Predictions › United States › Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Illinois Fighting Illini
College FootballFri 6 Nov, 20:00 United States time

Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Illinois Fighting Illini prediction

Gies Memorial Stadium

Nebraska CornhuskersAway
20.3 : 26.4
projected points
Illinois Fighting IlliniHome
37%Nebraska
63%Illinois
Eagle safe pickNebraska +16.5
-302

Quick answer

Our prediction for Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Illinois Fighting Illini is Illinois Fighting Illini to win, with a 63% chance. We project Nebraska Cornhuskers 20.3 and Illinois Fighting Illini 26.4. Our best bet is Nebraska +16.5 at -302.

Prediction
Illinois Fighting Illini to win
Chance
63%
Projected score
Nebraska Cornhuskers 20, Illinois Fighting Illini 26
Projected total
46.6 points
Best bet
Nebraska +16.5 at -302

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Nebraska +16.5
75% chanceFair price -3022 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Nebraska to win
34% chanceFair price +1941 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Illinois Fighting Illini 63% and Nebraska Cornhuskers 37%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Illinois Fighting Illini won 3 of their last 5 and Nebraska Cornhuskers won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Illinois Fighting Illini won 9 of their last 12 games at home. Nebraska Cornhuskers won 3 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Illinois Fighting Illini score 27.6 points a game and let in 25.7. Nebraska Cornhuskers score 29.7 and let in 22.8. Their recent games average 53.3 and 52.5 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Nebraska +16.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Illinois Fighting Illini: Illinois Fighting Illini are favourites

The big picture

Illinois Fighting Illini host Nebraska Cornhuskers in the College Football on Fri 6 Nov, 20:00 at Gies Memorial Stadium. Our prediction for Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Illinois Fighting Illini is Illinois Fighting Illini to win, with a 63% chance. We project Nebraska Cornhuskers 20.3 and Illinois Fighting Illini 26.4. Our best bet is Nebraska +16.5 at -302.

Illinois Fighting Illini form

Illinois Fighting Illini have 11 wins and 7 losses in their last 18 games, with 497 points scored and 462 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 3 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Nebraska Cornhuskers form

Nebraska Cornhuskers have 10 wins and 8 losses in their last 18 games, with 534 points scored and 411 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 4 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Nebraska Cornhuskers to score about 20.3 points and Illinois Fighting Illini about 26.4. That points to Illinois Fighting Illini to win. Our safest bet is Nebraska +16.5 at -302. Our bold bet is Nebraska to win at +194.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 18 games in all competitions.

IllinoisNebraska
Games played1818
Wins1110
Losses78
Points scored497534
Points conceded462411
Scored per game27.629.7
Conceded per game25.722.8
Home record9W 3L7W 4L
Away record2W 4L3W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Illinois spreadCoversFair
Illinois -13.532%+211
Illinois -9.542%+140
Illinois -6.549%+104
Illinois -3.556%-130
Illinois +0.566%-194
Total pointsOverUnder
39.567%33%
43.558%42%
46.550%50%
49.543%57%
53.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Illinois +3.5 wins if Illinois win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Illinois Fighting Illini?

Our prediction for Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Illinois Fighting Illini is Illinois Fighting Illini to win, with a 63% chance. We project Nebraska Cornhuskers 20.3 and Illinois Fighting Illini 26.4. Our best bet is Nebraska +16.5 at -302.

What is the projected score for Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Illinois Fighting Illini?

We project Nebraska Cornhuskers 20.3 and Illinois Fighting Illini 26.4, about 46.6 points in total.

How are Illinois Fighting Illini playing?

Illinois Fighting Illini have 11 wins and 7 losses in their last 18 games, with 497 points scored and 462 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 3 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Nebraska Cornhuskers playing?

Nebraska Cornhuskers have 10 wins and 8 losses in their last 18 games, with 534 points scored and 411 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 4 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Illinois Fighting Illini?

Nebraska +16.5 at -302, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Illinois against Nebraska. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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