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NBAMon 12 Oct, 19:30 United States time

Minnesota Timberwolves vs New York Knicks prediction

Madison Square Garden

Minnesota TimberwolvesAway
111.4 : 119.1
projected points
New York KnicksHome
25%Timberwolves
75%Knicks
Eagle safe pickKnicks +0.5
-310

Quick answer

Our prediction for Minnesota Timberwolves vs New York Knicks is New York Knicks to win, with a 75% chance. We project Minnesota Timberwolves 111.4 and New York Knicks 119.1. Our best bet is Knicks +0.5 at -310.

Prediction
New York Knicks to win
Chance
75%
Projected score
Minnesota Timberwolves 111, New York Knicks 119
Projected total
230.5 points
Best bet
Knicks +0.5 at -310

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Knicks +0.5
76% chanceFair price -3102 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Timberwolves to win
26% chanceFair price +2851 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives New York Knicks 75% and Minnesota Timberwolves 25%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    New York Knicks won 4 of their last 5 and Minnesota Timberwolves won 1 of their last 5. New York Knicks come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    New York Knicks won 7 of their last 10 games at home. Minnesota Timberwolves won 5 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    New York Knicks score 114.8 points a game and let in 101.4. Minnesota Timberwolves score 112.7 and let in 115.3. Their recent games average 216.3 and 228.1 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, New York Knicks won 2 and Minnesota Timberwolves won 1. The last one ended Minnesota Timberwolves 115, New York Knicks 104.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Knicks +0.5 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Knicksrest between games-3%
  • Timberwolvesrest between games-3%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Minnesota Timberwolves vs New York Knicks: New York Knicks are favourites

The big picture

New York Knicks host Minnesota Timberwolves in the NBA on Mon 12 Oct, 19:30 at Madison Square Garden. Our prediction for Minnesota Timberwolves vs New York Knicks is New York Knicks to win, with a 75% chance. We project Minnesota Timberwolves 111.4 and New York Knicks 119.1. Our best bet is Knicks +0.5 at -310.

New York Knicks form

New York Knicks have 16 wins and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 2297 points scored and 2028 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Minnesota Timberwolves form

Minnesota Timberwolves have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2254 points scored and 2307 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 7 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. New York Knicks won 2, Minnesota Timberwolves won 1. Last time out it finished Minnesota Timberwolves 115, New York Knicks 104.

Our call

We expect Minnesota Timberwolves to score about 111.4 points and New York Knicks about 119.1. That points to New York Knicks to win. Our safest bet is Knicks +0.5 at -310. Our bold bet is Timberwolves to win at +285.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

KnicksTimberwolves
Games played2020
Wins1610
Losses410
Points scored22972254
Points conceded20282307
Scored per game114.8112.7
Conceded per game101.4115.3
Home record7W 3L5W 3L
Away record9W 1L5W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Knicks spreadCoversFair
Knicks -13.532%+213
Knicks -10.541%+144
Knicks -7.550%-102
Knicks -4.560%-150
Knicks -1.569%-221
Total pointsOverUnder
224.563%37%
227.557%43%
230.550%50%
233.543%57%
236.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Knicks +3.5 wins if Knicks win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Minnesota Timberwolves vs New York Knicks?

Our prediction for Minnesota Timberwolves vs New York Knicks is New York Knicks to win, with a 75% chance. We project Minnesota Timberwolves 111.4 and New York Knicks 119.1. Our best bet is Knicks +0.5 at -310.

What is the projected score for Minnesota Timberwolves vs New York Knicks?

We project Minnesota Timberwolves 111.4 and New York Knicks 119.1, about 230.5 points in total.

How are New York Knicks playing?

New York Knicks have 16 wins and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 2297 points scored and 2028 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Minnesota Timberwolves playing?

Minnesota Timberwolves have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2254 points scored and 2307 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 7 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when New York Knicks and Minnesota Timberwolves last met?

It ended Minnesota Timberwolves 115, New York Knicks 104. In the last 3 meetings New York Knicks won 2 and Minnesota Timberwolves won 1.

What is the best bet for Minnesota Timberwolves vs New York Knicks?

Knicks +0.5 at -310, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Knicks against Timberwolves. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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