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Predictions › United States › Montreal Canadiens vs Washington Capitals
NHLWed 14 Oct, 19:30 United States time

Montreal Canadiens vs Washington Capitals prediction

Capital One Arena

Montreal CanadiensAway
3.0 : 3.2
projected goals
Washington CapitalsHome
48%Canadiens
52%Capitals
Eagle safe pickUnder 8 goals
-369

Quick answer

Our prediction for Montreal Canadiens vs Washington Capitals is Washington Capitals to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Montreal Canadiens 3.0 and Washington Capitals 3.2. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -369.

Prediction
Washington Capitals to win
Chance
52%
Projected score
Montreal Canadiens 3, Washington Capitals 3
Projected total
6.2 goals
Best bet
Under 8 goals at -369

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 8 goals
79% chanceFair price -3692 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Canadiens to win
43% chanceFair price +1341 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Washington Capitals 52% and Montreal Canadiens 48%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Washington Capitals won 4 of their last 5 and Montreal Canadiens won 3 of their last 5. Washington Capitals come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Washington Capitals won 7 of their last 8 games at home. Montreal Canadiens won 7 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Washington Capitals score 3.6 goals a game and let in 2.7. Montreal Canadiens score 3.3 and let in 3.1. Their recent games average 6.3 and 6.4 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Washington Capitals won 2 and Montreal Canadiens won 1. The last one ended Montreal Canadiens 6, Washington Capitals 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 8 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Capitalsrest between games-5%
  • Canadiensrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Montreal Canadiens vs Washington Capitals: Washington Capitals shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Washington Capitals host Montreal Canadiens in the NHL on Wed 14 Oct, 19:30 at Capital One Arena. Our prediction for Montreal Canadiens vs Washington Capitals is Washington Capitals to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Montreal Canadiens 3.0 and Washington Capitals 3.2. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -369.

Washington Capitals form

Washington Capitals have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 72 goals scored and 54 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Montreal Canadiens form

Montreal Canadiens have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 66 goals scored and 62 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Washington Capitals won 2, Montreal Canadiens won 1. Last time out it finished Montreal Canadiens 6, Washington Capitals 2.

Our call

We expect Montreal Canadiens to score about 3.0 goals and Washington Capitals about 3.2. That points to Washington Capitals to win. Our safest bet is Under 8 goals at -369. Our bold bet is Canadiens to win at +134.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CapitalsCanadiens
Games played2020
Wins1411
Losses69
Goals scored7266
Goals conceded5462
Scored per game3.63.3
Conceded per game2.73.1
Home record7W 1L4W 4L
Away record7W 5L7W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Capitals spreadCoversFair
Capitals -1.530%+234
Capitals -0.546%+119
Capitals +0.562%-164
Total goalsOverUnder
5.563%37%
6.546%54%
7.529%71%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Capitals +3.5 wins if Capitals win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NHL

Capitals Sign Justin Sourdif to Eight Year Contract Extension

The Washington Capitals have signed forward Justin Sourdif to an eight year contract extension worth 6.35 million dollars annually.

16 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Montreal Canadiens vs Washington Capitals?

Our prediction for Montreal Canadiens vs Washington Capitals is Washington Capitals to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Montreal Canadiens 3.0 and Washington Capitals 3.2. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -369.

What is the projected score for Montreal Canadiens vs Washington Capitals?

We project Montreal Canadiens 3.0 and Washington Capitals 3.2, about 6.2 goals in total.

How are Washington Capitals playing?

Washington Capitals have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 72 goals scored and 54 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Montreal Canadiens playing?

Montreal Canadiens have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 66 goals scored and 62 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Washington Capitals and Montreal Canadiens last met?

It ended Montreal Canadiens 6, Washington Capitals 2. In the last 3 meetings Washington Capitals won 2 and Montreal Canadiens won 1.

What is the best bet for Montreal Canadiens vs Washington Capitals?

Under 8 goals at -369, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Capitals against Canadiens. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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