Predictions › United States › Minnesota Timberwolves vs New Orleans Pelicans
NBAFri 6 Nov, 20:00 United States time

Minnesota Timberwolves vs New Orleans Pelicans prediction

Smoothie King Center

Minnesota TimberwolvesAway
121.7 : 118.9
projected points
New Orleans PelicansHome
59%Timberwolves
41%Pelicans
Eagle safe pickTimberwolves +5.5
-308

Quick answer

Our prediction for Minnesota Timberwolves vs New Orleans Pelicans is Minnesota Timberwolves to win, with a 59% chance. We project Minnesota Timberwolves 121.7 and New Orleans Pelicans 118.9. Our best bet is Timberwolves +5.5 at -308.

Prediction
Minnesota Timberwolves to win
Chance
59%
Projected score
Minnesota Timberwolves 122, New Orleans Pelicans 119
Projected total
240.7 points
Best bet
Timberwolves +5.5 at -308

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Timberwolves +5.5
76% chanceFair price -3082 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Pelicans to win
41% chanceFair price +1461 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives New Orleans Pelicans 41% and Minnesota Timberwolves 59%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    New Orleans Pelicans won 2 of their last 5 and Minnesota Timberwolves won 3 of their last 5. Minnesota Timberwolves come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    New Orleans Pelicans won 4 of their last 8 games at home. Minnesota Timberwolves won 6 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    New Orleans Pelicans score 115.5 points a game and let in 120.3. Minnesota Timberwolves score 113.0 and let in 113.4. Their recent games average 235.8 and 226.4 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, New Orleans Pelicans won 1 and Minnesota Timberwolves won 3. The last one ended Minnesota Timberwolves 132, New Orleans Pelicans 126.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Timberwolves +5.5 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Timberwolvesrest between games-5%
  • Pelicansteam news-1%
  • Timberwolvesteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Minnesota Timberwolves vs New Orleans Pelicans: Minnesota Timberwolves are favourites

The big picture

New Orleans Pelicans host Minnesota Timberwolves in the NBA on Fri 6 Nov, 20:00 at Smoothie King Center. Our prediction for Minnesota Timberwolves vs New Orleans Pelicans is Minnesota Timberwolves to win, with a 59% chance. We project Minnesota Timberwolves 121.7 and New Orleans Pelicans 118.9. Our best bet is Timberwolves +5.5 at -308.

New Orleans Pelicans form

New Orleans Pelicans have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2310 points scored and 2407 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Minnesota Timberwolves form

Minnesota Timberwolves have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2260 points scored and 2268 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 6 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. New Orleans Pelicans won 1, Minnesota Timberwolves won 3. Last time out it finished Minnesota Timberwolves 132, New Orleans Pelicans 126.

Our call

We expect Minnesota Timberwolves to score about 121.7 points and New Orleans Pelicans about 118.9. That points to Minnesota Timberwolves to win. Our safest bet is Timberwolves +5.5 at -308. Our bold bet is Pelicans to win at +146.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PelicansTimberwolves
Games played2020
Wins611
Losses149
Points scored23102260
Points conceded24072268
Scored per game115.5113.0
Conceded per game120.3113.4
Home record4W 4L5W 3L
Away record2W 10L6W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Pelicans spreadCoversFair
Pelicans -3.531%+225
Pelicans -0.540%+152
Pelicans +2.549%+104
Pelicans +5.559%-141
Pelicans +8.568%-209
Total pointsOverUnder
234.563%37%
237.557%43%
240.550%50%
243.544%56%
246.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Pelicans +3.5 wins if Pelicans win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Minnesota Timberwolves vs New Orleans Pelicans?

Our prediction for Minnesota Timberwolves vs New Orleans Pelicans is Minnesota Timberwolves to win, with a 59% chance. We project Minnesota Timberwolves 121.7 and New Orleans Pelicans 118.9. Our best bet is Timberwolves +5.5 at -308.

What is the projected score for Minnesota Timberwolves vs New Orleans Pelicans?

We project Minnesota Timberwolves 121.7 and New Orleans Pelicans 118.9, about 240.7 points in total.

How are New Orleans Pelicans playing?

New Orleans Pelicans have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2310 points scored and 2407 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Minnesota Timberwolves playing?

Minnesota Timberwolves have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2260 points scored and 2268 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 6 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when New Orleans Pelicans and Minnesota Timberwolves last met?

It ended Minnesota Timberwolves 132, New Orleans Pelicans 126. In the last 4 meetings New Orleans Pelicans won 1 and Minnesota Timberwolves won 3.

What is the best bet for Minnesota Timberwolves vs New Orleans Pelicans?

Timberwolves +5.5 at -308, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Pelicans against Timberwolves. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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