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Predictions › United States › Minnesota Lynx vs New York Liberty
WNBATue 29 Sept, 20:30 United States time

Minnesota Lynx vs New York Liberty prediction

Barclays Center

Minnesota LynxAway
86.9 : 84.0
projected points
New York LibertyHome
61%Lynx
39%Liberty
Eagle safe pickLynx +4.5
-303

Quick answer

Our prediction for Minnesota Lynx vs New York Liberty is Minnesota Lynx to win, with a 61% chance. We project Minnesota Lynx 86.9 and New York Liberty 84.0. Our best bet is Lynx +4.5 at -303.

Prediction
Minnesota Lynx to win
Chance
61%
Projected score
Minnesota Lynx 87, New York Liberty 84
Projected total
170.9 points
Best bet
Lynx +4.5 at -303

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Lynx +4.5
75% chanceFair price -3032 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives New York Liberty 39% and Minnesota Lynx 61%. The bookmakers agree and make Minnesota Lynx the favourite at -142.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    New York Liberty won 3 of their last 5 and Minnesota Lynx won 2 of their last 5. New York Liberty come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    New York Liberty won 7 of their last 10 games at home. Minnesota Lynx won 8 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    New York Liberty score 91.8 points a game and let in 87.1. Minnesota Lynx score 90.1 and let in 86.2. Their recent games average 178.9 and 176.3 points in total, and the market line is 172.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, New York Liberty won 3 and Minnesota Lynx won 1. The last one ended Minnesota Lynx 75, New York Liberty 91.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Lynx +4.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Libertyrest between games-5%
  • Lynxrest between games-5%
  • Lynxteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Minnesota Lynx vs New York Liberty: Minnesota Lynx are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

New York Liberty host Minnesota Lynx in the WNBA on Tue 29 Sept, 20:30 at Barclays Center. Our prediction for Minnesota Lynx vs New York Liberty is Minnesota Lynx to win, with a 61% chance. We project Minnesota Lynx 86.9 and New York Liberty 84.0. Our best bet is Lynx +4.5 at -303.

New York Liberty form

New York Liberty have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 1836 points scored and 1742 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Minnesota Lynx form

Minnesota Lynx have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 1802 points scored and 1724 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. New York Liberty won 3, Minnesota Lynx won 1. Last time out it finished Minnesota Lynx 75, New York Liberty 91.

Our call

We expect Minnesota Lynx to score about 86.9 points and New York Liberty about 84.0. That points to Minnesota Lynx to win. Our safest bet is Lynx +4.5 at -303.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

LibertyLynx
Games played2020
Wins1414
Losses66
Points scored18361802
Points conceded17421724
Scored per game91.890.1
Conceded per game87.186.2
Home record7W 3L6W 4L
Away record7W 3L8W 2L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Liberty to win39%+155+120-13.7%
Lynx to win55%-120-142-7.1%
Liberty +2.546%+120-105-11.2%
Lynx -2.548%+107-115-9.8%
Over 172.5 points43%+135-110-18.9%
Under 172.5 points51%-105-110-2.2%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Liberty spreadCoversFair
Liberty -3.528%+256
Liberty -0.538%+164
Liberty +2.549%+106
Liberty +5.559%-146
Liberty +8.570%-228
Total pointsOverUnder
164.566%34%
167.559%41%
170.551%49%
173.543%57%
176.535%65%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Liberty +3.5 wins if Liberty win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
WNBA

Breanna Stewart Powers Liberty to Huge Game 1 Upset Over Lynx

Breanna Stewart scored 34 points to lead the New York Liberty to a dominant 91-75 road victory over the top seeded Minnesota Lynx in Game 1.

15 hours ago
WNBA

Chloe Bibby Ready for Playoffs After Wild Year

After a rollercoaster season of trades and injuries, Australian forward Chloe Bibby is ready for the WNBA playoffs with the Minnesota Lynx.

24 Sept 2026
WNBA

Breanna Stewart Rare Technical Foul Ends Nine Year Streak in Liberty Loss

Breanna Stewart picked up a rare technical foul as the New York Liberty fell 95-84 to Atlanta, ending her nine year streak without one.

22 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Minnesota Lynx vs New York Liberty?

Our prediction for Minnesota Lynx vs New York Liberty is Minnesota Lynx to win, with a 61% chance. We project Minnesota Lynx 86.9 and New York Liberty 84.0. Our best bet is Lynx +4.5 at -303.

What is the projected score for Minnesota Lynx vs New York Liberty?

We project Minnesota Lynx 86.9 and New York Liberty 84.0, about 170.9 points in total.

How are New York Liberty playing?

New York Liberty have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 1836 points scored and 1742 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Minnesota Lynx playing?

Minnesota Lynx have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 1802 points scored and 1724 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when New York Liberty and Minnesota Lynx last met?

It ended Minnesota Lynx 75, New York Liberty 91. In the last 4 meetings New York Liberty won 3 and Minnesota Lynx won 1.

What is the best bet for Minnesota Lynx vs New York Liberty?

Lynx +4.5 at -303, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Liberty against Lynx. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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