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Predictions › United States › Michigan Wolverines vs Oregon Ducks
College FootballSat 14 Nov, 15:30 United States time

Michigan Wolverines vs Oregon Ducks prediction

Autzen Stadium

Michigan WolverinesAway
19.8 : 25.7
projected points
Oregon DucksHome
38%Michigan
62%Oregon
Eagle safe pickOver 34.5 points
-321

Quick answer

Our prediction for Michigan Wolverines vs Oregon Ducks is Oregon Ducks to win, with a 62% chance. We project Michigan Wolverines 19.8 and Oregon Ducks 25.7. Our best bet is Over 34.5 points at -321.

Prediction
Oregon Ducks to win
Chance
62%
Projected score
Michigan Wolverines 20, Oregon Ducks 26
Projected total
45.5 points
Best bet
Over 34.5 points at -321

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 34.5 points
76% chanceFair price -3212 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Michigan to win
35% chancePrice +1701 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Oregon Ducks 62% and Michigan Wolverines 38%. The bookmakers agree and make Oregon Ducks the favourite at -205.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Oregon Ducks won 3 of their last 5 and Michigan Wolverines won 2 of their last 5. Oregon Ducks come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Oregon Ducks won 9 of their last 11 games at home. Michigan Wolverines won 5 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Oregon Ducks score 32.9 points a game and let in 20.4. Michigan Wolverines score 25.3 and let in 18.7. Their recent games average 53.4 and 44.0 points in total, and the market line is 44.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 34.5 points has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Oregonteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Michigan Wolverines vs Oregon Ducks: Oregon Ducks are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Oregon Ducks host Michigan Wolverines in the College Football on Sat 14 Nov, 15:30 at Autzen Stadium. Our prediction for Michigan Wolverines vs Oregon Ducks is Oregon Ducks to win, with a 62% chance. We project Michigan Wolverines 19.8 and Oregon Ducks 25.7. Our best bet is Over 34.5 points at -321.

Oregon Ducks form

Oregon Ducks have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 658 points scored and 409 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Michigan Wolverines form

Michigan Wolverines have 13 wins and 6 losses in their last 19 games, with 481 points scored and 355 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Michigan Wolverines to score about 19.8 points and Oregon Ducks about 25.7. That points to Oregon Ducks to win. Our safest bet is Over 34.5 points at -321. Our bold bet is Michigan to win at +170.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

OregonMichigan
Games played2019
Wins1513
Losses56
Points scored658481
Points conceded409355
Scored per game32.925.3
Conceded per game20.418.7
Home record9W 2L8W 3L
Away record6W 3L5W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Oregon to win62%-164-205-7.6%
Michigan to win35%+187+170-5.9%
Oregon -5.547%+111-110-9.6%
Michigan +5.546%+119-110-12.9%
Over 44.5 points48%+107-110-7.6%
Under 44.5 points45%+124-110-14.9%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Oregon spreadCoversFair
Oregon -12.534%+193
Oregon -8.544%+129
Oregon -5.551%-105
Oregon -2.559%-141
Oregon +1.568%-212
Total pointsOverUnder
38.567%33%
42.557%43%
45.550%50%
48.543%57%
52.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Oregon +3.5 wins if Oregon win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
College Football

Michigan Names Tommy Carr Starting Quarterback

Michigan head coach Kyle Whittingham named freshman Tommy Carr the starting quarterback for the foreseeable future following a victory against Rutgers.

2 Nov 2026
College Football

Raiola Leads Oregon Past Northwestern in 34-26 Comeback

Dylan Raiola threw three touchdown passes as Oregon overcame an early deficit to defeat Northwestern 34-26 in Eugene.

31 Oct 2026
College Football

Oregon Quarterback Dante Moore Out for Remainder of Season

Oregon quarterback Dante Moore is not expected to play again this season after sustaining a concussion against USC.

27 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Michigan Wolverines vs Oregon Ducks?

Our prediction for Michigan Wolverines vs Oregon Ducks is Oregon Ducks to win, with a 62% chance. We project Michigan Wolverines 19.8 and Oregon Ducks 25.7. Our best bet is Over 34.5 points at -321.

What is the projected score for Michigan Wolverines vs Oregon Ducks?

We project Michigan Wolverines 19.8 and Oregon Ducks 25.7, about 45.5 points in total.

How are Oregon Ducks playing?

Oregon Ducks have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 658 points scored and 409 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Michigan Wolverines playing?

Michigan Wolverines have 13 wins and 6 losses in their last 19 games, with 481 points scored and 355 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Michigan Wolverines vs Oregon Ducks?

Over 34.5 points at -321, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Oregon against Michigan. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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