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Predictions › United Kingdom › Millwall vs Queens Park Rangers
ChampionshipSat 21 Nov, 12:30 United Kingdom time

Millwall vs Queens Park Rangers prediction

The Den

MillwallHome
1.52 : 1.24
expected goals
Queens Park RangersAway
43%Millwall
27%Draw
30%QPR
Eagle value pickMillwall to win
6/4

Quick answer

Our prediction for Millwall vs Queens Park Rangers is Millwall to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Millwall to win at 6/4.

Prediction
Millwall to win
Chance
43%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Millwall 1.5, Queens Park Rangers 1.2
Best bet
Millwall to win at 6/4
Both teams to score
56%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 3/102 units
★

Eagle value pick

Millwall to win
41% chancePrice 6/4+3.5% value1 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Millwall to win and Over 2.5
26% chanceFair price 11/41 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Millwall 43%, the draw 27% and Queens Park Rangers 30%. The bookmakers agree and make Millwall the favourite at 6/4.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Millwall took 4 points from their last 5 games and Queens Park Rangers took 7 from 5. Queens Park Rangers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Millwall won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Queens Park Rangers won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Millwall score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.6. Queens Park Rangers score 1.4 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Millwall games and 12 of Queens Park Rangers games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Millwall won 2 and Queens Park Rangers won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Queens Park Rangers 1, Millwall 1.

  6. 6
    Where the value is

    Millwall to win is priced at 6/4. Our fair price is 7/5, so the bookmaker pays about 3.5% more than it should.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Millwallrecent form-1%
Millwall form D L W L DQPR form W D L W LHome edge in this league 21% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Millwall vs Queens Park Rangers: Millwall shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Millwall host Queens Park Rangers in the Championship on Sat 21 Nov, 12:30 at The Den. Our prediction for Millwall vs Queens Park Rangers is Millwall to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Millwall to win at 6/4.

Millwall form

Millwall have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, D, newest first.

Queens Park Rangers form

Queens Park Rangers have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Millwall won 2, Queens Park Rangers won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Queens Park Rangers 1, Millwall 1.

Our call

We expect Millwall to score about 1.5 goals and Queens Park Rangers about 1.2. That points to Millwall to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10. Our value bet is Millwall to win at 6/4. Our bold bet is Millwall to win and Over 2.5 at 11/4.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MillwallQPR
Games played2020
Wins66
Draws57
Losses97
Goals scored2528
Goals conceded3129
Scored per game1.31.4
Conceded per game1.61.4
Home record3W 2D 4L4W 4D 3L
Away record3W 3D 5L2W 3D 4L
Clean sheets30%15%
Both teams scored40%65%
Over 2.5 goals60%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Millwall to win41%7/56/4+3.5%
A Draw26%11/45/2-9.9%
Queens Park Rangers to win30%12/513/8-20.8%
Over 2.5 goals49%21/208/11-16.0%
Under 2.5 goals44%5/4Evens-11.9%
Millwall -0.539%6/45/4-9.6%
Queens Park Rangers +0.554%5/61/2-20.2%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals77%3/10
Over 2.5 goals52%10/11
Over 3.5 goals30%12/5
Both teams to score56%4/5
Millwall or Draw70%4/9
Queens Park Rangers or Draw57%8/11
Millwall to win and Over 2.527%11/4
Queens Park Rangers to win and Over 2.518%9/2
Millwall clean sheet29%12/5
Queens Park Rangers clean sheet22%7/2

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.6%
2-19.1%
1-08.9%
1-27.4%
2-07.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Championship

Massive Police Presence Set for Millwall and West Ham Derby

Police are deploying 400 officers and facial recognition technology for the first Dockers Derby in 14 years.

19 Sept 2026
Championship

Millwall and West Ham ready to renew historic London rivalry at The Den

One of English football's most intense rivalries returns this weekend as Millwall host West Ham at The Den for their 100th meeting.

18 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Millwall vs Queens Park Rangers?

Our prediction for Millwall vs Queens Park Rangers is Millwall to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Millwall to win at 6/4.

What is the score prediction for Millwall vs Queens Park Rangers?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Millwall to score 1.5 goals and Queens Park Rangers 1.2.

Will both teams score in Millwall vs Queens Park Rangers?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Millwall last 20 games and 13 of Queens Park Rangers last 20.

How are Millwall playing?

Millwall have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, D, newest first.

How are Queens Park Rangers playing?

Queens Park Rangers have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Millwall and Queens Park Rangers last met?

It ended Queens Park Rangers 1, Millwall 1. In the last 3 meetings Millwall won 2 and Queens Park Rangers won 0.

What is the best bet for Millwall vs Queens Park Rangers?

Millwall to win at 6/4, with a 41% chance. That price pays about 3.5% more than our fair price.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Millwall against QPR. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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