Predictions › Italy › Napoli vs Torino

Serie ASat 21 Nov, 19:45 Italy time

Napoli vs Torino prediction

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

NapoliHome

1.90 : 0.91

expected goals

TorinoAway

60%Napoli

23%Draw

17%Torino

Eagle safe pickNapoli or Draw

1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Napoli vs Torino is Napoli to win, with a 60% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Napoli or Draw at 1.21.

Prediction: Napoli to win
Chance: 60%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Napoli 1.9, Torino 0.9
Best bet: Napoli or Draw at 1.21
Both teams to score: 52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Napoli or Draw

83% chanceFair price 1.212 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Napoli to win and Over 2.5

37% chanceFair price 2.681 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Napoli 60%, the draw 23% and Torino 17%. The bookmakers agree and make Napoli the favourite at 1.44.
2
Recent form
Napoli took 5 points from their last 5 games and Torino took 7 from 5. Torino come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Napoli won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Torino won 3 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Napoli score 1.7 goals a game and let in 1.4. Torino score 1.4 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Napoli games and 13 of Torino games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Napoli won 1 and Torino won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Napoli 2, Torino 1.
6
The safest bet
Napoli or Draw has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Napolirecent form-1%

Napoli form D L L W DTorino form D L L W WHome edge in this league 10% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Napoli vs Torino: Napoli are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Napoli host Torino in the Serie A on Sat 21 Nov, 19:45 at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona. Our prediction for Napoli vs Torino is Napoli to win, with a 60% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Napoli or Draw at 1.21.

Napoli form

Napoli have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, D, newest first.

Torino form

Torino have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Napoli won 1, Torino won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Napoli 2, Torino 1.

Our call

We expect Napoli to score about 1.9 goals and Torino about 0.9. That points to Napoli to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Napoli or Draw at 1.21. Our bold bet is Napoli to win and Over 2.5 at 2.68.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Napoli	Torino
Games played	20	20
Wins	8	7
Draws	4	5
Losses	8	8
Goals scored	34	27
Goals conceded	28	30
Scored per game	1.7	1.4
Conceded per game	1.4	1.5
Home record	5W 2D 3L	4W 3D 3L
Away record	3W 2D 5L	3W 2D 5L
Clean sheets	35%	15%
Both teams scored	50%	70%
Over 2.5 goals	55%	65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Napoli to win	54%	1.85	1.44	-22.4%
A Draw	22%	4.45	4.20	-5.6%
Torino to win	16%	6.24	6.00	-3.9%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	1.99	1.67	-16.2%
Under 2.5 goals	43%	2.34	2.10	-10.2%
Napoli -1.5	39%	2.56	2.15	-16.0%
Torino +1.5	54%	1.86	1.56	-16.1%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	78%	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	53%	1.87
Over 3.5 goals	31%	3.21
Both teams to score	52%	1.94
Napoli or Draw	83%	1.20
Torino or Draw	40%	2.50
Napoli to win and Over 2.5	38%	2.61
Torino to win and Over 2.5	10%	10.44
Napoli clean sheet	40%	2.49
Torino clean sheet	15%	6.69

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.0%

2-010.8%

1-010.8%

2-19.9%

3-06.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Serie A

Napoli Appeal Allegri Two Game Ban After Roma Draw

Napoli will appeal Massimiliano Allegri's two match ban following his red card in the 3-3 draw with Roma.

26 Oct 2026

LaLiga

Real Madrid Eye Scott McTominay as Napoli Contract Talks Stall

Real Madrid are monitoring Scott McTominay while Chelsea eye Frenkie de Jong ahead of the January transfer window.

9 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Napoli vs Torino?

Our prediction for Napoli vs Torino is Napoli to win, with a 60% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Napoli or Draw at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Napoli vs Torino?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 1-0. We expect Napoli to score 1.9 goals and Torino 0.9.

Will both teams score in Napoli vs Torino?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Napoli last 20 games and 14 of Torino last 20.

How are Napoli playing?

How are Torino playing?

What happened when Napoli and Torino last met?

It ended Napoli 2, Torino 1. In the last 2 meetings Napoli won 1 and Torino won 1.

What is the best bet for Napoli vs Torino?

Napoli or Draw at 1.21, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Napoli against Torino. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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