Predictions › United States › Missouri Tigers vs Arkansas Razorbacks
College FootballSat 31 Oct, 19:45 United States time

Missouri Tigers vs Arkansas Razorbacks prediction

Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium

Missouri TigersAway
24.3 : 24.5
projected points
Arkansas RazorbacksHome
52%Missouri
48%Arkansas
Eagle safe pickMissouri +10.5
-301

Quick answer

Our prediction for Missouri Tigers vs Arkansas Razorbacks is Missouri Tigers to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Missouri Tigers 24.3 and Arkansas Razorbacks 24.5. Our best bet is Missouri +10.5 at -301.

Prediction
Missouri Tigers to win
Chance
52%
Projected score
Missouri Tigers 24, Arkansas Razorbacks 24
Projected total
48.8 points
Best bet
Missouri +10.5 at -301

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Missouri +10.5
75% chanceFair price -3012 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Arkansas Razorbacks 48% and Missouri Tigers 52%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Arkansas Razorbacks won 2 of their last 5 and Missouri Tigers won 3 of their last 5. Missouri Tigers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Arkansas Razorbacks won 2 of their last 9 games at home. Missouri Tigers won 3 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Arkansas Razorbacks score 25.5 points a game and let in 33.6. Missouri Tigers score 28.2 and let in 19.2. Their recent games average 59.2 and 47.4 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Arkansas Razorbacks won 0 and Missouri Tigers won 1. The last one ended Arkansas Razorbacks 17, Missouri Tigers 31.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Missouri +10.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Missouri Tigers vs Arkansas Razorbacks: Missouri Tigers shade it

The big picture

Arkansas Razorbacks host Missouri Tigers in the College Football on Sat 31 Oct, 19:45 at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium. Our prediction for Missouri Tigers vs Arkansas Razorbacks is Missouri Tigers to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Missouri Tigers 24.3 and Arkansas Razorbacks 24.5. Our best bet is Missouri +10.5 at -301.

Arkansas Razorbacks form

Arkansas Razorbacks have 3 wins and 14 losses in their last 17 games, with 434 points scored and 572 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Missouri Tigers form

Missouri Tigers have 11 wins and 7 losses in their last 18 games, with 508 points scored and 346 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 4 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Arkansas Razorbacks won 0, Missouri Tigers won 1. Last time out it finished Arkansas Razorbacks 17, Missouri Tigers 31.

Our call

We expect Missouri Tigers to score about 24.3 points and Arkansas Razorbacks about 24.5. That points to Missouri Tigers to win. Our safest bet is Missouri +10.5 at -301.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 18 games in all competitions.

ArkansasMissouri
Games played1718
Wins311
Losses147
Points scored434508
Points conceded572346
Scored per game25.528.2
Conceded per game33.619.2
Home record2W 7L8W 3L
Away record1W 7L3W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Arkansas spreadCoversFair
Arkansas -7.532%+210
Arkansas -3.542%+140
Arkansas -0.549%+104
Arkansas +2.556%-130
Arkansas +6.566%-194
Total pointsOverUnder
41.568%32%
45.558%42%
48.551%49%
51.543%57%
55.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Arkansas +3.5 wins if Arkansas win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Missouri Tigers vs Arkansas Razorbacks?

Our prediction for Missouri Tigers vs Arkansas Razorbacks is Missouri Tigers to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Missouri Tigers 24.3 and Arkansas Razorbacks 24.5. Our best bet is Missouri +10.5 at -301.

What is the projected score for Missouri Tigers vs Arkansas Razorbacks?

We project Missouri Tigers 24.3 and Arkansas Razorbacks 24.5, about 48.8 points in total.

How are Arkansas Razorbacks playing?

Arkansas Razorbacks have 3 wins and 14 losses in their last 17 games, with 434 points scored and 572 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Missouri Tigers playing?

Missouri Tigers have 11 wins and 7 losses in their last 18 games, with 508 points scored and 346 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 4 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Arkansas Razorbacks and Missouri Tigers last met?

It ended Arkansas Razorbacks 17, Missouri Tigers 31. In the last 1 meeting Arkansas Razorbacks won 0 and Missouri Tigers won 1.

What is the best bet for Missouri Tigers vs Arkansas Razorbacks?

Missouri +10.5 at -301, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Arkansas against Missouri. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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