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Predictions › United States › Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions
NFLSun 1 Nov, 13:00 United States time

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions prediction

Ford Field

Minnesota VikingsAway
20.9 : 23.9
projected points
Detroit LionsHome
47%Vikings
53%Lions
Eagle safe pickUnder 53.5 points
-307

Quick answer

Our prediction for Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions is Detroit Lions to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Minnesota Vikings 20.9 and Detroit Lions 23.9. Our best bet is Under 53.5 points at -307.

Prediction
Detroit Lions to win
Chance
53%
Projected score
Minnesota Vikings 21, Detroit Lions 24
Projected total
44.9 points
Best bet
Under 53.5 points at -307

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 53.5 points
75% chanceFair price -3072 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Vikings to win
42% chancePrice +1301 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Detroit Lions 53% and Minnesota Vikings 47%. The bookmakers agree and make Detroit Lions the favourite at -155.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Detroit Lions won 3 of their last 5 and Minnesota Vikings won 5 of their last 5. Minnesota Vikings come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Detroit Lions won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Minnesota Vikings won 7 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Detroit Lions score 26.4 points a game and let in 24.7. Minnesota Vikings score 17.6 and let in 17.9. Their recent games average 51.0 and 35.5 points in total, and the market line is 46.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Detroit Lions won 0 and Minnesota Vikings won 2. The last one ended Minnesota Vikings 23, Detroit Lions 10.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 53.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions: Detroit Lions shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Detroit Lions host Minnesota Vikings in the NFL on Sun 1 Nov, 13:00 at Ford Field. Our prediction for Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions is Detroit Lions to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Minnesota Vikings 20.9 and Detroit Lions 23.9. Our best bet is Under 53.5 points at -307.

Detroit Lions form

Detroit Lions have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 527 points scored and 494 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Minnesota Vikings form

Minnesota Vikings have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 352 points scored and 357 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Detroit Lions won 0, Minnesota Vikings won 2. Last time out it finished Minnesota Vikings 23, Detroit Lions 10.

Our call

We expect Minnesota Vikings to score about 20.9 points and Detroit Lions about 23.9. That points to Detroit Lions to win. Our safest bet is Under 53.5 points at -307. Our bold bet is Vikings to win at +130.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

LionsVikings
Games played2020
Wins1012
Losses108
Points scored527352
Points conceded494357
Scored per game26.417.6
Conceded per game24.717.9
Home record6W 3L5W 4L
Away record4W 7L7W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Lions to win53%-114-155-12.3%
Vikings to win42%+140+130-4.3%
Lions -2.548%+106-120-11.1%
Vikings +2.546%+115+100-7.1%
Over 46.5 points44%+127-115-17.5%
Under 46.5 points51%-103-105-0.8%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Lions spreadCoversFair
Lions -10.529%+246
Lions -6.540%+151
Lions -3.549%+106
Lions -0.557%-134
Lions +3.568%-217
Total pointsOverUnder
37.572%28%
41.560%40%
44.551%49%
47.542%58%
51.531%69%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Lions +3.5 wins if Lions win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NFL

Detroit Lions Enter Bye Week Seeking Balance After Arizona Win

Detroit stands at three wins and two losses after beating Arizona, balancing a top scoring attack with ongoing defensive adjustments.

14 Oct 2026
NFL

Big Statements Follow Dramatic Week 5 NFL Wins

Players and coaches shared strong reactions after wild Week 5 finishes in London and New Orleans.

11 Oct 2026
NFL

How the Undefeated Minnesota Vikings Are Winning Without Touchdowns

The Minnesota Vikings are 4-0 despite scoring just one offensive touchdown in three weeks, relying on an elite defense and perfect kicking.

5 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions?

Our prediction for Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions is Detroit Lions to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Minnesota Vikings 20.9 and Detroit Lions 23.9. Our best bet is Under 53.5 points at -307.

What is the projected score for Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions?

We project Minnesota Vikings 20.9 and Detroit Lions 23.9, about 44.9 points in total.

How are Detroit Lions playing?

Detroit Lions have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 527 points scored and 494 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Minnesota Vikings playing?

Minnesota Vikings have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 352 points scored and 357 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Detroit Lions and Minnesota Vikings last met?

It ended Minnesota Vikings 23, Detroit Lions 10. In the last 2 meetings Detroit Lions won 0 and Minnesota Vikings won 2.

What is the best bet for Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions?

Under 53.5 points at -307, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Lions against Vikings. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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