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Predictions › United States › Mississippi State Bulldogs vs LSU Tigers
College FootballSat 17 Oct, 12:00 United States time

Mississippi State Bulldogs vs LSU Tigers prediction

Tiger Stadium (LA)

Mississippi State BulldogsAway
20.9 : 35.1
projected points
LSU TigersHome
21%Mississippi St
79%LSU
Eagle safe pickLSU to win
-379

Quick answer

Our prediction for Mississippi State Bulldogs vs LSU Tigers is LSU Tigers to win, with a 79% chance. We project Mississippi State Bulldogs 20.9 and LSU Tigers 35.1. Our best bet is LSU to win at -379.

Prediction
LSU Tigers to win
Chance
79%
Projected score
Mississippi State Bulldogs 21, LSU Tigers 35
Projected total
56.0 points
Best bet
LSU to win at -379

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

LSU to win
79% chanceFair price -3792 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives LSU Tigers 79% and Mississippi State Bulldogs 21%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    LSU Tigers won 4 of their last 5 and Mississippi State Bulldogs won 4 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    LSU Tigers won 9 of their last 10 games at home. Mississippi State Bulldogs won 3 of their last 6 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    LSU Tigers score 29.7 points a game and let in 19.8. Mississippi State Bulldogs score 33.3 and let in 31.0. Their recent games average 49.5 and 64.3 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    LSU to win has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Mississippi Stteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Mississippi State Bulldogs vs LSU Tigers: LSU Tigers are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

LSU Tigers host Mississippi State Bulldogs in the College Football on Sat 17 Oct, 12:00 at Tiger Stadium (LA). Our prediction for Mississippi State Bulldogs vs LSU Tigers is LSU Tigers to win, with a 79% chance. We project Mississippi State Bulldogs 20.9 and LSU Tigers 35.1. Our best bet is LSU to win at -379.

LSU Tigers form

LSU Tigers have 9 wins and 7 losses in their last 16 games, with 475 points scored and 317 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Mississippi State Bulldogs form

Mississippi State Bulldogs have 7 wins and 9 losses in their last 16 games, with 532 points scored and 496 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 3 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Mississippi State Bulldogs to score about 20.9 points and LSU Tigers about 35.1. That points to LSU Tigers to win. Our safest bet is LSU to win at -379.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 16 games in all competitions.

LSUMississippi St
Games played1616
Wins97
Losses79
Points scored475532
Points conceded317496
Scored per game29.733.3
Conceded per game19.831.0
Home record9W 1L4W 6L
Away record0W 6L3W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

LSU spreadCoversFair
LSU -21.532%+209
LSU -17.542%+140
LSU -14.549%+103
LSU -11.557%-131
LSU -7.566%-195
Total pointsOverUnder
49.566%34%
53.556%44%
56.549%51%
59.541%59%
63.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. LSU +3.5 wins if LSU win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
College Football

Huge Blow for Mississippi State as Fluff Bothwell Exits Alabama Game

Mississippi State running back Fluff Bothwell left Saturday's game against Alabama after just one carry due to a lower-body injury.

3 Oct 2026
College Football

LSU Defeats Texas A&M 35-6 After Locking Down Quarterback Marcel Reed

LSU dominated Texas A&M 35-6 on Saturday night, completely shutting down quarterback Marcel Reed to avenge past losses.

27 Sept 2026
College Football

SEC Frustrated as LSU Seeks Dismissal in Ongoing Roster Battle

The SEC expressed disappointment after Louisiana officials filed to dismiss the federal lawsuit regarding LSU football roster moves.

26 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Mississippi State Bulldogs vs LSU Tigers?

Our prediction for Mississippi State Bulldogs vs LSU Tigers is LSU Tigers to win, with a 79% chance. We project Mississippi State Bulldogs 20.9 and LSU Tigers 35.1. Our best bet is LSU to win at -379.

What is the projected score for Mississippi State Bulldogs vs LSU Tigers?

We project Mississippi State Bulldogs 20.9 and LSU Tigers 35.1, about 56.0 points in total.

How are LSU Tigers playing?

LSU Tigers have 9 wins and 7 losses in their last 16 games, with 475 points scored and 317 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Mississippi State Bulldogs playing?

Mississippi State Bulldogs have 7 wins and 9 losses in their last 16 games, with 532 points scored and 496 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 3 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Mississippi State Bulldogs vs LSU Tigers?

LSU to win at -379, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in LSU against Mississippi St. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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