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Predictions › United States › Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Kansas Jayhawks
College FootballSat 3 Oct, 12:00 United States time

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Kansas Jayhawks prediction

David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium

Middle Tennessee Blue RaidersAway
15.9 : 34.7
projected points
Kansas JayhawksHome
14%MTSU
86%Kansas
Eagle safe pickMTSU +29.5
-303

Quick answer

Our prediction for Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Kansas Jayhawks is Kansas Jayhawks to win, with a 86% chance. We project Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 15.9 and Kansas Jayhawks 34.7. Our best bet is MTSU +29.5 at -303.

Prediction
Kansas Jayhawks to win
Chance
86%
Projected score
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 16, Kansas Jayhawks 35
Projected total
50.6 points
Best bet
MTSU +29.5 at -303

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

MTSU +29.5
75% chanceFair price -3032 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Kansas Jayhawks 86% and Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 14%. The bookmakers agree and make Kansas Jayhawks the favourite at -1205.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Kansas Jayhawks won 1 of their last 5 and Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders won 3 of their last 5. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Kansas Jayhawks won 3 of their last 8 games at home. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders won 2 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Kansas Jayhawks score 26.5 points a game and let in 27.8. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders score 24.9 and let in 27.1. Their recent games average 54.3 and 52.1 points in total, and the market line is 50.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    MTSU +29.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • MTSUrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Kansas Jayhawks: Kansas Jayhawks are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Kansas Jayhawks host Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders in the College Football on Sat 3 Oct, 12:00 at David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium. Our prediction for Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Kansas Jayhawks is Kansas Jayhawks to win, with a 86% chance. We project Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 15.9 and Kansas Jayhawks 34.7. Our best bet is MTSU +29.5 at -303.

Kansas Jayhawks form

Kansas Jayhawks have 4 wins and 8 losses in their last 12 games, with 318 points scored and 333 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders form

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders have 5 wins and 9 losses in their last 14 games, with 349 points scored and 380 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 5 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders to score about 15.9 points and Kansas Jayhawks about 34.7. That points to Kansas Jayhawks to win. Our safest bet is MTSU +29.5 at -303.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 14 games in all competitions.

KansasMTSU
Games played1214
Wins45
Losses89
Points scored318349
Points conceded333380
Scored per game26.524.9
Conceded per game27.827.1
Home record3W 5L3W 4L
Away record1W 3L2W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Kansas to win86%-619-1205-6.8%
MTSU to win9%+965+750-20.2%
Kansas -19.545%+121-108-13.0%
MTSU +19.549%+106-112-8.0%
Over 50.5 points47%+112-112-10.7%
Under 50.5 points47%+115-108-10.3%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Kansas spreadCoversFair
Kansas -25.534%+196
Kansas -21.543%+131
Kansas -18.551%-103
Kansas -15.558%-139
Kansas -11.568%-209
Total pointsOverUnder
43.567%33%
47.558%42%
50.550%50%
53.543%57%
57.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Kansas +3.5 wins if Kansas win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
College Football

ASU Coach Questions Rest Disparity Before London Game

Arizona State coach Kenny Dillingham expressed frustration over scheduling differences ahead of the historic Wembley Stadium matchup against Kansas.

15 Sept 2026
College Football

Drinkwitz Rips Kansas Border War Hype After Missouri Win

Missouri coach Eli Drinkwitz blasted Kansas for using pre-Civil War history to hype up their football rivalry after the Tigers' 38-21 win.

12 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Kansas Jayhawks?

Our prediction for Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Kansas Jayhawks is Kansas Jayhawks to win, with a 86% chance. We project Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 15.9 and Kansas Jayhawks 34.7. Our best bet is MTSU +29.5 at -303.

What is the projected score for Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Kansas Jayhawks?

We project Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 15.9 and Kansas Jayhawks 34.7, about 50.6 points in total.

How are Kansas Jayhawks playing?

Kansas Jayhawks have 4 wins and 8 losses in their last 12 games, with 318 points scored and 333 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders playing?

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders have 5 wins and 9 losses in their last 14 games, with 349 points scored and 380 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 5 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Kansas Jayhawks?

MTSU +29.5 at -303, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kansas against MTSU. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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