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Predictions › United Kingdom › Millwall vs Lincoln City
ChampionshipSat 17 Oct, 12:30 United Kingdom time

Millwall vs Lincoln City prediction

The Den

MillwallHome
1.11 : 1.04
expected goals
Lincoln CityAway
36%Millwall
31%Draw
33%Lincoln City
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1/4

Quick answer

Our prediction for Millwall vs Lincoln City is Millwall to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/4.

Prediction
Millwall to win
Chance
36%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Millwall 1.1, Lincoln City 1.0
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1/4
Both teams to score
44%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
80% chanceFair price 1/42 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 6/11 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Millwall 36%, the draw 31% and Lincoln City 33%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Millwall took 5 points from their last 5 games and Lincoln City took 7 from 5. Lincoln City come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Millwall won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Lincoln City won 8 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Millwall score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.2. Lincoln City score 1.6 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Millwall games and 12 of Lincoln City games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Millwallrecent form-1%
Millwall form D D L L WLincoln City form L W W L DHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Millwall vs Lincoln City: Millwall shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Millwall host Lincoln City in the Championship on Sat 17 Oct, 12:30 at The Den. Our prediction for Millwall vs Lincoln City is Millwall to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/4.

Millwall form

Millwall have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, W, newest first.

Lincoln City form

Lincoln City have 12 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Millwall to score about 1.1 goals and Lincoln City about 1.0. That points to Millwall to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/4. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 6/1.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MillwallLincoln City
Games played2020
Wins812
Draws64
Losses64
Goals scored2833
Goals conceded2423
Scored per game1.41.6
Conceded per game1.21.1
Home record4W 1D 4L4W 2D 2L
Away record4W 5D 2L8W 2D 2L
Clean sheets40%40%
Both teams scored45%55%
Over 2.5 goals50%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals64%4/7
Over 2.5 goals36%7/4
Over 3.5 goals17%5/1
Both teams to score44%5/4
Millwall or Draw67%1/2
Lincoln City or Draw64%4/7
Millwall to win and Over 2.517%5/1
Lincoln City to win and Over 2.515%11/2
Millwall clean sheet35%9/5
Lincoln City clean sheet33%2/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.3%
0-012.5%
1-012.1%
0-111.3%
2-17.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Championship

Massive Police Presence Set for Millwall and West Ham Derby

Police are deploying 400 officers and facial recognition technology for the first Dockers Derby in 14 years.

19 Sept 2026
Championship

Millwall and West Ham ready to renew historic London rivalry at The Den

One of English football's most intense rivalries returns this weekend as Millwall host West Ham at The Den for their 100th meeting.

18 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Millwall vs Lincoln City?

Our prediction for Millwall vs Lincoln City is Millwall to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/4.

What is the score prediction for Millwall vs Lincoln City?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 1-0. We expect Millwall to score 1.1 goals and Lincoln City 1.0.

Will both teams score in Millwall vs Lincoln City?

Both teams to score has a 44% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Millwall last 20 games and 11 of Lincoln City last 20.

How are Millwall playing?

Millwall have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Lincoln City playing?

Lincoln City have 12 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Millwall vs Lincoln City?

Under 3.5 goals at 1/4, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Millwall against Lincoln City. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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