Predictions › United States › Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics
NBAWed 4 Nov, 19:30 United States time

Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics prediction

TD Garden

Milwaukee BucksAway
102.9 : 116.0
projected points
Boston CelticsHome
14%Bucks
86%Celtics
Eagle safe pickBucks +21.5
-316

Quick answer

Our prediction for Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics is Boston Celtics to win, with a 86% chance. We project Milwaukee Bucks 102.9 and Boston Celtics 116.0. Our best bet is Bucks +21.5 at -316.

Prediction
Boston Celtics to win
Chance
86%
Projected score
Milwaukee Bucks 103, Boston Celtics 116
Projected total
218.9 points
Best bet
Bucks +21.5 at -316

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Bucks +21.5
76% chanceFair price -3162 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Boston Celtics 86% and Milwaukee Bucks 14%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Boston Celtics won 4 of their last 5 and Milwaukee Bucks won 1 of their last 5. Boston Celtics come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Boston Celtics won 8 of their last 11 games at home. Milwaukee Bucks won 2 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Boston Celtics score 117.2 points a game and let in 107.7. Milwaukee Bucks score 110.3 and let in 121.6. Their recent games average 224.8 and 231.9 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Boston Celtics won 3 and Milwaukee Bucks won 1. The last one ended Milwaukee Bucks 101, Boston Celtics 133.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Bucks +21.5 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Celticsrest between games-2%
  • Bucksrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics: Boston Celtics are favourites

The big picture

Boston Celtics host Milwaukee Bucks in the NBA on Wed 4 Nov, 19:30 at TD Garden. Our prediction for Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics is Boston Celtics to win, with a 86% chance. We project Milwaukee Bucks 102.9 and Boston Celtics 116.0. Our best bet is Bucks +21.5 at -316.

Boston Celtics form

Boston Celtics have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 2344 points scored and 2153 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Milwaukee Bucks form

Milwaukee Bucks have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 2207 points scored and 2432 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Boston Celtics won 3, Milwaukee Bucks won 1. Last time out it finished Milwaukee Bucks 101, Boston Celtics 133.

Our call

We expect Milwaukee Bucks to score about 102.9 points and Boston Celtics about 116.0. That points to Boston Celtics to win. Our safest bet is Bucks +21.5 at -316.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CelticsBucks
Games played2020
Wins145
Losses615
Points scored23442207
Points conceded21532432
Scored per game117.2110.3
Conceded per game107.7121.6
Home record8W 3L3W 6L
Away record6W 3L2W 9L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Celtics spreadCoversFair
Celtics -19.530%+229
Celtics -16.539%+155
Celtics -13.549%+105
Celtics -10.558%-139
Celtics -7.567%-205
Total pointsOverUnder
212.564%36%
215.557%43%
218.551%49%
221.544%56%
224.538%62%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Celtics +3.5 wins if Celtics win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics?

Our prediction for Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics is Boston Celtics to win, with a 86% chance. We project Milwaukee Bucks 102.9 and Boston Celtics 116.0. Our best bet is Bucks +21.5 at -316.

What is the projected score for Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics?

We project Milwaukee Bucks 102.9 and Boston Celtics 116.0, about 218.9 points in total.

How are Boston Celtics playing?

Boston Celtics have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 2344 points scored and 2153 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Milwaukee Bucks playing?

Milwaukee Bucks have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 2207 points scored and 2432 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Boston Celtics and Milwaukee Bucks last met?

It ended Milwaukee Bucks 101, Boston Celtics 133. In the last 4 meetings Boston Celtics won 3 and Milwaukee Bucks won 1.

What is the best bet for Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics?

Bucks +21.5 at -316, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Celtics against Bucks. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.