Predictions › United States › Montreal Canadiens vs Boston Bruins
NHLThu 12 Nov, 19:00 United States time

Montreal Canadiens vs Boston Bruins prediction

TD Garden

Montreal CanadiensAway
2.9 : 3.2
projected goals
Boston BruinsHome
48%Canadiens
52%Bruins
Eagle safe pickUnder 8 goals
-500

Quick answer

Our prediction for Montreal Canadiens vs Boston Bruins is Boston Bruins to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Montreal Canadiens 2.9 and Boston Bruins 3.2. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -500.

Prediction
Boston Bruins to win
Chance
52%
Projected score
Montreal Canadiens 3, Boston Bruins 3
Projected total
6.1 goals
Best bet
Under 8 goals at -500

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 8 goals
83% chanceFair price -5002 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Canadiens to win
41% chanceFair price +1411 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Boston Bruins 52% and Montreal Canadiens 48%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Boston Bruins won 3 of their last 5 and Montreal Canadiens won 5 of their last 5. Montreal Canadiens come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Boston Bruins won 9 of their last 10 games at home. Montreal Canadiens won 6 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Boston Bruins score 3.4 goals a game and let in 2.3. Montreal Canadiens score 3.4 and let in 3.0. Their recent games average 5.7 and 6.3 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Boston Bruins won 2 and Montreal Canadiens won 2. The last one ended Montreal Canadiens 3, Boston Bruins 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 8 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Bruinsrest between games-5%
  • Canadiensrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Montreal Canadiens vs Boston Bruins: Boston Bruins shade it

The big picture

Boston Bruins host Montreal Canadiens in the NHL on Thu 12 Nov, 19:00 at TD Garden. Our prediction for Montreal Canadiens vs Boston Bruins is Boston Bruins to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Montreal Canadiens 2.9 and Boston Bruins 3.2. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -500.

Boston Bruins form

Boston Bruins have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 68 goals scored and 46 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Montreal Canadiens form

Montreal Canadiens have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 67 goals scored and 60 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Boston Bruins won 2, Montreal Canadiens won 2. Last time out it finished Montreal Canadiens 3, Boston Bruins 2.

Our call

We expect Montreal Canadiens to score about 2.9 goals and Boston Bruins about 3.2. That points to Boston Bruins to win. Our safest bet is Under 8 goals at -500. Our bold bet is Canadiens to win at +141.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BruinsCanadiens
Games played2020
Wins1313
Losses77
Goals scored6867
Goals conceded4660
Scored per game3.43.4
Conceded per game2.33.0
Home record9W 1L7W 3L
Away record4W 6L6W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Bruins spreadCoversFair
Bruins -1.532%+215
Bruins -0.548%+110
Bruins +0.564%-178
Total goalsOverUnder
5.559%41%
6.542%58%
7.526%74%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Bruins +3.5 wins if Bruins win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Montreal Canadiens vs Boston Bruins?

Our prediction for Montreal Canadiens vs Boston Bruins is Boston Bruins to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Montreal Canadiens 2.9 and Boston Bruins 3.2. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -500.

What is the projected score for Montreal Canadiens vs Boston Bruins?

We project Montreal Canadiens 2.9 and Boston Bruins 3.2, about 6.1 goals in total.

How are Boston Bruins playing?

Boston Bruins have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 68 goals scored and 46 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Montreal Canadiens playing?

Montreal Canadiens have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 67 goals scored and 60 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Boston Bruins and Montreal Canadiens last met?

It ended Montreal Canadiens 3, Boston Bruins 2. In the last 4 meetings Boston Bruins won 2 and Montreal Canadiens won 2.

What is the best bet for Montreal Canadiens vs Boston Bruins?

Under 8 goals at -500, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Bruins against Canadiens. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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