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Predictions › United States › Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Texas Longhorns
College FootballSat 31 Oct, 19:30 United States time

Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Texas Longhorns prediction

DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium

Mississippi State BulldogsAway
20.8 : 32.7
projected points
Texas LonghornsHome
23%Mississippi St
77%Texas
Eagle safe pickTexas to win
-342

Quick answer

Our prediction for Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Texas Longhorns is Texas Longhorns to win, with a 77% chance. We project Mississippi State Bulldogs 20.8 and Texas Longhorns 32.7. Our best bet is Texas to win at -342.

Prediction
Texas Longhorns to win
Chance
77%
Projected score
Mississippi State Bulldogs 21, Texas Longhorns 33
Projected total
53.5 points
Best bet
Texas to win at -342

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Texas to win
77% chanceFair price -3422 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Texas Longhorns 77% and Mississippi State Bulldogs 23%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Texas Longhorns won 3 of their last 5 and Mississippi State Bulldogs won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Texas Longhorns won 10 of their last 11 games at home. Mississippi State Bulldogs won 3 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Texas Longhorns score 31.3 points a game and let in 20.6. Mississippi State Bulldogs score 31.3 and let in 31.0. Their recent games average 51.9 and 62.3 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Texas Longhorns won 1 and Mississippi State Bulldogs won 0. The last one ended Mississippi State Bulldogs 38, Texas Longhorns 45.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Texas to win has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Mississippi Stteam news-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Texas Longhorns: Texas Longhorns are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Texas Longhorns host Mississippi State Bulldogs in the College Football on Sat 31 Oct, 19:30 at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium. Our prediction for Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Texas Longhorns is Texas Longhorns to win, with a 77% chance. We project Mississippi State Bulldogs 20.8 and Texas Longhorns 32.7. Our best bet is Texas to win at -342.

Texas Longhorns form

Texas Longhorns have 13 wins and 4 losses in their last 17 games, with 532 points scored and 350 conceded. At home they have 10 wins and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Mississippi State Bulldogs form

Mississippi State Bulldogs have 7 wins and 10 losses in their last 17 games, with 532 points scored and 527 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 4 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Texas Longhorns won 1, Mississippi State Bulldogs won 0. Last time out it finished Mississippi State Bulldogs 38, Texas Longhorns 45.

Our call

We expect Mississippi State Bulldogs to score about 20.8 points and Texas Longhorns about 32.7. That points to Texas Longhorns to win. Our safest bet is Texas to win at -342.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 17 games in all competitions.

TexasMississippi St
Games played1717
Wins137
Losses410
Points scored532532
Points conceded350527
Scored per game31.331.3
Conceded per game20.631.0
Home record10W 1L4W 6L
Away record3W 3L3W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Texas spreadCoversFair
Texas -18.534%+196
Texas -14.543%+131
Texas -11.551%-103
Texas -8.558%-139
Texas -4.568%-209
Total pointsOverUnder
46.567%33%
50.557%43%
53.550%50%
56.543%57%
60.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Texas +3.5 wins if Texas win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
College Football

Mississippi State Offense Takes Big Hit Ahead of LSU Trip

Mississippi State downgraded quarterback Kamario Taylor and rusher Fluff Bothwell to doubtful for Saturday's contest at LSU.

17 Oct 2026
College Football

Kamario Taylor Foot Injury Clouds Mississippi State Clash With LSU

Mississippi State quarterback Kamario Taylor is questionable for Saturday's game at LSU due to an ongoing foot injury.

13 Oct 2026
College Football

Huge Blow for Mississippi State as Fluff Bothwell Exits Alabama Game

Mississippi State running back Fluff Bothwell left Saturday's game against Alabama after just one carry due to a lower-body injury.

3 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Texas Longhorns?

Our prediction for Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Texas Longhorns is Texas Longhorns to win, with a 77% chance. We project Mississippi State Bulldogs 20.8 and Texas Longhorns 32.7. Our best bet is Texas to win at -342.

What is the projected score for Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Texas Longhorns?

We project Mississippi State Bulldogs 20.8 and Texas Longhorns 32.7, about 53.5 points in total.

How are Texas Longhorns playing?

Texas Longhorns have 13 wins and 4 losses in their last 17 games, with 532 points scored and 350 conceded. At home they have 10 wins and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Mississippi State Bulldogs playing?

Mississippi State Bulldogs have 7 wins and 10 losses in their last 17 games, with 532 points scored and 527 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 4 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Texas Longhorns and Mississippi State Bulldogs last met?

It ended Mississippi State Bulldogs 38, Texas Longhorns 45. In the last 1 meeting Texas Longhorns won 1 and Mississippi State Bulldogs won 0.

What is the best bet for Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Texas Longhorns?

Texas to win at -342, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Texas against Mississippi St. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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