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Predictions › United States › Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Penn State Nittany Lions
College FootballSat 14 Nov, 19:00 United States time

Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Penn State Nittany Lions prediction

Beaver Stadium

Minnesota Golden GophersAway
17.3 : 33.3
projected points
Penn State Nittany LionsHome
16%Minnesota
84%Penn State
Eagle safe pickPenn State to win
-541

Quick answer

Our prediction for Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Penn State Nittany Lions is Penn State Nittany Lions to win, with a 84% chance. We project Minnesota Golden Gophers 17.3 and Penn State Nittany Lions 33.3. Our best bet is Penn State to win at -541.

Prediction
Penn State Nittany Lions to win
Chance
84%
Projected score
Minnesota Golden Gophers 17, Penn State Nittany Lions 33
Projected total
50.5 points
Best bet
Penn State to win at -541

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Penn State to win
84% chanceFair price -5412 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Penn State Nittany Lions 84% and Minnesota Golden Gophers 16%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Penn State Nittany Lions won 1 of their last 5 and Minnesota Golden Gophers won 3 of their last 5. Minnesota Golden Gophers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Penn State Nittany Lions won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Minnesota Golden Gophers won 1 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Penn State Nittany Lions score 29.2 points a game and let in 21.3. Minnesota Golden Gophers score 21.7 and let in 23.8. Their recent games average 50.5 and 45.5 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Penn State to win has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Penn State Nittany Lions: Penn State Nittany Lions are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Penn State Nittany Lions host Minnesota Golden Gophers in the College Football on Sat 14 Nov, 19:00 at Beaver Stadium. Our prediction for Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Penn State Nittany Lions is Penn State Nittany Lions to win, with a 84% chance. We project Minnesota Golden Gophers 17.3 and Penn State Nittany Lions 33.3. Our best bet is Penn State to win at -541.

Penn State Nittany Lions form

Penn State Nittany Lions have 9 wins and 10 losses in their last 19 games, with 555 points scored and 405 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Minnesota Golden Gophers form

Minnesota Golden Gophers have 11 wins and 8 losses in their last 19 games, with 412 points scored and 452 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 7 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Minnesota Golden Gophers to score about 17.3 points and Penn State Nittany Lions about 33.3. That points to Penn State Nittany Lions to win. Our safest bet is Penn State to win at -541.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 19 games in all competitions.

Penn StateMinnesota
Games played1919
Wins911
Losses108
Points scored555412
Points conceded405452
Scored per game29.221.7
Conceded per game21.323.8
Home record5W 5L10W 1L
Away record4W 5L1W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Penn State spreadCoversFair
Penn State -23.532%+213
Penn State -19.541%+142
Penn State -16.549%+105
Penn State -13.556%-128
Penn State -9.566%-192
Total pointsOverUnder
43.567%33%
47.558%42%
50.550%50%
53.543%57%
57.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Penn State +3.5 wins if Penn State win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
College Football

Indiana Edges Minnesota 23-16 in Overtime Win

Backup quarterback Grant Wilson led No. 4 Indiana to a 23-16 overtime win against Minnesota on Saturday.

1 Nov 2026
College Football

USC Silences Happy Valley With Big Road Victory Over Penn State

USC moved to 6-1 with a 31-23 victory over Penn State in Happy Valley behind three touchdown passes from Jayden Maiava.

11 Oct 2026
College Football

Northwestern Dominates Penn State in Historic Ryan Field Opener

Northwestern celebrated their new stadium with a dominant 34-13 victory over Penn State, led by a massive rushing performance.

3 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Penn State Nittany Lions?

Our prediction for Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Penn State Nittany Lions is Penn State Nittany Lions to win, with a 84% chance. We project Minnesota Golden Gophers 17.3 and Penn State Nittany Lions 33.3. Our best bet is Penn State to win at -541.

What is the projected score for Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Penn State Nittany Lions?

We project Minnesota Golden Gophers 17.3 and Penn State Nittany Lions 33.3, about 50.5 points in total.

How are Penn State Nittany Lions playing?

Penn State Nittany Lions have 9 wins and 10 losses in their last 19 games, with 555 points scored and 405 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Minnesota Golden Gophers playing?

Minnesota Golden Gophers have 11 wins and 8 losses in their last 19 games, with 412 points scored and 452 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 7 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Penn State Nittany Lions?

Penn State to win at -541, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Penn State against Minnesota. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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