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Predictions › United States › Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Purdue Boilermakers
College FootballSat 10 Oct, 20:00 United States time

Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Purdue Boilermakers prediction

Ross-Ade Stadium

Minnesota Golden GophersAway
28.3 : 28.3
projected points
Purdue BoilermakersHome
53%Minnesota
47%Purdue
Eagle safe pickMinnesota +10.5
-298

Quick answer

Our prediction for Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Purdue Boilermakers is Minnesota Golden Gophers to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Minnesota Golden Gophers 28.3 and Purdue Boilermakers 28.3. Our best bet is Minnesota +10.5 at -298.

Prediction
Minnesota Golden Gophers to win
Chance
53%
Projected score
Minnesota Golden Gophers 28, Purdue Boilermakers 28
Projected total
56.6 points
Best bet
Minnesota +10.5 at -298

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Minnesota +10.5
75% chanceFair price -2981 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Purdue Boilermakers 47% and Minnesota Golden Gophers 53%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Purdue Boilermakers won 1 of their last 5 and Minnesota Golden Gophers won 4 of their last 5. Minnesota Golden Gophers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Purdue Boilermakers won 1 of their last 8 games at home. Minnesota Golden Gophers won 1 of their last 6 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Purdue Boilermakers score 20.6 points a game and let in 37.4. Minnesota Golden Gophers score 23.3 and let in 24.3. Their recent games average 57.9 and 47.6 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Purdue Boilermakers won 0 and Minnesota Golden Gophers won 1. The last one ended Minnesota Golden Gophers 27, Purdue Boilermakers 20.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Minnesota +10.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Purdue Boilermakers: Minnesota Golden Gophers shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Purdue Boilermakers host Minnesota Golden Gophers in the College Football on Sat 10 Oct, 20:00 at Ross-Ade Stadium. Our prediction for Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Purdue Boilermakers is Minnesota Golden Gophers to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Minnesota Golden Gophers 28.3 and Purdue Boilermakers 28.3. Our best bet is Minnesota +10.5 at -298.

Purdue Boilermakers form

Purdue Boilermakers have 1 win and 13 losses in their last 14 games, with 288 points scored and 523 conceded. At home they have 1 win and 7 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Minnesota Golden Gophers form

Minnesota Golden Gophers have 9 wins and 6 losses in their last 15 games, with 350 points scored and 364 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 5 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Purdue Boilermakers won 0, Minnesota Golden Gophers won 1. Last time out it finished Minnesota Golden Gophers 27, Purdue Boilermakers 20.

Our call

We expect Minnesota Golden Gophers to score about 28.3 points and Purdue Boilermakers about 28.3. That points to Minnesota Golden Gophers to win. Our safest bet is Minnesota +10.5 at -298.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 15 games in all competitions.

PurdueMinnesota
Games played1415
Wins19
Losses136
Points scored288350
Points conceded523364
Scored per game20.623.3
Conceded per game37.424.3
Home record1W 7L8W 1L
Away record0W 6L1W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Purdue spreadCoversFair
Purdue -7.532%+211
Purdue -3.542%+141
Purdue -0.549%+104
Purdue +2.556%-129
Purdue +6.566%-194
Total pointsOverUnder
49.567%33%
53.558%42%
56.550%50%
59.543%57%
63.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Purdue +3.5 wins if Purdue win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
College Football

P.J. Fleck Wipes Player's Blood on His Cheek After Minnesota's Road Victory

Minnesota coach P.J. Fleck celebrated a gritty 27-24 road win over Washington by wiping linebacker Maverick Baranowski's blood on his own face.

27 Sept 2026
College Football

Purdue Drops to 0-12 in Games Following Taylor Swift Album Releases

Purdue fell to 0-12 in games played within seven days of a Taylor Swift album release after losing 49-10 to Notre Dame.

26 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Purdue Boilermakers?

Our prediction for Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Purdue Boilermakers is Minnesota Golden Gophers to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Minnesota Golden Gophers 28.3 and Purdue Boilermakers 28.3. Our best bet is Minnesota +10.5 at -298.

What is the projected score for Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Purdue Boilermakers?

We project Minnesota Golden Gophers 28.3 and Purdue Boilermakers 28.3, about 56.6 points in total.

How are Purdue Boilermakers playing?

Purdue Boilermakers have 1 win and 13 losses in their last 14 games, with 288 points scored and 523 conceded. At home they have 1 win and 7 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Minnesota Golden Gophers playing?

Minnesota Golden Gophers have 9 wins and 6 losses in their last 15 games, with 350 points scored and 364 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 5 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Purdue Boilermakers and Minnesota Golden Gophers last met?

It ended Minnesota Golden Gophers 27, Purdue Boilermakers 20. In the last 1 meeting Purdue Boilermakers won 0 and Minnesota Golden Gophers won 1.

What is the best bet for Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Purdue Boilermakers?

Minnesota +10.5 at -298, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Purdue against Minnesota. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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