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NHLSun 25 Oct, 19:00 United States time

Montreal Canadiens vs Winnipeg Jets prediction

Princess Auto Stadium

Montreal CanadiensAway
3.5 : 2.9
projected goals
Winnipeg JetsHome
62%Canadiens
38%Jets
Eagle safe pickUnder 8 goals
-364

Quick answer

Our prediction for Montreal Canadiens vs Winnipeg Jets is Montreal Canadiens to win, with a 62% chance. We project Montreal Canadiens 3.5 and Winnipeg Jets 2.9. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -364.

Prediction
Montreal Canadiens to win
Chance
62%
Projected score
Montreal Canadiens 4, Winnipeg Jets 3
Projected total
6.3 goals
Best bet
Under 8 goals at -364

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 8 goals
78% chanceFair price -3642 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Jets to win
38% chanceFair price +1661 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Winnipeg Jets 38% and Montreal Canadiens 62%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Winnipeg Jets won 3 of their last 5 and Montreal Canadiens won 2 of their last 5. Winnipeg Jets come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Winnipeg Jets won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Montreal Canadiens won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Winnipeg Jets score 2.5 goals a game and let in 3.5. Montreal Canadiens score 3.2 and let in 3.5. Their recent games average 6.0 and 6.7 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Winnipeg Jets won 0 and Montreal Canadiens won 2. The last one ended Winnipeg Jets 1, Montreal Canadiens 5.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 8 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Jetsrest between games-5%
  • Canadiensrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Montreal Canadiens vs Winnipeg Jets: Montreal Canadiens are favourites

The big picture

Winnipeg Jets host Montreal Canadiens in the NHL on Sun 25 Oct, 19:00 at Princess Auto Stadium. Our prediction for Montreal Canadiens vs Winnipeg Jets is Montreal Canadiens to win, with a 62% chance. We project Montreal Canadiens 3.5 and Winnipeg Jets 2.9. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -364.

Winnipeg Jets form

Winnipeg Jets have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 51 goals scored and 69 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Montreal Canadiens form

Montreal Canadiens have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 64 goals scored and 70 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Winnipeg Jets won 0, Montreal Canadiens won 2. Last time out it finished Winnipeg Jets 1, Montreal Canadiens 5.

Our call

We expect Montreal Canadiens to score about 3.5 goals and Winnipeg Jets about 2.9. That points to Montreal Canadiens to win. Our safest bet is Under 8 goals at -364. Our bold bet is Jets to win at +166.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

JetsCanadiens
Games played2020
Wins910
Losses1110
Goals scored5164
Goals conceded6970
Scored per game2.53.2
Conceded per game3.53.5
Home record4W 5L5W 5L
Away record5W 6L5W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Jets spreadCoversFair
Jets -0.532%+215
Jets +0.548%+110
Jets +1.564%-177
Total goalsOverUnder
5.564%36%
6.547%53%
7.531%69%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Jets +3.5 wins if Jets win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Montreal Canadiens vs Winnipeg Jets?

Our prediction for Montreal Canadiens vs Winnipeg Jets is Montreal Canadiens to win, with a 62% chance. We project Montreal Canadiens 3.5 and Winnipeg Jets 2.9. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -364.

What is the projected score for Montreal Canadiens vs Winnipeg Jets?

We project Montreal Canadiens 3.5 and Winnipeg Jets 2.9, about 6.3 goals in total.

How are Winnipeg Jets playing?

Winnipeg Jets have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 51 goals scored and 69 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Montreal Canadiens playing?

Montreal Canadiens have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 64 goals scored and 70 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Winnipeg Jets and Montreal Canadiens last met?

It ended Winnipeg Jets 1, Montreal Canadiens 5. In the last 2 meetings Winnipeg Jets won 0 and Montreal Canadiens won 2.

What is the best bet for Montreal Canadiens vs Winnipeg Jets?

Under 8 goals at -364, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Jets against Canadiens. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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