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Predictions › United States › Montreal Canadiens vs Dallas Stars
NHLThu 29 Oct, 20:00 United States time

Montreal Canadiens vs Dallas Stars prediction

American Airlines Center

Montreal CanadiensAway
3.1 : 2.9
projected goals
Dallas StarsHome
53%Canadiens
47%Stars
Eagle safe pickUnder 8 goals
-513

Quick answer

Our prediction for Montreal Canadiens vs Dallas Stars is Montreal Canadiens to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Montreal Canadiens 3.1 and Dallas Stars 2.9. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -513.

Prediction
Montreal Canadiens to win
Chance
53%
Projected score
Montreal Canadiens 3, Dallas Stars 3
Projected total
6.0 goals
Best bet
Under 8 goals at -513

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 8 goals
84% chanceFair price -5132 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Dallas Stars 47% and Montreal Canadiens 53%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Dallas Stars won 3 of their last 5 and Montreal Canadiens won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Dallas Stars won 4 of their last 8 games at home. Montreal Canadiens won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Dallas Stars score 2.6 goals a game and let in 2.4. Montreal Canadiens score 3.1 and let in 3.5. Their recent games average 5.0 and 6.6 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Dallas Stars won 1 and Montreal Canadiens won 1. The last one ended Dallas Stars 3, Montreal Canadiens 4.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 8 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Starsrest between games-2%
  • Canadiensrest between games-2%
  • Starsteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Montreal Canadiens vs Dallas Stars: Montreal Canadiens shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Dallas Stars host Montreal Canadiens in the NHL on Thu 29 Oct, 20:00 at American Airlines Center. Our prediction for Montreal Canadiens vs Dallas Stars is Montreal Canadiens to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Montreal Canadiens 3.1 and Dallas Stars 2.9. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -513.

Dallas Stars form

Dallas Stars have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 53 goals scored and 47 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Montreal Canadiens form

Montreal Canadiens have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 62 goals scored and 70 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Dallas Stars won 1, Montreal Canadiens won 1. Last time out it finished Dallas Stars 3, Montreal Canadiens 4.

Our call

We expect Montreal Canadiens to score about 3.1 goals and Dallas Stars about 2.9. That points to Montreal Canadiens to win. Our safest bet is Under 8 goals at -513.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

StarsCanadiens
Games played2020
Wins1210
Losses810
Goals scored5362
Goals conceded4770
Scored per game2.63.1
Conceded per game2.43.5
Home record4W 4L6W 5L
Away record8W 4L4W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Stars spreadCoversFair
Stars -0.540%+152
Stars +0.556%-128
Stars +1.572%-253
Total goalsOverUnder
5.559%41%
6.541%59%
7.526%74%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Stars +3.5 wins if Stars win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NHL

Dave Hakstol in Talks for Arizona State Head Coaching Job

Arizona State is in discussions with Avalanche assistant Dave Hakstol about its head coaching vacancy, with a decision expected this week.

12 Oct 2026
NHL

Matt Duchene Out Up to Three Months for Stars

Dallas Stars forward Matt Duchene will miss up to three months after having core muscle surgery.

12 Oct 2026
NHL

Predators Add Defenseman Jayden Struble in Trade With Canadiens

The Nashville Predators have acquired defenseman Jayden Struble from the Montreal Canadiens in exchange for a 2027 second round draft pick.

10 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Montreal Canadiens vs Dallas Stars?

Our prediction for Montreal Canadiens vs Dallas Stars is Montreal Canadiens to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Montreal Canadiens 3.1 and Dallas Stars 2.9. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -513.

What is the projected score for Montreal Canadiens vs Dallas Stars?

We project Montreal Canadiens 3.1 and Dallas Stars 2.9, about 6.0 goals in total.

How are Dallas Stars playing?

Dallas Stars have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 53 goals scored and 47 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Montreal Canadiens playing?

Montreal Canadiens have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 62 goals scored and 70 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Dallas Stars and Montreal Canadiens last met?

It ended Dallas Stars 3, Montreal Canadiens 4. In the last 2 meetings Dallas Stars won 1 and Montreal Canadiens won 1.

What is the best bet for Montreal Canadiens vs Dallas Stars?

Under 8 goals at -513, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Stars against Canadiens. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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