Predictions › United States › Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Oregon Ducks
College FootballSat 17 Oct, 00:00 United States time

Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Oregon Ducks prediction

Autzen Stadium

Nebraska CornhuskersAway
15.8 : 36.5
projected points
Oregon DucksHome
10%Nebraska
90%Oregon
Eagle safe pickNebraska +31.5
-305

Quick answer

Our prediction for Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Oregon Ducks is Oregon Ducks to win, with a 90% chance. We project Nebraska Cornhuskers 15.8 and Oregon Ducks 36.5. Our best bet is Nebraska +31.5 at -305.

Prediction
Oregon Ducks to win
Chance
90%
Projected score
Nebraska Cornhuskers 16, Oregon Ducks 36
Projected total
52.2 points
Best bet
Nebraska +31.5 at -305

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Nebraska +31.5
75% chanceFair price -3052 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Oregon Ducks 90% and Nebraska Cornhuskers 10%. The bookmakers agree and make Oregon Ducks the favourite at -3571.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Oregon Ducks won 3 of their last 5 and Nebraska Cornhuskers won 5 of their last 5. Nebraska Cornhuskers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Oregon Ducks won 7 of their last 8 games at home. Nebraska Cornhuskers won 3 of their last 6 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Oregon Ducks score 36.2 points a game and let in 20.3. Nebraska Cornhuskers score 31.4 and let in 23.4. Their recent games average 56.5 and 54.8 points in total, and the market line is 51.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Nebraska +31.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Oregon Ducks: Oregon Ducks are favourites

The big picture

Oregon Ducks host Nebraska Cornhuskers in the College Football on Sat 17 Oct, 00:00 at Autzen Stadium. Our prediction for Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Oregon Ducks is Oregon Ducks to win, with a 90% chance. We project Nebraska Cornhuskers 15.8 and Oregon Ducks 36.5. Our best bet is Nebraska +31.5 at -305.

Oregon Ducks form

Oregon Ducks have 14 wins and 3 losses in their last 17 games, with 616 points scored and 345 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Nebraska Cornhuskers form

Nebraska Cornhuskers have 10 wins and 6 losses in their last 16 games, with 503 points scored and 374 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 3 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Nebraska Cornhuskers to score about 15.8 points and Oregon Ducks about 36.5. That points to Oregon Ducks to win. Our safest bet is Nebraska +31.5 at -305.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 17 games in all competitions.

OregonNebraska
Games played1716
Wins1410
Losses36
Points scored616503
Points conceded345374
Scored per game36.231.4
Conceded per game20.323.4
Home record7W 1L7W 3L
Away record7W 2L3W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Oregon to win90%-934-3571-7.1%
Nebraska to win5%+1904+1500-20.2%
Oregon -21.545%+123-108-13.7%
Nebraska +21.548%+106-112-8.3%
Over 51.5 points48%+107-108-6.9%
Under 51.5 points45%+122-112-14.9%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Oregon spreadCoversFair
Oregon -27.534%+198
Oregon -23.543%+132
Oregon -20.551%-102
Oregon -17.558%-138
Oregon -13.567%-207
Total pointsOverUnder
45.566%34%
49.557%43%
52.549%51%
55.542%58%
59.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Oregon +3.5 wins if Oregon win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Oregon Ducks?

Our prediction for Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Oregon Ducks is Oregon Ducks to win, with a 90% chance. We project Nebraska Cornhuskers 15.8 and Oregon Ducks 36.5. Our best bet is Nebraska +31.5 at -305.

What is the projected score for Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Oregon Ducks?

We project Nebraska Cornhuskers 15.8 and Oregon Ducks 36.5, about 52.2 points in total.

How are Oregon Ducks playing?

Oregon Ducks have 14 wins and 3 losses in their last 17 games, with 616 points scored and 345 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Nebraska Cornhuskers playing?

Nebraska Cornhuskers have 10 wins and 6 losses in their last 16 games, with 503 points scored and 374 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 3 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Oregon Ducks?

Nebraska +31.5 at -305, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Oregon against Nebraska. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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