more consistency and energy from his young team as they prepare to face a tough Iowa defense.

21 Sept 2026
College Football

Michigan Tackle Andrew Babalola Sidelined Again After Knee Injury Setback

Michigan offensive lineman Andrew Babalola is facing a longer wait for his Wolverines debut after suffering a setback with his knee recovery.

14 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Michigan State Spartans vs Michigan Wolverines?

Our prediction for Michigan State Spartans vs Michigan Wolverines is Michigan Wolverines to win, with a 75% chance. We project Michigan State Spartans 13.3 and Michigan Wolverines 23.6. Our best bet is Michigan to win at -307.

What is the projected score for Michigan State Spartans vs Michigan Wolverines?

We project Michigan State Spartans 13.3 and Michigan Wolverines 23.6, about 36.9 points in total.

How are Michigan Wolverines playing?

Michigan Wolverines have 12 wins and 6 losses in their last 18 games, with 453 points scored and 334 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Michigan State Spartans playing?

Michigan State Spartans have 4 wins and 14 losses in their last 18 games, with 389 points scored and 519 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins and 8 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Michigan Wolverines and Michigan State Spartans last met?

It ended Michigan State Spartans 20, Michigan Wolverines 31. In the last 1 meeting Michigan Wolverines won 1 and Michigan State Spartans won 0.

What is the best bet for Michigan State Spartans vs Michigan Wolverines?

Michigan to win at -307, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Michigan against Michigan St. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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