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Predictions › United States › Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs
NHLSat 7 Nov, 19:00 United States time

Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction

Scotiabank Arena

Montreal CanadiensAway
3.8 : 2.9
projected goals
Toronto Maple LeafsHome
68%Canadiens
32%Maple Leafs
Eagle safe pickCanadiens +1
-469

Quick answer

Our prediction for Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs is Montreal Canadiens to win, with a 68% chance. We project Montreal Canadiens 3.8 and Toronto Maple Leafs 2.9. Our best bet is Canadiens +1 at -469.

Prediction
Montreal Canadiens to win
Chance
68%
Projected score
Montreal Canadiens 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Projected total
6.7 goals
Best bet
Canadiens +1 at -469

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Canadiens +1
82% chanceFair price -4692 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Maple Leafs to win
32% chanceFair price +2141 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Toronto Maple Leafs 32% and Montreal Canadiens 68%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Toronto Maple Leafs won 4 of their last 5 and Montreal Canadiens won 4 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Toronto Maple Leafs won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Montreal Canadiens won 5 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Toronto Maple Leafs score 3.6 goals a game and let in 3.3. Montreal Canadiens score 3.0 and let in 3.0. Their recent games average 6.9 and 6.0 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Toronto Maple Leafs won 0 and Montreal Canadiens won 5. The last one ended Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Montreal Canadiens 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Canadiens +1 has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Maple Leafsrest between games-2%
  • Canadiensrest between games-5%
  • Canadiensteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs: Montreal Canadiens are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Toronto Maple Leafs host Montreal Canadiens in the NHL on Sat 7 Nov, 19:00 at Scotiabank Arena. Our prediction for Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs is Montreal Canadiens to win, with a 68% chance. We project Montreal Canadiens 3.8 and Toronto Maple Leafs 2.9. Our best bet is Canadiens +1 at -469.

Toronto Maple Leafs form

Toronto Maple Leafs have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 72 goals scored and 66 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Montreal Canadiens form

Montreal Canadiens have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 59 goals scored and 61 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Toronto Maple Leafs won 0, Montreal Canadiens won 5. Last time out it finished Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Montreal Canadiens 3.

Our call

We expect Montreal Canadiens to score about 3.8 goals and Toronto Maple Leafs about 2.9. That points to Montreal Canadiens to win. Our safest bet is Canadiens +1 at -469. Our bold bet is Maple Leafs to win at +214.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Maple LeafsCanadiens
Games played2020
Wins911
Losses119
Goals scored7259
Goals conceded6661
Scored per game3.63.0
Conceded per game3.33.0
Home record5W 6L6W 5L
Away record4W 5L5W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Maple Leafs spreadCoversFair
Maple Leafs -0.528%+261
Maple Leafs +0.543%+132
Maple Leafs +1.560%-147
Total goalsOverUnder
5.570%30%
6.553%47%
7.536%64%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Maple Leafs +3.5 wins if Maple Leafs win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NHL

Nick Suzuki Sidelined for Weeks as Montreal Captain Suffers Injury

Montreal Canadiens captain Nick Suzuki will miss two to four weeks with an upper body injury, snapping his 546 game iron man streak.

22 Oct 2026
NHL

Predators Add Defenseman Jayden Struble in Trade With Canadiens

The Nashville Predators have acquired defenseman Jayden Struble from the Montreal Canadiens in exchange for a 2027 second round draft pick.

10 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs?

Our prediction for Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs is Montreal Canadiens to win, with a 68% chance. We project Montreal Canadiens 3.8 and Toronto Maple Leafs 2.9. Our best bet is Canadiens +1 at -469.

What is the projected score for Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs?

We project Montreal Canadiens 3.8 and Toronto Maple Leafs 2.9, about 6.7 goals in total.

How are Toronto Maple Leafs playing?

Toronto Maple Leafs have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 72 goals scored and 66 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Montreal Canadiens playing?

Montreal Canadiens have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 59 goals scored and 61 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Toronto Maple Leafs and Montreal Canadiens last met?

It ended Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Montreal Canadiens 3. In the last 5 meetings Toronto Maple Leafs won 0 and Montreal Canadiens won 5.

What is the best bet for Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs?

Canadiens +1 at -469, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Maple Leafs against Canadiens. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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