Predictions › United States › Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Indiana Hoosiers
College FootballSat 31 Oct, 15:30 United States time

Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Indiana Hoosiers prediction

Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)

Minnesota Golden GophersAway
13.9 : 39.0
projected points
Indiana HoosiersHome
6%Minnesota
94%Indiana
Eagle safe pickOver 42.5 points
-303

Quick answer

Our prediction for Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Indiana Hoosiers is Indiana Hoosiers to win, with a 94% chance. We project Minnesota Golden Gophers 13.9 and Indiana Hoosiers 39.0. Our best bet is Over 42.5 points at -303.

Prediction
Indiana Hoosiers to win
Chance
94%
Projected score
Minnesota Golden Gophers 14, Indiana Hoosiers 39
Projected total
53.0 points
Best bet
Over 42.5 points at -303

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 42.5 points
75% chanceFair price -3032 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Indiana Hoosiers 94% and Minnesota Golden Gophers 6%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Indiana Hoosiers won 4 of their last 5 and Minnesota Golden Gophers won 3 of their last 5. Indiana Hoosiers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Indiana Hoosiers won 11 of their last 12 games at home. Minnesota Golden Gophers won 1 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Indiana Hoosiers score 38.3 points a game and let in 12.7. Minnesota Golden Gophers score 22.5 and let in 24.6. Their recent games average 51.0 and 47.2 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 42.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Indiana Hoosiers: Indiana Hoosiers are favourites

The big picture

Indiana Hoosiers host Minnesota Golden Gophers in the College Football on Sat 31 Oct, 15:30 at Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN). Our prediction for Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Indiana Hoosiers is Indiana Hoosiers to win, with a 94% chance. We project Minnesota Golden Gophers 13.9 and Indiana Hoosiers 39.0. Our best bet is Over 42.5 points at -303.

Indiana Hoosiers form

Indiana Hoosiers have 19 wins and 1 loss in their last 20 games, with 766 points scored and 254 conceded. At home they have 11 wins and 1 loss from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Minnesota Golden Gophers form

Minnesota Golden Gophers have 10 wins and 7 losses in their last 17 games, with 383 points scored and 419 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 6 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Minnesota Golden Gophers to score about 13.9 points and Indiana Hoosiers about 39.0. That points to Indiana Hoosiers to win. Our safest bet is Over 42.5 points at -303.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

IndianaMinnesota
Games played2017
Wins1910
Losses17
Points scored766383
Points conceded254419
Scored per game38.322.5
Conceded per game12.724.6
Home record11W 1L9W 1L
Away record8W 0L1W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Indiana spreadCoversFair
Indiana -32.532%+211
Indiana -28.542%+141
Indiana -25.549%+104
Indiana -22.556%-129
Indiana -18.566%-194
Total pointsOverUnder
45.568%32%
49.559%41%
52.551%49%
55.544%56%
59.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Indiana +3.5 wins if Indiana win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Indiana Hoosiers?

Our prediction for Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Indiana Hoosiers is Indiana Hoosiers to win, with a 94% chance. We project Minnesota Golden Gophers 13.9 and Indiana Hoosiers 39.0. Our best bet is Over 42.5 points at -303.

What is the projected score for Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Indiana Hoosiers?

We project Minnesota Golden Gophers 13.9 and Indiana Hoosiers 39.0, about 53.0 points in total.

How are Indiana Hoosiers playing?

Indiana Hoosiers have 19 wins and 1 loss in their last 20 games, with 766 points scored and 254 conceded. At home they have 11 wins and 1 loss from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Minnesota Golden Gophers playing?

Minnesota Golden Gophers have 10 wins and 7 losses in their last 17 games, with 383 points scored and 419 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 6 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Indiana Hoosiers?

Over 42.5 points at -303, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Indiana against Minnesota. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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