Predictions › United States › Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints

NFLSun 11 Oct, 13:00 United States time

Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints prediction

Caesars Superdome

Minnesota VikingsAway

22.4 : 21.1

projected points

New Orleans SaintsHome

58%Vikings

42%Saints

Eagle safe pickUnder 51.5 points

-292

Quick answer

Our prediction for Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints is Minnesota Vikings to win, with a 58% chance. We project Minnesota Vikings 22.4 and New Orleans Saints 21.1. Our best bet is Under 51.5 points at -292.

Prediction: Minnesota Vikings to win
Chance: 58%
Projected score: Minnesota Vikings 22, New Orleans Saints 21
Projected total: 43.5 points
Best bet: Under 51.5 points at -292

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 51.5 points

74% chanceFair price -2921 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives New Orleans Saints 42% and Minnesota Vikings 58%. The bookmakers agree and make Minnesota Vikings the favourite at -142.
2
Recent form
New Orleans Saints won 2 of their last 5 and Minnesota Vikings won 3 of their last 5. Minnesota Vikings come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
New Orleans Saints won 3 of their last 8 games at home. Minnesota Vikings won 7 of their last 12 on the road.
4
Scoring
New Orleans Saints score 19.4 points a game and let in 22.9. Minnesota Vikings score 17.8 and let in 18.8. Their recent games average 42.3 and 36.5 points in total, and the market line is 44.5.
5
The safest bet
Under 51.5 points has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints: Minnesota Vikings are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

New Orleans Saints host Minnesota Vikings in the NFL on Sun 11 Oct, 13:00 at Caesars Superdome. Our prediction for Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints is Minnesota Vikings to win, with a 58% chance. We project Minnesota Vikings 22.4 and New Orleans Saints 21.1. Our best bet is Under 51.5 points at -292.

New Orleans Saints form

New Orleans Saints have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 387 points scored and 458 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Minnesota Vikings form

Minnesota Vikings have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 356 points scored and 375 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Minnesota Vikings to score about 22.4 points and New Orleans Saints about 21.1. That points to Minnesota Vikings to win. Our safest bet is Under 51.5 points at -292.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Saints	Vikings
Games played	20	20
Wins	8	11
Losses	12	9
Points scored	387	356
Points conceded	458	375
Scored per game	19.4	17.8
Conceded per game	22.9	18.8
Home record	3W 5L	4W 4L
Away record	5W 7L	7W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Saints to win	42%	+140	+120	-8.3%
Vikings to win	52%	-110	-142	-10.7%
Saints +2.5	50%	-102	-110	-3.7%
Vikings -2.5	44%	+129	-110	-16.7%
Over 44.5 points	44%	+127	-115	-17.8%
Under 44.5 points	50%	-101	-105	-2.1%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Saints spread	Covers	Fair
Saints -5.5	31%	+225
Saints -1.5	42%	+139
Saints +1.5	51%	-103
Saints +4.5	59%	-146
Saints +8.5	70%	-237

Total points	Over	Under
36.5	70%	30%
40.5	59%	41%
43.5	50%	50%
46.5	41%	59%
50.5	29%	71%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Saints +3.5 wins if Saints win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

NFL

Saints Left Confused by Fumble Ruling in Loss to Raiders

The New Orleans Saints suffered a 35-27 loss to the Raiders after a controversial fumble call went against them in the fourth quarter.

28 Sept 2026

NFL

New Orleans Saints Lose Left Tackle Kelvin Banks Jr. to Ankle Injury

Saints left tackle Kelvin Banks Jr. was carted off and ruled out with an ankle injury in the fourth quarter of the game against the Baltimore Ravens.

20 Sept 2026

NFL

Controversial Replay Decision Sparks Debate In Saints Overtime Loss To Lions

A controversial overturned defensive touchdown left the New Orleans Saints frustrated after a wild 31-30 overtime loss to the Detroit Lions.

14 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints?

What is the projected score for Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints?

We project Minnesota Vikings 22.4 and New Orleans Saints 21.1, about 43.5 points in total.

How are New Orleans Saints playing?

How are Minnesota Vikings playing?

What is the best bet for Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints?

Under 51.5 points at -292, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Saints against Vikings. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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